Liang Xi continues to be pessimistic about the future market, and it is estimated that it is not very good.
The 58200-57700 range of the big cake is very hard. After the big needle was pierced to 49000 on August 5 and rebounded to 62720, it was pierced to 56000 and closed up. After five or six times of stepping back to this range, it did not fall below, and later rebounded to 65000.
Replaying the early July, before Trump's assassination and the big cake conference, the big cake rebounded to 58200 after the third wave of decline from 72144 to 53300 and began to rebound in the fourth wave. I remember that the K-line was suppressed as soon as it rushed here, and it was suppressed for four or five days until the day when Trump was assassinated. It broke through 58200, and the 60000 mark was opened, and then the 10,000-point space above was opened layer by layer. This shows that without information stimulation, it is almost difficult to break through 58200.
Thinking in reverse, in the current downward trend, the support here is also very hard. Once it is broken, it will start a unilateral decline, and there is also a callback space of more than 10,000 points below. At present, the lowest point of the September trend may be 45150-44800. Considering the length of the needle, it may extend 3,000 points. So will it be broken here? The answer is definitely. The short-term and medium-term are strongly bearish. Any rebound in the short term is currently a lure to buy more and an opportunity to take over the short position!
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