I would like to remind you that at the start of a new annual candle, the probability of a market drawdown prevails, which is why I recommended reducing positions on Sunday in preparation for the change of year this week. For Bitcoin, there are unfulfilled targets up to 75k, which can be fulfilled in the near future. The year opened below 95k, which gives a signal for the prevalence of sales. Opening above 90k is a positive signal that will smooth out the pace of sales and maintain the probability of maintaining a flat in the range of 85-115k, but positive factors in the form of a falling dollar or rising oil will probably be needed to continue growth. If they are absent, the market will continue to slide.
Ether looks more optimistic. The year opened below 3500, but above 3250, which also gives a signal for possible sales up to 2750-2500, but retains the possibility of growth to 4500-5000. The most interesting is the opening of the year above 0.035 in the eth/btc pair, which gives a signal for purchases at least to 0.05.
The overall picture gives opportunities for the altseason to continue with falling tops. Trading will probably be difficult, as in December, with the growth of individual coins when the tops stop falling and try to reverse them.
At the moment, against a possible aggressive Bitcoin drawdown, the probability of growth of individual coins is quite weak. Small breakouts similar to OG CREAM TROY can only be shown by PDA ALPACA or VIDT, since they have not worked out the remaining bullish targets and remain in a rather oversold position. I am in no hurry to take other coins into work until the dynamics of the tops are determined.
In the coming days, I expect the monitoring tag to be assigned to new coins. If the tag is not assigned to VIB, this token will again become a top option for work, since a strong signal has been left for a repeat test of 0.15 and a probable approach to 0.25.
Also in the most oversold position remains VITE, which can show good growth waves after the end of the top drawdown. As with other coins of the monitoring tag, I recommend working with it in the second half of the week, since delistings most often occur in the first.