The pre-market trend of the U.S. stock market is like an 18-year-old girl - fickle and seductive.

In the afternoon, the U.S. stock index futures were still in a state of falling before the market. At present, the decline has turned into an increase, basically smoothing out the intraday pre-market decline.

The core reason for the rise is the recent debate between U.S. traders and economists. The core of the debate is the magnitude of the first interest rate cut in the United States and the speed of subsequent interest rate cuts. This is also the focus of the macro market in the next month.

Americans are trying to find signs of a soft landing to avoid economic recession, although this makes me feel a bit "closing the fold after the sheep have bolted".

However, the "fickle" U.S. stock sentiment is indeed seen. At present, it is in the stage of interest rate changes, and market sentiment is very sensitive. UBS's chief securities derivatives analyst also made the same statement in today's report: Any data that is unfavorable to the economy may trigger a large-scale sell-off in the market.

The tension during the potentially sensitive period is not only noticed by a small number of people.

At present, the stock prices of technology giants have basically maintained their pre-market gains. The launch of Apple's new products has not caused the stock price to rise, because the failure of the lawsuit with the Irish tax bill has led to short-term negative sentiment.

At present, it is simple to see that the US stock market will open well tonight, but whether it can continue to rise after the rise, or even close higher, cannot be concluded now, and it is still necessary to wait and see.

At the same time, the market's focus is also on the Trump-Harris debate on September 10, 2024, which should be held at 9 am on the 11th, UTC+8.

The focus of this debate is: tariffs, trade policies and taxes, and the crypto market is also looking forward to discussing #BTC☀ related topics.

At present, international gold has obviously exerted its strength, and the price has continued to rise to US$2,514/ounce, while the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has fallen in volatility, and the current yield is 3.7%.

From the current stage to the implementation of the interest rate cut, or even after the interest rate cut, it is a sensitive stage. Many people are experiencing the risk market under policy adjustments for the first time, so remember to pay attention to risks.