who will win Trump or Harris?

Donald Trump's chances of winning the presidential election have fallen on forecasting platforms, with his positions down 15% from their peaks on Polymarket and Kalshi📉

The early voting results and recent polls explain this sharp drop. But most importantly, Polymarket gave Harris an unexpected lead in Wisconsin and Michigan, two key states without which victory is a foregone conclusion.

📝 Some big Trump bettors believe the polls are understating Trump's chances. Others are taking profits and selling their bets to minimize risk.

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