交易心理学

Introducing our in-depth discussion on the fourth theme of risk management—#交易心理学
Emotions, biases, and discipline are key factors for trading success. Learning to manage emotions, overcoming cognitive biases, and maintaining discipline can help you optimize trading decisions and achieve more robust trading results.

👉 Your posts may include:
  · How do you manage fear, greed, or FOMO during market volatility?
  · What strategies do you use to overcome cognitive biases?
  · How do you maintain discipline and strictly follow your trading plan?
Example: "I set clear trading rules and adhere to a disciplined trading schedule to avoid emotional decisions. At the same time, I regularly review my trading records to identify potential biases and adjust my strategies to optimize performance. #交易心理学 "

📢 Use the hashtag #交易心理学 to share your insights and earn Binance points! For more event details, contact 点击这里.

#交易心理学 Coin selection requires insight; those coins that suddenly surge, whether mainstream or altcoins, must be approached with caution. When the rise is sharp, the pullback is often sharp as well, making it easy to get trapped.
In terms of technical indicators, I often use MACD. When the DIF line and the DEA line cross below the 0 axis and then break through the 0 axis, this is a buy signal. If they cross above the 0 axis and then move down, it's time to reduce positions. Never attempt to average down lightly.
If you're losing, don't average down; many people end up losing more the more they average down, ultimately losing everything. Remember, losses must be cut, and profits can be increased.
Trading volume is also critical. When the price breaks out from a low position with increased trading volume, it could be a significant opportunity.
The most crucial thing is to go with the trend and grasp the momentum. By combining daily and monthly charts for comprehensive judgment, you can figure out how to operate based on which line is turning upwards.
In summary, trading coins carries both risks and opportunities. I hope my experience can help everyone, but I still want to remind you that investing requires caution!

#持有SCDO未来星辰大海
🔥 Cryptocurrency cards are becoming the best payment solution for the future

According to a real estate report from the UAE, over 15% of real estate transactions in Dubai in 2024 will involve digital currency. 🤔 Let's explore why this trend is continuously growing: from purchasing daily necessities to acquiring properties #BTC
?

By 2025, UAE regulators will further optimize the use of cryptocurrency in daily transactions, including housing rentals and vehicle rentals. 🌎 For tourists, this is a convenient option, eliminating the need for bank transfers, currency exchanges, or paying high transaction fees.

✅ So, is cryptocurrency payment just a trend or part of a global move away from traditional finance?

According to predictions from Cryptopolitan, by 2033, the use of cryptocurrency cards could grow to $220.46 billion as users shift from traditional bank cards to cryptocurrency payment solutions. By 2026, nearly one-fifth of cryptocurrency holders may use their holdings as a fintech payment tool, up from 14.2% in 2024.

The cryptocurrency space is rapidly evolving, with even relatively new products reaching new milestones. 🔥 For example, the newly launched WhiteBIT Nova card recently recorded over 1 million transactions. Source:

📎 A survey showed that 88.52% of WhiteBIT Nova users prefer virtual cards, while only 11.48% choose physical cards, indicating that cryptocurrency payments are clearly not just a trend, and society is moving away from traditional financial systems.

Why? In my view, the answer is simple: cryptocurrency cards and cryptocurrency payments offer more advantages, such as instant transfers, cryptocurrency card cashback, blockchain security, and more.

💹 As of 2024, over 560 million users globally own cryptocurrency. What reason is there to doubt that these 560 million users will not use cryptocurrency cards for shopping and subscription payments in the near future?

BTC Price Analysis #交易心理学
Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoin's next move? #交易心理学

#持有SCDO未来星辰大海
Bitcoin

: Major holders confident of growth

Record holdings: Long-term holders (LTH) have accumulated 18M #BTC
— reaching a new all-time high.

Behavior pattern:

Accumulation → Preparing for a bull run

Decline → Taking profits at highs

Current situation: LTH continues to accumulate despite market volatility — a strong signal after 2024 halving.

What to do:

Watch LTH trend + price action

If holdings start to decline above $70K — a correction may be coming

18M BTC

In the hands of holders — who will sell first? 🚀

BTC Price Analysis#交易心理学

#交易心理学 1, During a major market crash, if your coin only declines slightly, it indicates that there are market makers protecting the price and preventing it from dropping further. Such coins can be held with confidence, and future rewards are likely.
2, For beginners trading coins, there is a simple and direct method: for short-term, look at the 5-day moving average; as long as the coin price is above the 5-day line, hold it, and sell once it drops below; for medium-term, look at the 20-day moving average; if the coin price is above the 20-day line, hold it, and sell if it drops below. The method that suits you best is the right one, and the key is to consistently execute it.
3, If the main upward trend of the coin price has formed without significant volume increase, be decisive and buy. Continue holding during volume increases, and hold during volume decreases as long as the trend is not broken; if there is a volume decrease and the trend is broken, quickly reduce your position.
4, After a short-term purchase, if the coin price hasn't moved within three days, sell if possible. If the coin price drops after purchase and the loss reaches 5%, take unconditional stop-loss.

#持有SCDO未来星辰大海
Bitcoin

: Long-term Holder Signal

- 1800万#BTC
Holding (All-time High) — Maximum Confidence

- Long-term holders buying on dips = Bull Market Fuel

- Long-term holders selling at highs = Exit Signal

Now: Record Holdings → Strong Long-term Bullish Signal

Follow the Smart Money.

BTC Price Analysis#交易心理学
MarketCrash

BlackRock

How do you view Trump's announcement of a 50% additional tariff on China and the termination of US-China negotiations?
100% tariffs essentially mean a complete economic decoupling. It's basically impossible to resolve this peacefully.
There's not much to say; the domestic characteristic is that they respond to softness but not to toughness. If you don't give face, compromise is impossible.
Economic decoupling will inevitably lead to political and military issues.
Next, refer to the Prelude to the Pacific War; there are basically three diplomatic steps remaining.
Will there really be war? Under the current conditions, there are three steps.

#交易心理学 Bitcoin Integrated into U.S. Financial Strategy: Celebration or New Trouble?
On March 7, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to integrate Bitcoin into the U.S. financial strategy, causing a stir in the crypto community. This is seen as a key step towards institutional recognition, and Bitcoin's status as 'digital gold' seems to be on the horizon. However, the market reaction was a cold shower—prices briefly fell below $85,000, and investors clearly harbored doubts about potential regulation, with jokes circulating on X: 'Once Trump signs, Bitcoin plummets!'
The core of this executive order is to classify Bitcoin as a strategic asset, which may involve national reserves or encouraging institutions to hold Bitcoin. For those optimistic about crypto in the long run, this is a windfall. Banks might launch Bitcoin deposits, and you could even buy coffee at supermarkets with BTC; mainstream adoption seems just around the corner. At the White House summit, Trump called Bitcoin a 'symbol of American innovation,' and the global spotlight is on the U.S. to see how it plays this card. If implemented properly, Bitcoin's acceptance could increase significantly in a few years.
But there are also many troubles. Government involvement will inevitably lead to regulatory oversight. There may be new trading reporting requirements, tax regulations, or even limits on holdings. If free Bitcoin is overly regulated, its appeal may diminish. The price drop reflects these concerns, with some shouting: 'This isn't recognition; it's a noose!' Others worry that government hoarding could drive up prices, pushing retail investors out and turning it into a 'national game.'
What do I think? In the short term, the market will continue to fluctuate, with the $85,000 mark being tested repeatedly. In the long term, government involvement may push Bitcoin into the mainstream, but the premise is that regulation shouldn’t become an obstacle. Trump's gamble is worth watching, but the crypto waters are deep, and government involvement may not all be good news. Let’s just enjoy the spectacle and patiently wait to see how far this 'national Bitcoin dream' can go!

Everyone will experience failure at some point; in fact, failure is not frightening. The key is how you recover from it.

Evening thoughts are sent out in advance, providing opportunities for double harvests!

Congratulations!

One cake for a thousand points, two cakes for a hundred points, easily grasped.
#交易心理学 $BTC

#交易心理学
For the majority, participation in the market yields higher profits

According to studies such as the "Journal of Finance", retail investors typically perform worse than institutional investors in the stock market over the long term, with a profit ratio between 20%-30%.

Trading is still a case of market participation
S&P 500 Index Fund (chosen by Buffett)

Hedge Fund Average (chosen by Sider)

Start Date: January 1, 2008

End Date: December 31, 2017

S&P 500
Total Return: 125.8%
Annualized Return: 8.5%
Hedge Fund
Total Return: 22%
Annualized Return: 2.2%

If abilities such as profitability, information sensitivity, project analysis, and stable mindset are better than those of fund managers, then the above does not apply.

Bernstein's analysts believe that Bitcoin's current decline demonstrates stronger resilience than during any previous crisis. Historical data shows that during past crises (such as the market panic triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic, rising interest rates, etc.), Bitcoin's price dropped by 50% to 70%. However, the current decline (only 26%) indicates that the demand for Bitcoin is coming from more robust capital.
Analysts believe that Bitcoin's price, as a leading indicator of risk appetite, will still not affect its long-term value storage function as a digital asset. In the long run, Bitcoin is more like 'digital gold'; although it has higher trading volatility and liquidity, it also possesses the value storage potential akin to gold.

Ultimate Guide to Contracts!
Winning Rules for Perpetual Contract Trading:
1. Understanding the Underlying Logic: First, Understand the Game Rules
1. Core Mechanism Breakdown
✅ No Expiration Date: 24/7 Trading, need to monitor market trends at all times
✅ Price Double Insurance: Marked Price = Spot Index + Funding Rate, to prevent liquidations from spikes
✅ Rate Regulator: Every 4-8 hours, both long and short sides pay fees to each other (when positive rate, shorts earn from longs)
2. Leverage Risk Visualization
⚠ 100x Leverage = 1% adverse fluctuation leads to liquidation
⚠ 1000x Leverage = 0.1% fluctuation leads to forced liquidation (comparable to high wire walking)
❗ It is recommended for beginners to complete 20 hours of simulated trading training before going live
2. Core Survival Strategies: The Three Tools of Professional Traders
1. Technical Analysis Combo
🔧 MACD + RSI + Bollinger Three Indicator Resonance: When all three align, win rate increases by 37% (Coinbase 2023 data)
🌊 Volume-Price Coordination Principle: Volume must increase by more than 2 times when breaking key levels
2. Position Control Golden Ratio
💰 Single Trade Risk ≤ 2% of Total Capital (for example, in a $10,000 account, stop loss amount ≤ $200)
📊 Dynamic Leverage Adjustment Method:
▫ Range Market: 5-10x Leverage
▫ Clear Trend: 15-20x Leverage
▫ Extreme Conditions: Switch to Spot to Avoid Risk
3. Advanced Take Profit and Stop Loss Techniques
🎯 Fibonacci Retracement Take Profit: Exit in batches at 61.8%, 78.6% key levels
🛑 Trailing Stop Loss Strategy: For every 1% price increase, move stop loss line up by 0.8%
3. Advanced Arbitrage Strategy: Harvest Funding Rates
1. Funding Rate Cycle Rules
⏰ Binance/OKX settles every 8 hours (UTC 0:00/8:00/16:00)
📈 Short arbitrage opportunities appear when funding rate > 0.1%
2. Hedging to Enhance Returns
⚖ Holding Spot + Opening Short Contracts can yield an additional annualized 8-15% funding rate return (2023 BTC tested data)
4. Psychological Training Manual: Overcome Human Weaknesses
🧠 Set Daily Trading Limits: Stop trading for 24 hours if losses reach 5%
💡 Counterintuitive Training:
▫ Think in reverse when the community is frantically calling trades
▫ Forcefully reduce leverage by 50% after 3 consecutive profitable trades
📝 Establish a Trading Journal: Record emotional index (1-5 points) for each trade
5. Long-term Survival Rules
🔔 Regular Monthly Checks:
1. Is maximum drawdown exceeding 15%?
2. Is win rate consistently below 45%?
3. Is the proportion of fees exceeding 30% of profits?

#交易心理学 #风险回报比

Evening thoughts perfectly secured a 1600-point cake. #交易心理学 #美国加征关税 #巨鲸动向 $BTC

#交易心理学 introduces our in-depth discussion on risk management, the fourth theme—#交易心理学
Emotions, biases, and discipline are key factors in successful trading. Learning to manage emotions, overcome cognitive biases, and maintain discipline can help you optimize trading decisions and achieve more robust trading results.
👉 Your post can include:
· How do you manage fear, greed, or FOMO during market volatility?
· What strategies do you use to overcome cognitive biases?
· How do you maintain discipline and strictly follow your trading plan?
Example: "I set clear trading rules and adhere to a disciplined trading schedule to avoid emotional decisions. At the same time, I regularly review my trading records to identify potential biases and adjust my strategies to optimize performance. #Trading

Already reached the first goal! Are you going to let the 1700 classics in front of you slip away? ​​​#美国加征关税 #交易心理学 $BTC

#交易心理学 Newcomers entering the circle for the first time, is there anything to pay attention to?

#持有SCDO未来星辰大海
Last week, digital asset investment products saw an outflow of $240 million! 📰

This significant change may have been triggered by the recent announcement of U.S. trade tariffs, which has raised concerns among investors about economic growth.

#BTC
Of this outflow, $207 million was attributable to a single factor, indicating how quickly market sentiment can shift. However, Bitcoin has still maintained an inflow of $1.3 billion this year to date, reminding us that despite short-term reactions, long-term beliefs remain strong.

Sometimes, the market just needs a shock to test who the long-term investors are! 🫳

Bitcoin

Macro Insights#交易心理学

🐶 Zhuang is really putting on a show, acting out the old cliché of pretending to drop. If you want to pull up, just do it decisively, stop with the meaningless distractions. The early session has been bouncing around the 787-797 range, and the bears are almost trapped by you, are you not satisfied yet? Do you really have to wait for the US stock market to open before making a move? Wouldn't it be better to just make a swift move? Dragging things out is really pointless.

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#交易心理学
#美国加征关税

Who to trust for rebates #交易心理学