​A work that breaks virginity, just feed it directly.

Share a short-term sector opportunity and logic.

2024 is the year of the US presidential election. Historically, the performance of US stocks in US presidential election years has been relatively impressive. The competition between the two parties for votes will force the ruling party to be short-sighted (ignoring economic fundamentals) and use administrative means to push up US stocks in order to gain more votes.

From July to the end of 2024, the Federal Reserve will have four interest rate windows. The interest rate meeting on July 31 is likely to keep the interest rate unchanged. There will be interest rate meetings on September 18, November 6 and December 18, and the US election day is November 5.

If the Fed cuts interest rates on September 18, it may improve consumer sentiment, which will be beneficial to the incumbent; if the interest rate cut is postponed until after the election, it may be disadvantageous to the incumbent.

That is, although the dot plot of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in June made it clear that there will be only one interest rate cut in December this year, it may be brought forward due to political factors, which may be good for risky assets.

Currently, the US election is in full swing. The first US election televised debate will be held this Friday, and pricing expectations may also be generated at other subsequent nodes. Which crypto assets may have room for speculation?

FLOOR

PTRUMP 

TRUMP

ITRUMP

ITSELF

Expected effectiveness:

First US presidential election TV debate time: Friday 9:00-10:30 Beijing time

Trump is scheduled to speak at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in July. The Bitcoin 2024 conference will be hosted by Bitcoin Magazine and is scheduled to take place from July 25 to 27. Trump is not the only U.S. presidential candidate scheduled to speak at the conference. U.S. presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is also scheduled to speak there.

Biden administration rehires its former cryptocurrency adviser Carole House

Subjective betting:

"When it comes to quarrels, the King of Understanding has a good chance of getting hold of the old man with Alzheimer's disease."

Screening focus:

High trading volume, market makers


risk warning:

The meme assets in the PolitiFi section are altcoins among altcoins, have no actual use cases, and are purely speculative assets.

The above information is for communication only and is not intended as investment advice.

#美国大选比特币价格预测

#Meme板块普涨