❗❗❗January 2025 Cryptocurrency Market Outlook
Leverage Focus on ETH
This month's leverage operations only select low long positions in ETH. Altcoins often cause investors to frequently stop-loss, resembling a bottomless pit with no controllability. However, ETH's risk is manageable. The logic is clear: when altcoins rise, ETH must rise; conversely, when ETH rises, altcoins may not follow. Most altcoins briefly surge at the end of a market cycle before fizzling out. By the end of January, consider gradually switching to 2x leverage dollar-cost averaging for leading altcoins in each sector.
ETH's Fluctuation Has Deep Meaning
Recently, ETH's price has been repeatedly “painting doors” and shaking out positions. There are two main objectives behind this: to clean up positions through severe volatility and to test the loyalty of remaining positions to prevent a large sell-off during future rises. Currently, trading volume of positions is sharply declining, while ETH ETF funds continue to flood in with frequent turnover; new incoming funds are not retail investors. It is anticipated that ETH in January 2025 will enter the final acceleration phase of a bull market, similar to February 2024, before tapering off.
BTC Prospect Analysis
From the perspective of capital flow, over 10,000 BTC flowed out from Coinbase yesterday, while 4,000 BTC flowed into Binance, indicating an overall outflow trend. Given that Coinbase is a key platform for American capital to bottom-fish, this suggests that large American capital is still bottom-fishing. Technical indicators are also signaling: a three-week adjustment has allowed some profits to be cleared, and BTC approaching the 60-day moving average means that the buyer's cost over the past two months is here; the daily MACD has formed a golden cross after dipping to the zero axis. The external environment is also favorable, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle continuing, and there may be three rate cuts in 2025. Under the expectation of Trump's return to power, the possibility of BTC being included in national reserves hangs in the air. In the long run, de-globalization due to intensified tariff policies and debt pressure impacting the dollar's credit are continuously enhancing BTC consensus, with BTC expected to break through 130,000 yuan in 2025.
Recommended Potential Coins
In addition to ETH and BTC, coins like BNB, Uni, FTM, CHR, AR, PENGU, and Kaia are performing well right now. Investors need to be patient with their holdings, avoid missing out, and be cautious about shorting. The trend of a significant rebound after New Year's has already begun; holding onto positions is crucial now. #SUI、OP大额解锁 #MicroStrategy增持BTC