1. Market conditions. The weekly closing price does not look very good. MA120 is still the first major support, around 25900! The upper pressure level is still 27500. Only a breakthrough will open up space and bring a good market. During this period at the end of the month, everything is based on the technical aspects. Make arrangements in advance and wait for the real direction to come, so as not to rush!

2. Today I saw some diehard Doge fans start selling Doge, but I think it is still not enough, because there are still some who want to increase their positions. In the next bull market cycle, Doge should be the last to rise, and it will not rise until most diehard fans can no longer bear it and change their cars. If Doge wants to rise, it may first fall below 2-3 points, so that the loyal fans will leave in despair.

3. Ripple announced the launch of a CBDC platform. This platform allows central banks, governments and financial institutions to issue their own digital currencies. The platform is based on Ripple's XRP Ledger and uses the "same core technology". It can be connected to XRPL and use XRP to represent B, treating it as an intermediate bridge asset.

XRP itself is used for payment. The emergence and launch of this platform is equivalent to raising XRP to a higher level, which directly allows for better applications, including resolving the previous SEC's allegations against Ripple. Once it is re-identified as a token B, it will soar. Didn't you see that the price of XRP's token B has been particularly strong recently, rebounding from 0.4 to 0.46? A certain platform has a 24-hour transaction of over 100 million. Obviously, there is a lot of capital involved. I suggest you pay attention to it.

2. What opportunities for wealth creation are there in the current BTC ecosystem?

1. Sub10K Collection NFT and $ordi (most stable and safest): The price of inscriptions was high in the early stage and the liquidity was poor. The price of Ordi fluctuated greatly and it was easy to sell. Both of these varieties are suitable for long-term holding, not for short-term operation. If you hold them until the bull market, you will get very good currency-based returns.

2. High-inscription collection NFT and other BRC-20 (high burst, high risk): If you choose the right project, these two varieties have the characteristics of high burst, but the risk is also high, which requires a good market sense and speculation skills.

3. Stamp and ORC-20 (alternative solutions, hype concepts): Stamp and Orc-20 are competitors of Ordinal and BRC-20, or alternative solutions. When liquidity is abundant, it will flow to these two tracks to hype concepts. When liquidity is exhausted, these two varieties will be drawn first.

4. sats domain name (king of domain names, huge potential): As the first decentralized, project-free, permanent domain name. Just a few words, no need to compare, automatically crowned the domain name crown. The potential of sats domain name is far from being explored, and there is no mature trading market and capital speculation. Perhaps it is the next stage of wealth code and myth of getting rich quickly.

Back to the industry, we must pay attention to the halving of BTC:

In November 2012, the first halving took place. One year later, in December 2013, the price reached its cyclical peak, with an increase of nearly 10 times. It then experienced a long bear market for the next two years, reaching a historic low of $162 in August 2015.

In July 2016, the second halving occurred, and more than a year later, in December 2017, it reached an all-time high of 19,891 yuan.

In May 2020, the third halving occurred, and the price increased 12 times from a low of $5,000 to a high of $64,000 in April 2021.

In April 2024, the fourth halving will begin. It is not only worth our anticipation, but we also have reason to believe that this halving will definitely lead to a grand and amazing price increase. The industry started with BTC, and of course, its rise also drove the entire market. The rapid development of the industry, the environment, technology, applications, users, and innovation are also different from the past?

I would like to ask, which other currency in the industry has the influence of BTC and has more fans than it? Although many public chains claim to challenge ETH, have you ever seen any project that dares to challenge BTC? There was no such project in the past, there is no such project now, and there will be no such project in the future.

This is the charm of BTC and the strength of BTC as the leader. We must follow the trend when investing. Because the trend is irreversible, those who are familiar with history know that the kingship changes and the times change. History is never a simple repetition, but it is surprisingly similar. Although there are more suitable systems and dynasties rise, the essential laws remain unchanged. This is the fundamental reason why BTC halving will inevitably bring about the market.

3. Let’s talk about the question that everyone is concerned about: can Ordi continue to rise?

Without talking about value and pattern, if you want to continue to create wealth stories and attract more funds to enter the market, so as to continue to make money, then hold on to the chips in your hand. The market value of the entire track is still small (compared with the recent meme track), the trading volume is not large enough (indicating that the funds have not fully come in), and the various operation experiences are still very troublesome.

These are all arguments for the current round of BTC chain market, and there is still room for improvement. Don’t talk about the dealer’s wash-out. Who knows if there is really a dealer? But I know that if there is, those who are not firm will be washed away and miss the subsequent market.

ordi As expected, the market's attitude can be seen from the trend after this range. This is why I hope that knowledgeable dealers will trade rather than letting ignorant big dealers do it. If you can't even trade, why should others help you pull the market and give you the opportunity to sell? Retail investors always think that they can take the whole cake, but in fact, the cake needs to be distributed.

It was said a long time ago that ordi = BRC20; but BRC20 is not only ordi. If the dream is not awakened, ordi has never been the only option for capital. After this stage, it is time to witness the life and death of ORDI.

The key to valuing Ordi is to look at the niche match and the evolution of the entire BRC20 narrative.

Regarding ordi, there are three valuation criteria:

1. The top two tiers of top dogs, such as Aidoge at its peak, the highest valuation of the first meme on ARB is about 300 million

2. The top dog in the new era of the mainnet, Pepe at its peak, with a maximum circulation market value of 1.6 billion

3. Shib in 2021 started the animal coin craze and opened a new meme track. The peak valuation was 60 billion (bull market), and now there are 6 billion in circulation. Now, the first standard has obviously been exceeded. Ordi's target is directly aimed at Pepe. If we use Pepe as a reference, there are several classic situations:

1. It took PEPE only 22 days to reach 100,000 users, while SHIB took 260 days, which is 11.8 times faster than PEPE.

2. There is a banker behind PEPE. It is said that the market maker fee exceeds 40 million US dollars.

3. PEPE itself is a top meme, but it has never been discovered

4. PEPE is a project that all existing cryptocurrency circles are fully aware of and partially involved in.

5. Quickly listed on exchanges, Matcha, Gate, OK, and then on Binance to reach the peak

Then let's compare the situation of ordi:

1. The number of currency holding addresses has increased by 6,000 in the past two weeks, and there are currently 9,000. The number of addresses is growing too slowly;

2. Is there a banker behind ordi? It is said that there are ground-based sales in Shenzhen, but there is no doubt that the participants are mainly Chinese.

3. The listing speed is slower than expected, partly due to technical reasons, but Binance's intervention in orc has hurt the popularity a bit

So in other words, Ordi is still in the process of development and has not yet shown the dominance of the dominant position.

In short, I continue to be optimistic about the popularity of BRC20 and Ordinals in the short term.