By comparing the current pullback depth and trend with historical market conditions, I have set the comparison criteria relatively loose, with the aim of obtaining more reference data.

I roughly compared eight key historical time points, and the results show: at one time point, the market rapidly plummeted within a month, diving straight into a bear market;

At another point, the bear market only unfolded after more than a month;

The remaining six time points saw the market continue to rise, taking at least a month to enter a consolidation phase, with the most significant increase lasting a full five months.

If I tighten the comparison criteria a bit more, the current market situation is more similar to the period from December 2020 to January 2021. Therefore, I still insist that the bull market will continue.

Of course, continuous observation is still necessary. If the trends in January and February do not meet expectations, I plan to hold half of my BTC to stabilize my position.

As for the market in 2025, based on my estimation, there is a high probability that I won't need to consider liquidating before the first half of the year.

If you want to delve deeper into the crypto space but can't find a clue, and want to quickly understand the information gap, whether it's contracts or spot trading, you can 👉 learn more in my profile #本周微策略是否继续增持BTC？ #萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC