As of 8 PM local time on November 5, or 9 AM Beijing time on November 6, polling stations across 16 states and Washington, D.C. in the U.S. have begun to close. According to the Associated Press, Republican presidential candidate Trump won Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Florida, and Tennessee, totaling 95 electoral votes. Democratic candidate Harris won Massachusetts, Connecticut, Maryland, Rhode Island, and Washington, D.C., totaling 35 electoral votes.
According to Edison Research's forecasts, in Tuesday's election voting, Republican Trump won in Indiana, Kentucky, and West Virginia, while Democrat Harris won in Vermont.
Preliminary results are as expected; the real battleground may unfold in seven key states: Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Polls show that before election day, the two candidates are neck and neck in these seven states.
According to Edison’s preliminary national exit polls, nearly three-quarters of voters believe that American democracy is under threat, reflecting a deep sense of anxiety in the U.S. after a contentious election campaign.
Democracy and the economy are currently the most concerning issues for voters, with about one-third of respondents mentioning both issues, followed by abortion and immigration. Polls show that 73% of voters believe democracy is at risk, while 25% believe it is safe.
These data highlight the severity of polarization in America, where divisions are only becoming more apparent in this fiercely competitive election. Trump has increasingly used apocalyptic rhetoric while inciting baseless fears about the integrity of the electoral system. Harris warned that Trump's second term would threaten the foundations of American democracy.
These numbers represent only a small portion of the millions who voted before and on election day, and preliminary results may change as the number of respondents increases.
According to Edison Research, in the battleground state of Georgia, 10.1% of ballots are expected to be counted, with Trump receiving 60.9% of the votes and Harris receiving 38.6%.
Current exit polls are favorable for Trump, and the Trump trade is making a comeback. ForexLive analyst Adam Button said, "I'm not sure what the forex market wants to tell us today, but all of the dollar's declines earlier today have been erased. The main reason I've heard for the dollar's rise over the past month is the 'Red Wave' (Republican victory). The idea here is that Trump and the Republicans will increase the deficit, cut taxes, and maintain high yields. In the after-hours market, shares of Trump's media technology group (DJT.O) rose nearly 20%, and Tesla's shares also surged. I think the main driver is the exit polls from Georgia, which are favorable for Trump. However, early voting in suburban Georgia is favorable for Harris. The ballots in Florida also strongly support Trump.
As of the time of writing, Bitcoin has reached $71,000 per coin, up 2.35% for the day. The three major U.S. stock index futures have slightly expanded gains, with Dow futures up 0.78%, S&P 500 futures up 0.58%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.26%. Trump's media technology group (DJT.O) saw a 30% surge in after-hours trading. Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 4.3% in after-hours trading. The dollar index reached up to 104, up 0.56% for the day. Spot gold fell below $2,740 per ounce.
Trump's campaign team stated that he may announce victory on election night, just like four years ago, even if millions of ballots have yet to be counted. If the voting margins in battleground states are as close as expected, the outcome may not be known for several days.
According to sources familiar with the plans, Trump intends to watch the election results at his Mar-a-Lago estate before speaking to supporters at a nearby conference center. Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a key supporter of Trump, stated he would watch the election results with Trump at Mar-a-Lago.
Harris previously mailed her ballot to her hometown of California, and during some radio interviews on Tuesday, she encouraged listeners to vote. Later, she will give a speech to students at Howard University, a historic Black college in Washington where Harris attended undergraduate studies.
After a crazy campaign, the race, disrupted by unprecedented events—two assassination attempts on Trump, Biden’s unexpected exit, and Harris’s rapid rise—still remains unresolved. Whoever wins will make history.
Article reposted from: Jinshi Data