Bitcoin breaks the September curse, Ethereum is expected to see a large fluctuation and increase? Can the altcoin follow suit?
BTC's rise encountered resistance in the mid-line suppression area of 63939 given yesterday. From the internal structure, from yesterday evening to now, there has been a certain selling pressure above 63000. The small level is at a relatively high level. Although there is no clear signal of falling for the time being, it is still recommended that the medium and short-term chips are mainly based on the idea of selling at highs, and do not chase.
How will the market go in the future?
It is estimated that it will still fluctuate, and it is difficult to directly start the second half of the bull market. Even if the interest rate is cut now, the interest rate is still at a restricted level. It is necessary to cut the interest rate multiple times before the external liquidity can be gradually relaxed. It is expected that it will take one interest rate cut to be effective!
What else needs to be focused on from now to the end of the year?
1. Employment reports for the remaining months of this year
2. The actual number and extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of the year
3. The results of the US election
The above 3 points will bring greater fluctuations to the market, especially the extent of the subsequent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve
Will Ethereum see a large fluctuation and increase? Can the altcoin follow suit?
1. The formation of a huge chip vacuum zone
After a huge drop of 8.5, ETH proved that there is a huge chip vacuum zone between 3350 and 2150;
There is no strong consensus on the price in this range, nor is there a dense turnover of chips, which is easy to produce huge fluctuations. In other words, there is no support when it falls and no resistance when it rises.
2. The market value is halved, and the cost of pulling up is close to the second echelon
After more than 50 days of decline, the market value of ETH has been nearly halved. The double plunge in liquidity and coin prices is more conducive to the large capital participants of ETH in the market to collect low-priced chips, increase the concentration of ETH chips, and reduce the selling pressure resistance during the pull-up process
At present, the market value of ETH is about 300 billion u, and the gap with BNB and SOL has been further narrowed;
We can refer to the fluctuation range of BNB after it plummeted to 200 last year and soared to 721 in the first half of this year.
3. Conclusion
Projects with a lot of strong capital participation often have the space and willingness to fluctuate in the opposite direction after experiencing FUD. The current situation of ETH is extremely similar to that of BNB at 200. We have reason to believe that ETH will most likely experience a large volatility increase as BTC breaks through.