The $PEPE contract is gambling. How to increase the probability of winning? There are the following ideas. Let's see if it is like this:

Now the idea is 100U. After earning 100U, it will be divided into 2 parts. At this time, it is not a matter of the probability of each time, but the probability of each game;

For example, 100U has won 400U, and these 500U are divided into 5 parts; each 100U is a big game, and the goal is to earn 100U. In this big game, you can open and close positions many times, with losses and wins. As long as the winning amount is greater than the loss, this game may eventually earn 100U; if you are trapped, you will only lose 100U;

The remaining 400U can be played for several games. Each 100U is a big game, and there are many operations in each big game. As long as you are optimistic about the market, each operation in the big game may make mistakes, but the overall chance of winning each time is greater;

The premise of the above operations must be low multiples and low leverage; at least the possibility of liquidation is very small. Don't think about taking a lot of profits at once, take less profits and operate more times; in this way, you can bear every win or loss; you must understand that even if 100U opens 20 times, it only rises a little bit, you can take 5U, and 5U can sometimes close the position; it is already 5% profit, much higher than the spot, sometimes it may rise a lot just after opening a position for a few minutes, at this time you can take 10U, that is, 10% profit)

If you use snowballing (that is, 100 becomes 200, 200 becomes 400), the following problems will occur. If you are trapped once, you may lose both the principal and the interest;

100U eats 100U. If the operation frequency is high, it can be achieved in a week. If you operate 4-5 times a day, you can take about 20U stably. Fast in and out, you must not open a position blindly. You can look at the low position of the Bitcoin market in the time period, buy at the low position of the time-sharing trend chart, take small bands, and have low risks;

In a bull market, you must wait for the market to open up. During this period, I did not open a position for 10 days because I predicted that it would stay at a low level for 7-10 days. Sure enough, the market started to open after 7-10 days. At this time, you only need to open a long position when it falls back, and you can basically make a profit.

Wait for a correction and open a position with a low multiple. I usually open a 20-fold position. If you open a long position and it falls, then if it falls by more than 5%, you will add 10% to the position. If it falls again, you will not add it because the liquidation price is very far away. If you are confident in the bullish market, you will naturally come back after a while.