The red area I shaded in the picture is the most terrifying phase of Altcoin death, I don't know if we are currently heading towards that area or not.
Next, looking at the RSI below, it also looks quite similar.
Be careful, folks, on the day Mr. Trump took office, the market was unpredictable.
Currently, $BTC has only slightly shaken from 104k to 103k, yet many Altcoins have already lost more than 10% like $ACT $NEIRO

$BTC has not yet dropped to the 8x region while Altcoins are everywhere, scrolling through Square I see everyone complaining about losing the Tet holiday, cursing this and that.

Honestly, you guys need to grow up, this market is a hundred times more risky than the real estate market. A market that goes up and down is a real market; if you want to blame someone, blame yourself for not being patient enough to wait for a good price to buy.

If investing were too easy, there wouldn't be any cryptocurrency exchanges left.
There are still people making money whether the market goes up or down, but those people have also suffered substantial losses before learning their lessons, and only then can they stand firm in the market.

The image below I posted at the end of December, when $BTC closed the monthly candle like that, what else could possibly go up.

I am using $0.19 that the exchange gave me to start over. Wish me luck. 😅
With $0.19 I can't buy any Spot, but luckily I bought 0.6 coin $ACT .
Anyway, this time is quite hard to make money, I'm just playing with luck, not based on any signals, guys.

Many people easily get excited because of this handle cup model, I have also been affected.
According to the handle cup model many years ago, that upward movement would rise very strongly to a higher point, but now it doesn't.
The times are different now, it might dip down slightly and then curve up, who knows.
MM has figured out our investor behavior.
$ENA

What is $BTC plotting, taking the stairs with a candle, taking the elevator tonight, right? 😂😂

3 Biggest Mistakes I Made When I First Deposited Money on the Exchange a Year Ago.

Mistake 1:
Kept thinking that when $BTC rises, Altcoin will also rise.

Mistake 2:
Did not buy $BNB at the price of $220, at that time CZ was entangled in some allegations and then went on to do other things.

Mistake 3:
Jumping back and forth from this Altcoin to that Altcoin while incurring losses. Closed the Future order myself out of fear of being liquidated.

Try to share the mistakes you have made.

$GAS This is called a chart created by the exchange.

When the market is dropping, many people go short, so the exchange pushes it up to catch them.

Then it comes back down to pick up longs, as the Altcoin market is dropping, how can these low-cap coins have a strong increase?

These low-cap coins are very misleading, don't have too much hope, whether going long or short, it's easy to get liquidated.

At a price level of 100k, while the big players are still buying, it may be that the price range of $BTC has only been the bottom.

It is not simple for large investors to make such decisions; their investment vision looks towards 5 - 10 years, or even 20 years into the future. That is what true investment is called.

Like most of us small fish, we often hesitate because we think the price of $BTC is too high, so we don't dare to buy. Yes, it is only high for us, but for the big players, it means nothing.

So if it is indeed true that currently $BTC is at the bottom, how much does it need to rise for Altcoins to potentially x10, x50 during the Altcoin Season that many people are still looking forward to.

The meaning of taking the stairs instead of the elevator is simply to allow you to react quickly.

I really don't understand why so many KOLs say that in 2025, altcoins will x10, x100, and I don't understand what basis they are relying on. Many people participating in the market also get swept up in those enticing words.

Look at the chart $ETH right now; if you hope it rises again soon so you can cut your losses or break even, forget it. It will rise again, but not as soon as you wish.

The new pandemic news in China is threatening the global economy. If it unfolds in a situation just like in 2019/2020, do you know what the price $BTC and the entire market will look like?

This is just a warning. In the case that the world manages to control the pandemic well before it spreads globally, the market will recover.

China is facing a new outbreak, which may be an excuse for $BTC and the market to decline sharply, but how long it will decrease and to what price, no one can know for sure. I still view the possibility of returning to the 74k area to withdraw.

If the situation is more serious, it could break through 74k.

Anyone who wants to come in and curse can do so; I don't have time to debate or respond to those comments, but I feel this situation is similar to late 2019 and early 2020.

The advice is for anyone about to lose in HIGH leverage LONG positions to just give up, don't DCA resistance.

I am studying how the platform's algorithm works.

1. There is one thing I find strange, for example, if a Lead Trader has 1000 people copying him, every time this Lead places an order, 1000 orders will be placed at the same time. But the loss rate of a good Lead Trader is quite low, which means that the platform's algorithm does not focus on how many people place orders at the same time.

2. I have noticed many times that when I trade using only 10% of the total capital I put into Futures, the chances of winning are higher, but when I go all in, it feels like a fish on the chopping block waiting to be slaughtered.

Clearly, I still see many people using very high leverage, up to over 50x, yet they still profit. (Or maybe they bet both ways, and whichever side wins, they boast about it).

One more thing I often encounter is that if I keep trying to add armor for resistance, the risk of blowing up is not low at all, because the more I add, the more capital I use up.

These are the things I often encounter, so I share to see if many people are experiencing the same as me.
$ETH $BTC

Never has a monthly candle pulled its tail down so long.

Wow, next month looks very bad for the market.

The prediction is a drop to 74,000, until the day Mr. Trump takes office, it will pull up, hopefully.

For BTC, it's nothing to worry about, just afraid of Altcoin.
$BTC

This is the Week frame of $BTC

Exactly 3 weeks from now is the day Mr. Trump officially takes office. So how will the next 3 weekly candles behave?

Let's try to guess what scenarios might occur.

I guess:

1 -- If the next 3 weeks continue to create red candles, then the fourth week will have to be a green candle. That is also the week Mr. Trump takes office.

2 -- If this week is red, and the next 2 weeks are green, then the fourth week might also be red.

$BTC is really taking advantage of this news to create an excuse to increase or decrease; the inauguration day will definitely be a very volatile day, it might pretend to rise for a few hours then decrease for a few days or weeks.

Looking at the daily chart of $LINK , it's hard for me to see a significant upward movement. 😅

I've heard that, but it's just hearsay, that in the $30 range of Link, there are big players who have been holding since the 2021 cycle. This means the price is unlikely to break through that level.

Currently, the daily chart clearly shows signs of a downward trend. $BTC has not significantly dropped to the 8x range yet, and if it does drop to 8x, this Link may likely decline sharply as well.

Anyway, this is just a one-sided opinion; in this market, volatility is unpredictable, so it's wise to be cautious before investing.

Notice that every time the market drops, low-cap coins, fan tokens, and monitoring coins tend to rise sharply.

1- This is because few people are buying them, they are light-weight, and market makers can easily push the waves.

2- When they rise to a certain high point, many people will jump in to short, and the more they short, the more they get burned, because these coins are manipulated by market makers. Once they resolve the short positions, they will start to drop quickly to catch longs. For example, the coin $ATA

In general, these three types of coins are just bait, whether you long, short, or hold, you will lose.

Just be patient, even if you have losses before, be patient; at this moment, those standing outside feel easier to sleep.

I feel like the market is slowly decreasing, just like in June and July. Whenever the market behaves like this, it’s really boring; it’s better to do something else than just sit and watch.
$ATA

This is the weekly frame chart of $OP .

For example, if the position we are standing at coincides with the previous 2 positions. Then OP will wait for about 8 more weekly candles to know whether there is an uptrend or an Altcoin season.

So keep a close watch on OP over the next 8 weeks; if during those 8 weeks OP remains sideways in the price range of around $1.5, then I think that is the right time to Hold Spot.

And if history repeats itself, then during the Uptrend price increase, OP could peak at $7.2.

Yes, what I said above is in a positive direction, so what about the negative direction?

If everything goes as planned in the next 8 weeks, and many people jump in to Hold OP, then MM might not even bother to push the wave, but will continue to play the game of shaking off investors to let go of their holdings, while pushing the waves of other coins.

And you should remember that OP and ARB have many people who bought at the peak; if these peak buyers decide to Hold To Die, then MM might not even bother to push the wave for real.

January, reloaded funds to continue playing, currently burned out. 😂

Let me tell you the story of when I hadn't deposited money into the exchange; I had $70 from mining $ETH back in 2021. After that, I just left the $70 there until the beginning of 2023, when I decided to use that $70 to trade $ETH .
But to be honest, at that time I didn't know how to buy and sell, I only used conversion, meaning I converted from USDT to $ETH , and if I made a profit, I converted back.

From that $70, I turned it into $264 just by converting ETH.

My strategy back then was very simple; I only looked at the daily candles. Whenever I saw 3 red candles on the daily chart, I would convert, then I would wait until the next day to check. If there was still no profit, I would check again the next day, until I saw 1 or 2 green candles, then I would close the trade, and I kept doing that until I made $264.

At that time, ETH was around $1500.

And then what happened? I started to deposit money, but I didn't trade the old way anymore; instead, I invested haphazardly in Altcoins, and in the end, I lost.

Recently, the market has been very difficult to navigate, even BTC itself doesn't know which way to go, but going up seems to be harder than going down.

Altcoins have some that are rising and some that are falling, at this moment it's best to just stay on the sidelines.

I hope investors are cautious before deciding to invest at this time.
$BTC

When I first entered the market a year ago, I was very confused, not knowing which coin to invest in because there were too many, so I went to YouTube to watch some KOLs to clear my confusion.

When I first started, I only played Spot + listened to KOLs, but in the end, I still lost.

After watching KOLs for a long time, there was a time I heard a KOL mention the term "heavy ship". It means that if a coin has too many people holding it, it will be hard to take off.

At the time I heard the KOL call ARB and OP about a year ago, ARB was somewhere around $2, and OP was also close to $4. And of course, many people jumped in to hold these two. And I guess KOLs will never hold the coins they call. And I still clearly remember them saying that after one year, which is now, ARB could be 19$ and OP could be $40.

That's right, this is exactly guiding newcomers to stay away from their bait, because if they don't do that, newcomers might hold the coins that KOLs are holding, which would be troublesome. And they will also avoid analyzing the coins they hold if viewers happen to ask questions about those coins.

From the moment I heard about "heavy ship", I felt something strange, I stopped watching those KOL's YouTube clips, luckily I didn't hold ARB and OP at high prices.

For example, if I were a good trader, I wouldn't have the time to call others to buy this coin or that coin. And after thinking it over, I still don't understand what benefit I gain from calling trades.

The exchange might allow you to win alone, but if you drag your whole family into it, the exchange will refuse.