The annual rate of US unadjusted CPI in August was 2.5%, expected to be 2.6%, and the previous value was 2.90%

The US CPI data will be released tonight at 20:30:
If the data falls below 2%, it indicates a recession, which is a big negative and a low probability.
If the data falls above 2.9%, it indicates that the US economy is very resilient and the Fed will be confident that it can still withstand high interest rates, which is a big negative and a low probability.
If the data falls between 2.9% and 2.6%, it indicates that the US economy is slightly resilient, which is a small negative and a medium probability.
If the data falls below 2.6%, as long as it does not approach 2% infinitely, it indicates a soft landing, which is a small positive and a high probability.

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