Recently, I often receive messages from friends asking me about the future trends of various coins, such as whether Pepe can surpass Doge, if ETH can reach 4,800, or if Act can increase tenfold. I really don't know how to answer, but I can share my judgment method.

First, let's look at the current situation. BTC dropped nearly 5,000 US dollars yesterday, but ETH didn't decline much, and altcoins also didn't fall. The meaning behind this is worth pondering; those who understand know.

From now until the end of Q1 next year, as long as the US economy does not decline, the unemployment rate does not rise significantly to trigger recession expectations, there is no global liquidity crisis, and no other black swan events occur, the premise is good.

This trend after the election has not ended; even if interest rate cuts are paused next month, after FASB, especially on January 20 when Trump is inaugurated, according to historical experience, the performance of risk markets in the first hundred days of a new president is usually good.

Therefore, in summary, the current trend is far from over, and there is still something to look forward to.