First put on a nail, I didn’t take the first bite.
Logically, I should have been able to get the first bite, but on Friday I thought that Trump was going to take the stage and the chain might be in a mess, so I turned off the robot on the chain, and it was already afternoon when I woke up. Otherwise, I would definitely have been able to get the first bite, but it doesn’t matter, this kind of thing has no effect on me. I bought some at around 12 in the evening, and now it’s 46, with a profit of 283.33%. In the evening, I talked about this with the analysts and traders on my team, bought a little, and then stopped paying attention. After all, it was the weekend, and the most important thing was to rest.
The U.S. cryptocurrency reserve list has led to a rise in some altcoins. Will we still see altcoin season in 2025? Will the four-year bull market pattern be broken?
I found that a few days ago, many people were still arguing that Bitcoin would fall to $80,000, but in the past two days, everyone seems to have started to be bullish again, and they are shouting that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 or even $200,000. This change in everyone's mood is even faster than the weather forecast. Onchain Economy ETF, also re-examined the recent Some directions and factors that are relatively favorable to the market in the future. As a result, less than a day later, Trump started to "promote goods" again. Today, there is a rumor that Trump is open to creating a US-first cryptocurrency reserve, and will give priority to tokens such as USDC, SOL and XRP. As shown in the figure below.
Information is king, timing wins: If you want to get a piece of the new coin craze, information is your sword. Collect intelligence in advance to ensure that the source of the news is reliable and timely. Once the time is right, act decisively, but don't forget to stop when you are ahead and don't let greed blind your eyes.
Rationally follow the trend and don't forget the risks: Are you tempted by the price surge? Don't be impatient, analyze calmly first. Before following the trend, think clearly about your entry point, stop loss point and profit target. Remember, the market is never short of opportunities, but what is lacking is a rational mind.
Callback trap, step by step: When the market calls back, don't rush to buy the bottom. The first callback may be a bait for the dealer, who may use the rebound to attract more people to enter the market, and then smash the market hard. Wait patiently, observe the real intention of the market, and then decide when to take action.
The carnival and caution of doubling coins: doubling coins are exciting, but they are also accompanied by huge risks. Set a reasonable stop profit point and don't be greedy. When the market starts to pull back, pay attention to the amplitude. A 15% to 30% pullback is normal. If the market crash exceeds 50%, it may be a good time to buy the bottom, but don't forget to confirm again whether the bottom is stable.
Extreme market, decisive response: When encountering extreme pullbacks, such as an 80% plunge, don't hesitate, and stop losses in time. Although it hurts, it is better to have a short pain than a long pain. At the same time, take advantage of market fluctuations to find opportunities for short-term trading to make up for some losses.
Emotional management, calmness is king: In the currency circle, emotions are your enemy. Stay calm and don't let fear or greed influence your decision-making. Do more research, develop long-term strategies, and stick to them. Remember the old saying: "I am greedy when others are fearful, and I am fearful when others are greedy." In short, the currency circle is a place full of challenges and opportunities.
If you want to survive and grow here, you must learn how to protect yourself in this complex and changing market while seizing every possible opportunity. I hope that these experiences and lessons of mine can be a beacon on your way forward. $ETH $ADA $PNUT #加密市场回调 #比特币价格走势分析 #美国CPI数据即将公布
What should novices pay attention to when entering the crypto circle?
One, platform selection. Only use Binance or OKEx; do not touch other shoddy exchanges. If you really want to buy some altcoins, you can have a backup exchange like ZhiMa. Two, do not play contracts, but you need to understand contracts. What is a contract? A contract is the buying and selling in the traditional financial market, but in the cryptocurrency market, its leverage can go up to 125x... (extremely high). When we say do not play contracts, we mean not to play with high-leverage contracts because they are extremely risky. It can be said that if the leverage is set too high, no matter who you are, you will leave your money to the house. But why should we understand contracts? I mean, you need to know the basic contract knowledge to prepare for a future bull market. I resist you using high leverage, but I support you in learning low leverage, for example, when the bull market comes, if you open a three times contract or a five times contract, isn’t that a highly cost-effective wealth accumulation model? As a person in the crypto circle, if you do not understand how contracts operate, you are also unqualified.
Bitcoin Overcorrected, Will It Continue to Rebound? Predictions for Bitcoin's Rise and Fall in 2025!
Bitcoin has repeatedly touched around $91,000-$92,000 and rebounded, indicating strong short-term support at this position, and it is unlikely to fall in the short term. On the 4-hour level, it has already shown a 123 pattern. First, breaking through the downward trend line; Second, creating higher highs; Third, avoiding the formation of lower lows, which seems to be happening. The selling side also shows signs of weakness. If it can continue to close at this position and further create higher highs and higher lows, the subsequent rebound will likely continue.
There are two main zones in the vacuum area where Bitcoin previously fell:
1. The cryptocurrency industry will hold an inaugural ball on January 17 to celebrate the inauguration of Trump and Vance. This event will be hosted by BTC Inc. and Stand With Crypto, on January 17, 2025 (Friday) at 8:00 PM local time at the Andrew W. Mellon Audit Building in Washington, D.C., with ticket prices at $2,500 each.
2. The Bitcoin native layer two project Merlin has announced its support for Bitcoin's first unified asset protocol, Goldinals. Goldinals, developed by the Bitcoin ecosystem's native technology project Nubit, with the concept contributed by BRC20 founder Domo, is compatible with all existing Bitcoin asset protocols such as BRC-20, Ordinals, and Runes, aiming to unify the Bitcoin asset ecosystem and promote liquidity, transparency, and programming capabilities.
A Must-Read for ACT Holders! Unveiling Why ACT Can Become the Star Coin of the Altcoin Season!
Currently, the price of ACT is hovering around 0.28, with the previous strong support level of 0.3 now turning into a resistance level.
Bitcoin is also undergoing a deep correction, and it might drop to 60,000 or 70,000. This creates two possibilities for the market: either it is the end of a bull market, or we are entering a bear market directly.
But regardless of the situation, I firmly believe that ACT has already undergone a deep washout. As the first entirely new concept project, it will undoubtedly shine in the next round of rallies!
Conservatively estimating, in this bull market, ACT could rise to at least 2.5 dollars. If the market goes completely crazy, it might even hit over 5 dollars, just like DOGE did back in the day! As for the next strategic direction, I will focus on the lucrative opportunities in altcoins, expecting a potential upside of over 10 times.
The past few days have been a rollercoaster for Bitcoin and the entire market! However, since yesterday afternoon, Bitcoin has been rebounding, and the hourly chart looks great! Last night, as soon as the non-farm payroll data was released, there was another spike rebound. I previously mentioned that anything below 93,000 is an opportunity; those who listened should have made a decent profit by now! So, can we still invest in altcoins? Are there still opportunities? Don't rush; let's first look at the news and data.
Let's talk about 43742776965, predicting it will still adjust between 92,000 and 96,000. Although the K-line chart shows a head-and-shoulders pattern, the funding rate is not very optimistic, and bearish sentiment is strong. Especially that fear index, which has surprisingly dropped to 50, something unthinkable during a bull market! Let's take a look at the performance of the US stock market in the coming weeks; the understanding king is about to take office, and the dividends he promised before taking office should gradually be realized. By then, who knows, we might be able to enjoy again!
Now let's discuss 89336030760, expected to consolidate between 690 and 720. This guy remains as strong as ever. If Bitcoin suddenly surges, BNB might be relatively weaker, but that’s okay; after all, there are still a large amount of BNB locked up for airdrops. The platform token sector remains the number one safe-haven asset, very stable!
Lastly, let's talk about 94809375556, expected to fluctuate around 3150 to 3450. Although the trend is somewhat weak, it won't drop too much; relatively speaking, it is still quite stable.
Some important news:
1. New Hampshire proposes a bill to establish a "strategic Bitcoin reserve."
2. Bank of America believes that the rate cut cycle has ended, and the next rate cut is expected to occur in May.
3. Trump’s “hush money” case verdict: 34 counts found guilty, no punishment given.
4. US December seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment increased by 256,000, exceeding the expected 160,000, and the unemployment rate was 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.2%.
Now let’s discuss today’s daily BTC technical analysis. From the K-line perspective, the 1-hour level shows a downtrend, the 4-hour level shows an uptrend, the 12-hour level shows a downtrend, and the daily level shows a downtrend. The intraday resistance level is 96,000, and the support level is 92,300 USD. Currently, the market is turbulent; walking alone is lonely. Follow me for daily spot potential layouts and bull market strategy layouts.
BNSOL super staking enters its fifth phase; yesterday's ruling granted Trump unconditional release; Kenya plans to push for the legalization of cryptocurrency.
1. Today's major events 1. According to an official announcement, Binance has announced that the fifth phase of the BNSOL super staking project is Renzo (REZ), a re-staking protocol on the Ethereum and Solana chains. From January 13, 2025, 08:00 to February 1, 2025, 07:59 (UTC+8), users who hold BNSOL in their Binance accounts and wallets, or stake SOL to BNSOL, will receive REZ APR Boost airdrop rewards. 2. According to CNN, Judge Juan Merchan ordered the unconditional release of Donald Trump. The New York State Supreme Court judge ruled on the 'hush money' case against President Trump, finding him guilty on 34 counts, but due to the important stage of the presidential power transition process, he was released unconditionally with no penalties. Trump stated during the online court hearing in New York, 'This is political persecution, and it is intended to damage my reputation. The fact that I am being prosecuted is truly incredible. The truth is I am completely innocent. I did nothing wrong.'
Join me to navigate Web3 from a beginner to an expert without any foundation, and get started easily! What is a crypto contract? A brief explanation to help you understand! Recently, some friends asked: What is a crypto contract? In fact, contracts are the 'futures' of the crypto world, called Futures in English. But people in the crypto space insist on calling it contracts—why? Because each trade is like two people signing a 'future price bet'! What does the contract actually mean? Simply put, the essence of a contract is that two people disagree on the future price of a coin: One person thinks the price will rise in the future and wants to go long; Thus, the two people 'sign a contract' and take a bet. Whoever is right makes money, and whoever is wrong loses money.
The only point of contention in the current market:
Today is a holiday in the United States, the U.S. stock market is closed, and the potential impact of the non-farm payroll data coming this Friday The debate surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate direction seems to have shifted from multiple rate cuts within the year to whether there will be any rate cuts at all. The market expects over 95% probability that there will be no rate cuts in January, with some institutions even speculating that there won't be any rate cuts before July. It is very likely that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold this year, and if there are rate cuts, it might only be one. The previous non-farm employment figure was 227,000, and the market expectation is 160,000. Based on this data, a decrease in non-farm employment is highly probable, and maintaining the unemployment rate or a slight increase is also likely. Therefore, theoretically, this is slightly positive. If the unemployment rate rises but employment also increases, it should be a significant positive. However, if the unemployment rate rises and employment declines, it indicates a downward trend in the U.S. economy. Moreover, this data is completely opposite to the job vacancies data released on Tuesday, because job vacancies mean that employers have a higher demand for labor, which should reduce the unemployment rate and improve employment data. Thus, the market expects the economy to be strong, and the Federal Reserve will reduce or maintain the frequency of rate cuts. However, if Friday's non-farm data shows an increase in the unemployment rate and a decline in employment, it would mean that the Federal Reserve will open up more opportunities for rate cuts, and it's a bit early to talk about an economic recession as market data is still good. Therefore, if it does happen, it should be a slight positive. Of course, if the market insists on interpreting it as an economic recession, then there's nothing we can do. So regardless of how the unemployment rate data looks, it is always bad data: an increase in the unemployment rate suggests an economic recession, leading to an increase in rate cuts; a decrease in the unemployment rate suggests a strong economy, leading to unchanged or reduced rate cuts. Currently, the market is turbulent, walking alone is lonely. Follow me for daily spot potential layouts and bull market strategy layouts. $BTC $SOL $ADA #比特币价格走势分析 #加密市场回调 #美国非农数据即将公布
The underlying logic of investment: see the essence and do the right thing
Recently, Duan Yongping's interview at Zhejiang University has been pushed to the hot search. Some people say that this is a feast of investment philosophy. I agree with this very much. I am also very lucky. In the early years, I learned some superficial knowledge through reading books and combining my own injuries, so I have achieved such a small achievement today. I also have a deeper and deeper understanding: the real road must be simple and minimalist, not complicated and obscure. The truth is often simple, which makes most people unbelievable. Shouldn't the truth be high-end? So they desperately look for shortcuts, pray for salvation in infinite vanity, and are frustrated all their lives. This may be the portrayal of most people. At the end of the investment, you will find that it is actually philosophy. The truth is simple but dense, just like the Tao gives birth to "one", which is the largest without outside and the smallest without inside, and can be extended into all things in the world. Let us dissect these views of Duan Yongping one by one and learn Duan Yongping's investment philosophy.
Last night, there was a sudden wave of decline that wiped out all the gains from last week. The market has entered a new round of panic, especially seeing so much money missing from accounts, which is psychologically hard to bear, worrying that the market will continue to fall, pondering whether to cut losses. Some people keep slapping their thighs, thinking how nice it would be if they had sold at the high and could buy back now... During a downturn, various negative emotions arise, and everyone must adjust their mindset and not let the gains and losses of a single moment affect their mental state. Looking back at history, let's talk about this year's prolonged half-year of continuous decline. We have endured it; no matter how bad it gets now, it can't be worse than that time. Generally speaking, before a real big market trend begins, there will be a washout. The goal of the major players in washing out is to remove retail investors' chips. For example, when Ethereum rose to 3700, if you didn't take profits, a sudden crash would make you slap your thigh. If the market rises again to 3700, would you consider selling? If you can hold on, then after another crash down to 3300, would you regret it? If at this time the market rises again to 3700, would you sell? I think most retail investors would choose to take profits. If retail investors can still hold on, then there will be another washout, and basically, the retail investors' chips will be cleaned out completely. The main players will analyze big data and start the market after retail investors have exited. This is why retail investors who frequently trade will definitely lose money; human nature has been thoroughly studied by the main players.
As Bitcoin falls below 97000, the daily chart's trend has completely been disrupted, and the market may need more time to establish a new trend. However, it seems that all of this needs to be completed before January 20. After Trump took office, the government absorbed many leading figures in the cryptocurrency market, which is a very positive signal for the market. Tonight's unemployment data also shows positive results; the market seems to find no negative news at all, but the market is still following the decline of U.S. stocks. Moreover, this drop seems like the main players are fishing in troubled waters. They quietly buy in, forcing retail investors to cut losses. The only way for retail investors to make money in the cryptocurrency space is to outlast the magic with time. $SOL $ADA $ETH
Having just seen off the 'Christmas market', will the '2025 Year of the Snake Spring Festival effect' still come?
After just sending off the 'Christmas market', following a brief week of increases, the market has once again fallen into adjustment, dropping from a high of $102,750 to $92,500 this morning, a decline of 10%. This decline occurred under conditions where there were no substantial negative factors for the market, and both the speed and magnitude of the drop exceeded most people's expectations. In just over ten days, the annual Spring Festival holiday will arrive. Every year at this time, various 'Spring Festival effects' occur in China, such as the world's largest phenomenon of domestic population migration, the 'Spring Transportation'. Specifically in the cryptocurrency market, as the Spring Festival approaches, the market often enters a sluggish state. Historical data analysis shows that in the 20-30 days leading up to the Spring Festival, Bitcoin is very likely to experience a sharp decline, a phenomenon known as the 'Spring Festival effect', where increased living expenses lead investors to cash out, resulting in continuous capital outflow and triggering a downward trend.
Is the cryptocurrency market a place that can lead you to financial freedom?
The answer is yes, but the premise is that you can master the correct investment strategy, maintain rationality, be willing to endure volatility, and continue learning. Financial freedom has never been achieved through luck but through understanding, action, and a deep comprehension of the market.
Today, I will thoroughly analyze the iron rules and trading strategies of cryptocurrency trading that have weathered the storms of the market, hoping to illuminate the path for everyone in their investment journey in the cryptocurrency world, helping everyone avoid detours and significantly increase their chances of profit. One, accurately respond to market fluctuations A crash, undoubtedly, is a harsh test for the cryptocurrency market; it acts like a sharp scalpel, precisely dissecting the true quality of each cryptocurrency. When the market crashes like it has encountered a storm, the performance of quality cryptocurrencies often stands out. They act like a solid fortress, able to maintain relatively small declines amid the tumult. The underlying reason is likely that the market makers are fully supporting the prices; they are well aware of the inherent value of the cryptocurrency and invest large amounts of funds to stabilize it at critical moments. For instance, Bitcoin, during the cryptocurrency winter of 2018, saw the overall market decline by over 80%, but Bitcoin's decline was relatively small, around 70%. This performance highlights Bitcoin's stability as a quality cryptocurrency, allowing long-term holders to maintain confidence even in the darkest moments of the market. In contrast, if a cryptocurrency shows significant declines during a market downturn, even falling more than the overall market, it is likely a warning signal, indicating potential issues with that cryptocurrency. For example, a certain emerging cryptocurrency once experienced a sharp decline during a minor market adjustment, later revealed to have issues with fund misappropriation by its project team, leading to a plummet in value and significant losses for many investors.
Big ones are coming! Big ones are coming! To those who have achieved financial freedom in the crypto world, what have you done right? 1. First, adjust your mindset. Treat trading cryptocurrencies as a game; it doesn't matter whether you win or lose. Only in this way can you trade cryptocurrencies easily in the market. 2. Trade with spare money. The funds used for trading cryptocurrencies should be spare money that won't affect your daily life. Only by trading with spare money can you handle gains and losses more freely. 3. Make the most of your time to learn. If you want to trade cryptocurrencies well, quickly clarify practical technical indicators and strategies, engage in more practice, and summarize your experiences. 4. Be cautious in your first battle. As a novice, your capital is limited, so effectiveness is crucial. Especially in your first trade, prepare carefully to aim for a successful debut. Before trading, make good use of simulation systems to practice, and only enter the market after gaining some experience. Otherwise, you might get trapped or forced to sell at a loss when you first enter the market, which can significantly impact your confidence. 5. Protect your principal; using the money you earn to trade cryptocurrencies will make you feel more relaxed and enable more flexible trading. 6. Summarize your own methods. To transform from a novice into a seasoned trader, you must avoid chasing prices and over-investing. Always remember that as long as you don't chase highs, you can transform from a novice into a seasoned trader. Be good at learning, and through practical operations, summarize a set of trading skills that suit you; this is fundamental to becoming a seasoned trader. 7. Only trade strong leading coins; concentrate your funds. When trading cryptocurrencies, focus on the leading coins. Diversifying your funds not only increases trading costs but also makes it difficult to analyze and grasp the market features of each coin accurately. Recently, there is an insider coin that is preparing to explode; doubling is quite simple. At the same time, I am also looking for some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, with an expected growth space of over 10 times being no problem. If you want to keep up, like and leave a message for free sharing.
The holiday in the U.S. is over, liquidity returns! Bitcoin breaks 100,000; where will the wealth effect concentrate? Regarding ETFs, on January 6, Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of $987 million, while Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of $128 million. The funds that left the market at the end of last year have shown a significant recovery after the New Year, and the U.S. market funds are beginning to revive. In terms of market trends, Bitcoin rebounded as expected, but the increase in trading volume is relatively low. This volume does not support a sustained price increase and the initiation of a new trend. The market is likely to encounter resistance and fall back; while a new high is not ruled out, even if a new high occurs, Bitcoin is likely to fake breakthrough and return to a high-level consolidation area.