鲍威尔讲话
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📊 Bitcoin and US stocks both fell after the FOMO meeting, is it related to the hawkish remarks of Fed Chairman Powell?
After Fed Chairman Powell's speech in the early hours of yesterday morning, the market experienced violent fluctuations. Not only did the price of Bitcoin fall all the way, but the decline of most altcoins even far exceeded that of Bitcoin, and the three major US stock indexes also suffered a heavy blow. The general market view is that the main reason for this wave of plunge is the adjustment of the expectation of interest rate cuts in 2025.
The market originally expected the Fed to cut interest rates four times in 2025, but after Powell's speech, most people believed that there might only be two interest rate cuts next year. This change in expectations, coupled with the impact of negative reports in related media, led to a comprehensive decline in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets.
However, there are also different views that the views of the market and the media are changing at any time. Although the current market is very volatile, if the market sentiment warms up in a week or two, and the price of Bitcoin hits a new high, then this volatility may not be mentioned again. Historical experience shows that each FOMC meeting will cause large market fluctuations before and after, but when the market returns to fundamentals, different news will dominate the market.
Therefore, some analysts believe that the impact of the Fed's hawkish remarks on the market may be short-lived and may only last for a few days. Once the market digests this news, a new narrative may be ushered in, and everyone's views may be different at that time.
🗣 Summary:
Fed Chairman Powell's speech triggered the market's adjustment of expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025, leading to a sharp drop in Bitcoin and the US stock market. The market originally expected the Fed to cut interest rates four times in 2025, but Powell's remarks led many people to believe that the number of rate cuts may be halved.
This shift in expectations, coupled with negative media reports, caused panic selling in the market. Nevertheless, some analysts believe that this impact may be short-lived, and market sentiment and views may change at any time. Once the market digests this news, a new uptrend may be ushered in.
💬What do you think of this market decline? Do you think the Fed's remarks will have a long-term impact on cryptocurrencies and the stock market? Leave your opinions and insights in the comment section!
#美联储降息 #比特币下跌 #鲍威尔讲话 #股市下跌
After Fed Chairman Powell's speech in the early hours of yesterday morning, the market experienced violent fluctuations. Not only did the price of Bitcoin fall all the way, but the decline of most altcoins even far exceeded that of Bitcoin, and the three major US stock indexes also suffered a heavy blow. The general market view is that the main reason for this wave of plunge is the adjustment of the expectation of interest rate cuts in 2025.
The market originally expected the Fed to cut interest rates four times in 2025, but after Powell's speech, most people believed that there might only be two interest rate cuts next year. This change in expectations, coupled with the impact of negative reports in related media, led to a comprehensive decline in the US stock and cryptocurrency markets.
However, there are also different views that the views of the market and the media are changing at any time. Although the current market is very volatile, if the market sentiment warms up in a week or two, and the price of Bitcoin hits a new high, then this volatility may not be mentioned again. Historical experience shows that each FOMC meeting will cause large market fluctuations before and after, but when the market returns to fundamentals, different news will dominate the market.
Therefore, some analysts believe that the impact of the Fed's hawkish remarks on the market may be short-lived and may only last for a few days. Once the market digests this news, a new narrative may be ushered in, and everyone's views may be different at that time.
🗣 Summary:
Fed Chairman Powell's speech triggered the market's adjustment of expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025, leading to a sharp drop in Bitcoin and the US stock market. The market originally expected the Fed to cut interest rates four times in 2025, but Powell's remarks led many people to believe that the number of rate cuts may be halved.
This shift in expectations, coupled with negative media reports, caused panic selling in the market. Nevertheless, some analysts believe that this impact may be short-lived, and market sentiment and views may change at any time. Once the market digests this news, a new uptrend may be ushered in.
💬What do you think of this market decline? Do you think the Fed's remarks will have a long-term impact on cryptocurrencies and the stock market? Leave your opinions and insights in the comment section!
#美联储降息 #比特币下跌 #鲍威尔讲话 #股市下跌
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Is Powell’s statement “We are not allowed to own Bitcoin” a bad news?
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's recent remarks have caused dramatic market fluctuations. As he made it clear that "we are not allowed to own Bitcoin and are not seeking legal changes", the price of Bitcoin fell below $100,000, and many investors regarded it as a major negative for the market. However, is this really a negative signal that cannot be ignored, or is it just part of "disobeying in public but obeying in private"?
Powell's long-term conservative stance
Powell’s comments are nothing new. In fact, his negative views on Bitcoin have been around for a long time:
Powell's long-term conservative stance
Powell’s comments are nothing new. In fact, his negative views on Bitcoin have been around for a long time:
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#美降息25个基点预期升温 #鲍威尔讲话
It really made me laugh. What does it matter if the Fed doesn't buy BTC? Who cares? They have to scare retail investors, making them like frightened fish... speechless🙄
$BTC
$SOL
It really made me laugh. What does it matter if the Fed doesn't buy BTC? Who cares? They have to scare retail investors, making them like frightened fish... speechless🙄
$BTC
$SOL
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#今日行情解读
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but failed to win against Powell's hawkish speech
The market fell rapidly and approached the 100,000 mark, the largest drop in three months
Whether it can hold 100,000 today depends on the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan
#鲍威尔讲话
#日本央行
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but failed to win against Powell's hawkish speech
The market fell rapidly and approached the 100,000 mark, the largest drop in three months
Whether it can hold 100,000 today depends on the interest rate decision of the Bank of Japan
#鲍威尔讲话
#日本央行
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The focus this week is the Federal Reserve #鲍威尔讲话 at 9:30 pm on Tuesday. Others can also be paid attention to, but the impact on the market is not too big, such as the speech of New York Fed Chairman Williams on Wednesday and the general election in the UK on Thursday. You can pay attention to them, but the impact is not great, and it is not as effective as Powell’s speech.
#非农就业数据即将公布
#美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低
#MiCA
#非农就业数据即将公布
#美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低
#MiCA
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Powell delivered an important speech last night! The Fed's interest rate cut is becoming clearer and clearer, mainly mentioning two points.
First, Powell said that inflation has slowed down significantly recently. Although it is still higher than the 2% target, "considerable progress" has been made in reducing inflation. It can be seen that the policy of reducing inflation is very effective, so it will be quick to reach the 2% target, and the Fed will be one step closer to cutting interest rates.
Second, Powell mentioned: High inflation is not the only risk we face. We have seen that the labor market has cooled significantly in many aspects, which is not the source of the current general inflationary pressure in the economy. It can be seen that the risk of high inflation to the US economic situation has been reduced, and it is also very important to balance inflation and employment.
Overall, the interest rate cut depends on the US CPI and employment form. The interest rate cut can basically be determined as a matter of sooner or later, which is nothing more than one or two months sooner or later. Then when the United States starts to cut interest rates, it will be the time for funds to be injected into the market and the industry to fully recover. So the second half of the year is still worth looking forward to.
#美联储何时降息？ #鲍威尔讲话 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC下跌分析
First, Powell said that inflation has slowed down significantly recently. Although it is still higher than the 2% target, "considerable progress" has been made in reducing inflation. It can be seen that the policy of reducing inflation is very effective, so it will be quick to reach the 2% target, and the Fed will be one step closer to cutting interest rates.
Second, Powell mentioned: High inflation is not the only risk we face. We have seen that the labor market has cooled significantly in many aspects, which is not the source of the current general inflationary pressure in the economy. It can be seen that the risk of high inflation to the US economic situation has been reduced, and it is also very important to balance inflation and employment.
Overall, the interest rate cut depends on the US CPI and employment form. The interest rate cut can basically be determined as a matter of sooner or later, which is nothing more than one or two months sooner or later. Then when the United States starts to cut interest rates, it will be the time for funds to be injected into the market and the industry to fully recover. So the second half of the year is still worth looking forward to.
#美联储何时降息？ #鲍威尔讲话 #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #德国政府转移比特币 #BTC下跌分析
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Powell may not dare to sing a "dovish" tune. Is the US dollar in danger in the short term?
Macquarie analysts recently wrote that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is expected to strike a dovish tone when he speaks at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, but is unlikely to be overly dovish.
Macquarie analysts also stressed that Powell's tone, as well as upcoming data and political developments, could influence the direction of the dollar in the coming weeks.
Specifically, they noted: “We would not be surprised by a dovish tone from Powell, which could have implications for FX markets and investor sentiment.” They added: “However, we doubt that Powell would be so bold as to sound very ‘dovish’.”
Macquarie analysts also stressed that Powell's tone, as well as upcoming data and political developments, could influence the direction of the dollar in the coming weeks.
Specifically, they noted: “We would not be surprised by a dovish tone from Powell, which could have implications for FX markets and investor sentiment.” They added: “However, we doubt that Powell would be so bold as to sound very ‘dovish’.”
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Powell's speech in the evening, the market is likely to be a shot in the arm, there is a high probability that there will be no official announcement of a rate cut, the market speculation is high, there is a high probability that it will rise and fall #鲍威尔讲话 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #美国7月PPI低于预期
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Focus this week:
At 2:00 a.m. Thursday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook briefing
At 2:30 a.m. Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will host a monetary policy press conference
In this meeting, there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time after a period of high interest rate policy. The market generally predicts a 25 basis point rate cut.
#加密市场急跌 #美联储何时降息？ #鲍威尔讲话
At 2:00 a.m. Thursday, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook briefing
At 2:30 a.m. Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will host a monetary policy press conference
In this meeting, there is a high probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the first time after a period of high interest rate policy. The market generally predicts a 25 basis point rate cut.
#加密市场急跌 #美联储何时降息？ #鲍威尔讲话
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🗓Attention, friends in the cryptocurrency circle, the time of the Fed's big move (Eastern Time Zone 8) is as follows:
⭐️September 19 02:00
The Fed is going to announce the latest interest rate drama. The market generally guesses that it will increase by 25 points, but it is also possible to increase by 50 points. Everyone should be mentally prepared.
⭐️September 19 02:30
The Fed's big boss, Bao, will come out to talk about the economic situation and point us to the future. You have to listen carefully.
⭐️September 19 20:30
The United States will also release the unemployment data for the past week to see how many people have lost their jobs. This news may shake the market.
Everyone, these major events may turn the market upside down. You should be careful in recent operations, don't hold a heavy position, and remember to wear a life jacket.
#加密市场反弹
#美联储何时降息？
#鲍威尔讲话
#失业金人数
⭐️September 19 02:00
The Fed is going to announce the latest interest rate drama. The market generally guesses that it will increase by 25 points, but it is also possible to increase by 50 points. Everyone should be mentally prepared.
⭐️September 19 02:30
The Fed's big boss, Bao, will come out to talk about the economic situation and point us to the future. You have to listen carefully.
⭐️September 19 20:30
The United States will also release the unemployment data for the past week to see how many people have lost their jobs. This news may shake the market.
Everyone, these major events may turn the market upside down. You should be careful in recent operations, don't hold a heavy position, and remember to wear a life jacket.
#加密市场反弹
#美联储何时降息？
#鲍威尔讲话
#失业金人数
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There is a key sentence in the speech of Fed Powell: interest rate hikes and cuts should be decided based on subsequent changes in economic data. The GDP of the United States in the first quarter was 1.6%, and the GDP in the second quarter was 2.8%. The second quarter data will be revised on Thursday this week, and it is very likely to be revised to more than 3.
The employment data is a cycle from March this year to March next year. The revision of 818,000 reductions before Powell's speech is obviously a planned and premeditated attempt to fuel the market's desire to cut interest rates. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits is 170,000, a new low in one or two months. The US economy is not in recession. The July Sam's rule (when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more relative to the lowest point in the previous 12 months, the economy is likely to have entered a recession) ignited recession concerns. According to historical experience, the Sam's rule has been verified in all nine US recessions since 1960. However, Powell's speech expressed his cautious attitude towards the use of the Sam's rule in advance. The proposer of the Sam's rule himself also said that the US economy "has not yet fallen into recession." The Sam's rule may not apply to the current US economy.
The above data show that the US economy is developing well and there is no recession. It is impossible to cut interest rates in September.
The US dollar index will fall to 95-99 by the end of the year
Everyone says that interest rates will be cut, but when responding, we must do the opposite. If the good news is not realized, it will be bad news.
#美联储降息 #鲍威尔讲话
The employment data is a cycle from March this year to March next year. The revision of 818,000 reductions before Powell's speech is obviously a planned and premeditated attempt to fuel the market's desire to cut interest rates. The number of people receiving unemployment benefits is 170,000, a new low in one or two months. The US economy is not in recession. The July Sam's rule (when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more relative to the lowest point in the previous 12 months, the economy is likely to have entered a recession) ignited recession concerns. According to historical experience, the Sam's rule has been verified in all nine US recessions since 1960. However, Powell's speech expressed his cautious attitude towards the use of the Sam's rule in advance. The proposer of the Sam's rule himself also said that the US economy "has not yet fallen into recession." The Sam's rule may not apply to the current US economy.
The above data show that the US economy is developing well and there is no recession. It is impossible to cut interest rates in September.
The US dollar index will fall to 95-99 by the end of the year
Everyone says that interest rates will be cut, but when responding, we must do the opposite. If the good news is not realized, it will be bad news.
#美联储降息 #鲍威尔讲话
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Pay attention📢Tonight at 10 o'clock, Mr. Bao's speech will hit the heavy attack. The idea of Ether on August 23:
If nothing unexpected happens at 10 o'clock in the evening, the market will stage a long-short double kill with Mr. Bao's speech
There is a high probability that there will be injections up and down. The current market is highly concerned about this speech. The current pancake price is stable around 61,200. It has reached the first stop-profit position of our last wave of pancake strategy, 1,000 points of space
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in batches three times before the end of this year. Even if this news is adjusted downward, it will quickly accumulate power upward
Ether can be ambushed at this position: Ether is long near 2636-2606
The first echelon is 2692-2666 and the second echelon is 2752-2726#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #鲍威尔讲话 #大盘走势
If nothing unexpected happens at 10 o'clock in the evening, the market will stage a long-short double kill with Mr. Bao's speech
There is a high probability that there will be injections up and down. The current market is highly concerned about this speech. The current pancake price is stable around 61,200. It has reached the first stop-profit position of our last wave of pancake strategy, 1,000 points of space
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in batches three times before the end of this year. Even if this news is adjusted downward, it will quickly accumulate power upward
Ether can be ambushed at this position: Ether is long near 2636-2606
The first echelon is 2692-2666 and the second echelon is 2752-2726#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #鲍威尔讲话 #大盘走势
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!
#鲍威尔讲话 Open bet! Open bet!
This is the first time I care about the news. Because now is the key position. The news may affect the trend of the next month. So don't enter if you are timid👊 I bet on a fall💰💰💰 Tell you in advance. What you are playing is real
#鲍威尔讲话 Open bet! Open bet!
This is the first time I care about the news. Because now is the key position. The news may affect the trend of the next month. So don't enter if you are timid👊 I bet on a fall💰💰💰 Tell you in advance. What you are playing is real
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The market was overwhelmed by Bao's speech, and even the big cake fell.
The next few days are still bearish.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #鲍威尔讲话
The next few days are still bearish.
#非农就业数据即将公布 #鲍威尔讲话
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The following are the key events that will affect the market:
Tonight at 10:00, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will continue to speak, which may have a significant impact on the market.
Tomorrow at 8:30 pm, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released, and the market is expected to react to this data.
Mentougou may release new economic dynamics, which may trigger a downward reaction in the market once the news is released.
The sales of cryptocurrencies in the D country and the US government will also attract market attention.
In the short term, the market pays special attention to the movements of Mentougou and D country DF. In the long term, the market will pay close attention to the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, including the timing and method of interest rate cuts.
#鲍威尔讲话
Tonight at 10:00, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will continue to speak, which may have a significant impact on the market.
Tomorrow at 8:30 pm, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released, and the market is expected to react to this data.
Mentougou may release new economic dynamics, which may trigger a downward reaction in the market once the news is released.
The sales of cryptocurrencies in the D country and the US government will also attract market attention.
In the short term, the market pays special attention to the movements of Mentougou and D country DF. In the long term, the market will pay close attention to the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, including the timing and method of interest rate cuts.
#鲍威尔讲话