#BTC重回关键位置后走势

1. Technical analysis

Key resistance and support: If the price can effectively break through key resistance levels (such as $31,000-$32,000), it may open up further upside; while if it falls below important support (such as $28,000-$29,000), it may trigger a new round of decline.

Trading Volume: A rise in heavy volume is usually a sign of strength, while a rebound without volume may be unsustainable.

RSI vs. MACD: If a technical indicator shows an overbought or bullish signal, it can help determine short-term momentum.

2. Fundamental analysis

Macroeconomic factors: The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rate decisions, and the performance of the U.S. dollar index have a significant impact on the trend of BTC. Bitcoin could benefit if markets anticipate a return to easing policy.

Institutional participation: Whether more institutional funds have entered recently, such as ETF approval, Grayscale Fund’s new holdings, etc.

Network activity: Whether the number of active addresses on the chain, transaction volume, miner activity and other data support price increases.

3. Market sentiment

News events and public opinion: Any policy regulation, technological upgrades (such as Bitcoin network expansion), and movements of major players will trigger market reactions.

4. Historical trend pattern

BTC usually tends to have a strong trend at the end of the year or one year before the halving cycle. If the current bullish trend is a continuation of the bullish trend, it may go up further.

Possible current strategies

1. If it breaks through the key resistance and is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, be bullish in the short term and focus on callback entry opportunities.

2. If there is a heavy volume decline, you should remain cautious and wait for the support level to be confirmed before considering adding a position.

3. Medium and long-term investors can continue to hold, especially based on the potential benefits brought by the halving in 2024.