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Today's Picks
South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol declared "emergency martial law" late at night, and the military airborne the National Assembly to try to arrest members of parliament
Another Fed official cautious about December action
Israeli Defense Minister Katz: If the ceasefire agreement breaks down, there will be no distinction between Lebanon and Hezbollah
Sources: OPEC+ may extend the latest round of production cuts until the end of the first quarter of next year
France will consider a motion of no confidence in the government on Wednesday local time (23:00 Beijing time)
National Development and Reform Commission: Improve the pricing mechanism for refined oil pipeline transportation
Market sources said that the 10-year Treasury bond yield fell below 2%, prompting the central bank to conduct an urgent and rapid investigation, and the notice has been issued
Semiconductor and other four major industry associations all spoke out: carefully choose to purchase American chips
Ministry of Commerce: Decided to strengthen export controls on relevant dual-use items to the United States
Market Review
On Tuesday, the US dollar index fell slightly, but remained above the 106 mark, and finally closed down 0.04% at 106.31. The US Treasury yields showed mixed trends, with the two-year Treasury yield falling slightly to 4.1880%, and the 10-year Treasury yield rising slightly to 4.228%.
Spot gold fell into a volatile pattern, breaking through the $2,650 mark at one point, but failed to hold steady there, and eventually closed up 0.18% at $2,643.33 per ounce. Spot silver eventually closed up 1.68% at $31.01 per ounce.
Crude oil surged 2% on the day as Israel threatened to attack Lebanon if the truce with Hezbollah collapsed, and investors also expected OPEC+ to announce an extension of production cuts this week. WTI crude oil once approached the $70 mark during the session, and finally closed up 2.52% at $69.71 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 2.34% at $73.51 per barrel.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.17%, the S&P 500 rose 0.04%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.4%. Intel (INTC.O) fell 6.1%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 1%, and Tesla (TSLA.O) fell 1.5%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.1%, Alibaba (BABA.N) fell 0.3%, and NIO (NIO.N) rose 5%.
The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks closed up 1%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 0.27%. The Hang Seng market turnover reached HK$126.683 billion. Pharmaceutical outsourcing concept stocks and oil stocks led the gains, while semiconductor stocks fell the most. WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) closed up 7.87%, PetroChina (00857.HK) closed up 2.97%, GAC Group (02238.HK) closed down 4.83%, and SMIC (00981.HK) closed down 1.52%.
The three major A-share indexes fluctuated in a narrow range. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.44%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.4%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.44%. On the market, the concept of cultured diamonds rose sharply, and Huifeng Diamond, Huanghe Cyclone, and Yazhen Home Furnishings hit the daily limit. The power sector strengthened, and Sichuan Energy Power and Guang'an Aizhong hit the daily limit. Robot concept stocks continued to be active, and many stocks such as Julun Intelligent and Shandong Mining Machinery hit the daily limit. The semiconductor sector adjusted partially, and North Huachuang and others fell. Debt-making concepts, banks, chicken, and fiscal and taxation digitalization also rose at the top, while seed industry, hotel and catering, aviation and other sectors fell. The transaction volume of the two markets exceeded 1.7 trillion yuan.
International News
1. South Korea's political disputes intensified, and President Yoon Seok-yeol announced "emergency martial law" late at night, the first time since 1980. Yoon Seok-yeol said that the opposition party was coercing the parliament and disrupting the country, and said that he would purge the "anti-national forces" in South Korea. The South Korean military airdropped into the parliament and tried to arrest members; the leader of the ruling party said that this move was unconstitutional, and the opposition called on Yoon Seok-yeol to step down. At 5 a.m. local time, the martial law was officially lifted, and the martial law lasted only 6 hours. It is reported that the United States was not informed of the matter in advance. Analysts said that the fuse of this incident was the opposition party's promotion of a series of legislation against the president's wife and the impeachment of public officials such as prosecutors. Relevant assets in South Korea plummeted, and financial authorities will meet to discuss stabilization measures.
2. Fed Governor Kugler: The employment report released on Friday is expected to rebound from the weak data last month affected by storms and strikes; San Francisco Fed President Daly: It is not impossible for the Fed to cut interest rates in December, nor is it a done deal, and we need to be open to the timing of the cut. The neutral interest rate is close to 3%; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee: In the next year, interest rates should drop significantly from the current level.
3. Israeli Defense Minister Katz: If the ceasefire agreement breaks down, we will no longer distinguish between Lebanon and Hezbollah; Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: The ceasefire agreement will be enforced with an iron fist and action will be taken against any violation of the ceasefire agreement.
4. Iranian Foreign Minister: It is possible to send Iranian troops to Syria if Damascus makes a request.
5. OPEC+ sources said OPEC+ may extend the latest round of production cuts until the end of the first quarter of next year at its meeting on Thursday.
6. France will consider a motion of no confidence in the government on Wednesday local time (23:00 Beijing time). President Macron said he will not resign before the end of his term in 2024.
7. The EU allocates 4.6 billion euros for net zero emission technologies and electric vehicle battery cells.
8. The Thai Cabinet decided to extend the VAT collection period for imported small commodities (price not exceeding 1,500 baht).
Domestic News
1. National Development and Reform Commission: Improve the pricing mechanism for refined oil pipeline transportation.
2. The Chinese Embassy in South Korea reminds Chinese citizens in South Korea to strengthen security precautions.
3. Market sources said that the 10-year Treasury bond yield fell below 2%, prompting the central bank to conduct an emergency and rapid investigation, and a notice has been issued.
4. The China Communications Enterprise Association, the Internet Association of China, the China Semiconductor Industry Association, and the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers all spoke out: Be cautious when purchasing American chips.
5. Ministry of Commerce: Decided to strengthen export controls on relevant dual-use items to the United States.
6. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is planning a new round of policies to stabilize growth in the equipment manufacturing industry, and the 15th Five-Year Plan for the machinery industry is already on the way.
7. The Bond Connect company service fee is planned to be reduced by 60% to further enhance the efficiency of the interconnection mechanism.
8. China Passenger Car Association: According to the comprehensive estimate based on the preliminary monthly data, the wholesale sales volume of new energy passenger vehicles in China in November was 1.46 million, a year-on-year increase of 51% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. Based on the corresponding domestic retail sales, it is predicted that the penetration rate of new energy vehicles will continue to exceed 50% in November.
Risk Warning
☆Today, a new round of price adjustment window for domestic refined oil products has begun;
☆At 8:30, Australia will announce the annual GDP rate for the third quarter;
☆ At 9:45, China will release the Caixin Services PMI for November;
☆At 16:50, France will announce the final value of the November service industry PMI;
☆At 16:55, Germany will announce the final value of the November service industry PMI;
☆At 17:00, the Eurozone will announce the final value of the November services PMI;
☆At 17:00, Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, delivered a speech;
☆At 17:30, the UK will announce the final value of the November services PMI;
☆At 18:00, the Eurozone will announce the October PPI monthly rate;
☆At 21:15, the United States will announce the ADP employment figures for November;
☆At 21:30, European Central Bank President Lagarde will speak;
☆At 21:45, St. Louis Fed President Moussalem delivered a speech;
☆At 22:45, the United States will announce the final value of the S&P Global Services PMI for November;
☆At 23:00, the United States will release the November ISM non-manufacturing PMI and the monthly rate of factory orders in October;
☆At 23:30, the United States will release the EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending November 29.
Article forwarded from: Jinshi Data