12.19 Daytime bottom can be temporarily bought, wait for US stocks to wake up at midnight for digestion

Being beaten in the evening, Powell's manufactured black swan, expected interest rate cuts next year to go from 125 basis points to 25 basis points, resulting in the market being actively deleveraged, while BTC also faced large-scale liquidations. This round is close to bottoming out, and the chips have been cleared to a large extent, but those more stable can wait for midnight when US stocks wake up to digest emotions again.

Leverage is uncomfortable, but the contracts won't be too difficult, no need to rush. From the 20th to the 25th may not be particularly easy, but the risk lies in leverage, and the decline still provides opportunities. In the afternoon, Japan may hype the interest rate hike news, first observe if the market can withstand a second wave of major declines, waiting.

BTC Daily - 4-hour Level Market Analysis

Bitcoin's large-scale technical retracement exceeded expectations, with the expected level around 100800 being breached. The leverage liquidation has been quite thorough, and at this position, the big players and market makers have entered the market again.

Bitcoin faces resistance near 102500, if it can't rise, it will continue to liquidate downwards. Even if the liquidation ends, there will be a short-term bottom-fishing trend to escape. Support at the bottom is around 100200 and 99600.

ETH Altcoin Small Level Analysis

 ETH has officially broken this point. The large scale still follows the upward logic, with effective daily support around 3550, but the overall technical situation still needs to stabilize and digest. If it doesn't stabilize in the morning, we will look for stabilization possibilities in the afternoon.

 Support is around 3600-3630, with large scale support at around 3550. The overall market's daily large scale still looks bullish, so there's no need to panic for now. Resistance above at 3750 and 3830, and a pullback can still be a short-term buy. Specifics depend on Japan's interest rate hike and US stocks' reaction in the evening.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risk and ensure they have funds saved for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage must pay attention to risk control capabilities. #BTC