The current $ETH presents typical structural transformation characteristics. Prices are operating in the 4026.62 area, and the Bollinger Bands show a moderate expansion pattern (bandwidth ratio of about 1.23%). The trend strength data of 0.49 indicates a subtle balance between bullish and bearish forces, and this pattern often suggests that the potential for a directional breakout is accumulating.
Indicator Resonance Analysis:
The RSI remains at 63.92, indicating that upward momentum persists but has entered a sensitive range. The MACD maintains positive momentum (9.3250), but caution is warranted regarding the weakening effect of continuous volume shrinkage on momentum. The structure of the Bollinger Bands (upper band 4035.1473/lower band 3985.9437) presents a good channel characteristic, providing a clear reference range for future market movements.
Operational Strategy Recommendations:
Based on the current volatility level of 0.77, the following precise strategies are recommended:
Wait for prices to retrace near 4010.54 (middle band) to set up long positions, with a phased entry ratio of 30%/30%/40%.
Pay close attention to the breakout situation at the resistance level of 4035.14; additional positions can be added after confirmation of the breakout.
Set the risk control level 3 points below 3985.94 to ensure a risk-reward ratio of no less than 1:2.5.
Short-term Key Observation Points:
Can the volume expand during the breakout?
Verification of the effectiveness of the middle band support.
Can the RSI break through the 65 level?