$USDC
When to bottom out? When to add positions?
Wait for the price to reach 7.5, wait for greed to turn into fear!
At that time, don't hesitate to use up your bullets, uninstall the exchange, hold until March next year, and then come back to this post.
Is it okay if I pin it? See you in March next year!

$BTC$ETH
Evening Analysis:
The interest rate cut has turned into a bearish signal; remember that chaos is brewing, and soon it will be Christmas disaster! The road is long and winding; when will the account be safe?

A high warning for three consecutive days, and the anticipated drop of ten thousand indeed came; this morning, 100,000 broke down. Although there was a rebound to the 1026 position within the day, it currently seems weak in its upward attempts. Last night at 2 AM, we witnessed this historical moment together; the interest rate cut led to a complete collapse, US stocks plunged, gold broke through 2600, and the crypto market saw widespread declines! The lack of any rebound is indeed a bit beyond expectations! Therefore, I didn't dare to suggest shorting, as extreme market conditions cause significant psychological pressure!

The BTC trend during the day is not particularly strong; a rebound of 4000 is within expectations, as typically a drop of ten thousand should see a rebound of 3000-5000. I believe the general direction is still a bounce to short, as this is just the first jab; there should be a second jab in the 4-hour chart! In principle, the bullish trend of BTC has not broken; it still belongs to an upward channel. If it were at ten thousand, there would definitely be opportunities to take long positions at 100,000, as locking in this profit of 2000 is crucial—don't let it drop and end up giving back profits! BTC's one-hour rise to 1026 met resistance, and without a V-shaped rebound, the peak would be around 103500!

Ethereum, on the other hand, is not optimistic. Currently, the daily line has broken the previous high, diverging and breaking the upward trend at the daily level, and it needs to pull back at the weekly level! Therefore, it’s not advisable to force long positions at this time; unless it’s spot trading, it’s useless to say even 5000. You need to consider your position's bearing capacity! Today's rebound to 3720 is an excellent position to enter short orders. It could drop back to around 3560!

The above analysis is purely personal trading records; those who follow are responsible for their own profits and losses!

$BTC $ETH

It's set in stone, definitely 25bp. Just as expected.
The key focus next is Powell's speech on 3.30, which will determine the market volatility.

Currently, we are experiencing slight fluctuations on a 15-minute chart, and there will be significant fluctuations later. There's no rush to enter the market. Wait for the peak or a golden opportunity. Control your own hands.

Personally, I lean towards the technical side. If it can pull back to 102, you can enter; if it rises to 108, you can short. Set your stop loss at 1 point. After all, we all need to sleep 😹!

What highlights are there in the Federal Reserve's year-end interest rate decision? Is the 25bp cut a certainty?

At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve is set to announce the much-anticipated December interest rate decision, and Chairman Powell will, as usual, speak at the routine press conference half an hour later (3:30). Currently, the industry widely expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by another 25 basis points at this week's meeting, with little suspense remaining.

This will mark the Federal Reserve's third consecutive meeting to announce a rate cut after September and November, bringing the total rate cut for the year to an estimated 100 basis points.

So what important information should we focus on regarding tonight's rate cut?

I believe there are three main highlights:

1. Will there be continued hints for January?

2. How many more times can we expect a rate cut in 2025?

3. Will Powell and Trump stage a 2.0 version!

Personally, I am particularly interested in the third point 😹🤣
#美降息25个基点预期升温

$BTC $ETH

The countdown to the globally anticipated interest rate decision night has begun—only 4 hours left

11.18 Midnight Analysis Issue 85
It looks like everyone is very excited tonight, seemingly wanting to stay up to increase their positions? The evening discussion has ignited my passion for creation tonight, and it seems I must go live at 2 AM.

First, let's take a look at the market: both Bitcoin and Ethereum have made a surge and then a pullback tonight. This morning, a friend in the comments asked me what to do with the long position at 398; I believe I mentioned that around 389 was an opportunity to escape. If you can escape, tonight you might consider entering a long position around 3786, but don’t go in too heavy, as I’m afraid of a spike, with a stop loss at 3750. Additionally, you can re-enter at 3715 with a slightly larger position, without a stop loss, reserving a position for averaging down, keeping the risk below 2800. Of course, if it doesn’t drop, those who are aggressive can consider shorting at 3820, exiting at 3880. You can choose a stop loss at 38.

Bitcoin's movement is similar; consider entering around 10350 with a small position and aim to gain another $1000, with a stop loss below 103. If you enter at 102460, make sure to set a stop loss at 102; only then will there be a chance.

For now, I'm not looking to short; there may be such drops before the interest rate cut, and it may rise after the midnight close. The closing line must be set this way, just waiting to see where the spike occurs. There will definitely be many betting on a rise tonight, so I believe if it goes up, it’s time to exit, and those who should short must do so 🈳️. This way, this market movement can justify the 8-hour divergence.

Look at the chart to identify these market movements: today I analyzed the 4-hour divergence from 996 down to 909; the 6-hour divergence from 10450 down to 902, and the 8-hour divergence shouldn’t be so lightly dismissed at 103. At least we need a $10,000 drop. Unless it directly rises to $110,000 to break this divergence.

So, from a cost-effectiveness perspective, the upward space is temporarily limited, while the downward space is at least larger before the New Year, so entering on a rise to short is not wrong!

$BTC $ETH
Evening analysis:
Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night. The interest rate decision at 3 am must be very intense!
Because the interest rate decision is coming soon and the market is reversed, I will temporarily post an analysis for everyone to read!
The market sentiment today is indeed very panic. Although the greed index is high, many people are definitely afraid to enter the market! If you have suggestions for spot selling, please read my posts during the day. Basically, every post is telling you the truth. The bull market is not over. Accept every retracement!
Originally, last night, in the morning, we were looking at the bottom test near 100,000. If it didn’t reach it during the day, it doesn’t mean it won’t reach it. The selling pressure before the interest rate cut shows that some people still have doubts about the result of this interest rate cut that has been set in stone! The 8-hour technical divergence is also real!
So I have to correct the reversal mentioned above. Tonight’s rise is not a reversal but a rebound. It is likely that it will rush down as it rushed up! The decline must fall through, and the rise must rise to the end. From the perspective of the rise, this time, both the segment level and the large level are satisfactory to the market. A micro-strategy has achieved a profit of 20 billion US dollars through BTC hoarding!

Don’t underestimate the positive side of the interest rate cut. Don’t be surprised even if it rushes to 1.9, but whether it is tonight’s pull or tomorrow’s pull, this callback is not in place, so the air force should not panic, and the long army should stop profit!

BTC’s upward attack first looks at around 106500. When it reaches this position, look at the strength and sentiment. If it cannot be sustained well, then it is necessary to arrange short orders to enter the market. My short orders are also above 106. Half of them were sold near 103 today. I also took everyone to make a long order of 1,000 dollars. The market is picking up money, and the position is not small, so I have a profit at the previous high of 109 to continue to cover the position, and the stop loss is set at 110,000!

ETH's trend is still positive. It hit 3800 and started to counterattack. The rebound in the evening reached 3880 and stabilized. So there is a chance to go to 395-398 tonight! Of course, if you short BTC, don't short Ethereum. The most taboo is to have two orders and poor position control at the same time! This risk is very high!

Tonight may be online, lasting until 4 am. If there are night owls, you can chat in the live broadcast room together! Let's see if there are many real numbers in the comment area. After all, the weather is getting colder, everyone should pay attention to their health!

$USUAL
Finally caught a doubling coin during the major pullback. I want to thank the fan who came to the live room at that time! You entered at 0.45, and I followed the bot at 0.65, but after getting into pre-market trading, I was notified to sell at 1.2!

So it can be considered that I sold at the very top!
It seems that the coin $PENDLE , which is about to break its previous high, is about to start. I'm going to make a swap! Let's see if I can continue to fly a bit longer!

The Legendary True Case in the Crypto World - Cognition Determines Cost, Cost Determines Profit!

A foreign Chinese friend got in touch with Bitcoin in 2009, and it was the kind that was actually used. At that time, the main use of BTC was for transactions, and surprisingly it was stored on a USB drive. Can you imagine what the price of BTC was back then?

He told me: There was a transaction that was difficult to move out of the country, and someone suggested using a digital virtual currency called BTC, which was convenient and safe.

After all, a legitimate businessman would not use such gray methods for transactions long-term; not every transaction has issues, so naturally, there would be negative doubts about this new thing! Just like with every new thing, without proper guidance, it is hard for the public to accept! That’s why BTC spread quickly in the U.S. after the WikiLeaks incident when donations sparked interest! Following this righteous way, the culture of this circle naturally spreads its positive aspects!

By the time this friend reappeared in the crypto world, during the last bull market, he had crazily invested a few million at around 80 bucks, and soon after, the small change at the back turned into the small change at the front!

These two experiences continuously refreshed his perception of the crypto world, and he had no good feelings about it!

This bull market saw BTC rise to 70,000, coinciding with Trump's inauguration, which made him rethink that BTC has a promising future!

In this process, the cost of BTC kept increasing; it used to be a few hundred dollars, now it’s over tens of thousands of dollars for one. This is the wealth skew effect—if you are early in touching new things, the money of the wealthy will naturally tilt into your pocket!

Returning to a benchmark reference - Gold

The gold market has walked through a millennium, while the BTC market has been around for less than 20 years. The Internet has accelerated the process of social dissemination; perhaps the speed of dissemination in these 20 years is faster than that of the previous 100 years. However, in the hearts of holders, without the accumulation of a generation, the road ahead is still long!

This era needs more variables to perfect itself! Otherwise, a single wall you climb over can block your view of the world, and breaking this wall is actually very simple, but the process takes a long time!

What should I do if I get stuck in this round? There are several normal mentalities that must be in place in the bull market!

1. Don't predict any peaks. I think that according to the 4-year cycle, this market should have 6-12 months left, and as long as it works, we should stick to it. So far, the overall performance is not too good, but not too bad.

2. It is a good thing to talk about profit taking and making plans before profit taking and making plans. When your portfolio doubles every week and soars, you start to think about this issue, then your mentality is wrong.

3. When people talk about profit taking, you should be happy because it usually means that the top has not yet arrived.

4. Every friend who comes to ask me if I can still take it, when there is a general decline, I think either stop loss at 8-10 points, or wait for more than 50% to take profit! If you don't understand the trend, the dumbest way is not to move around! If you think the bull market is over, just leave as soon as possible! It's not necessarily bad to take action on your own judgment, but you have to bear the people around you cx you, you once had a lower position of chips!

#圣诞行情预测 #加密市场盘整 #BTC走势预测

$BTC
Have you got this money? The position you opened is not as good as yours. 103250 standard. Have you got 1000 dollars? Have you followed it?

This is a market where you can run away and kill mosquitoes, so just do it boldly.
3-5 thousand is hard to eat. Isn't a thousand dollars just the time to go to the toilet? 😹

$BTC $ETH
Every afternoon at 3 PM, after tea and meals, let's chat about the happenings in the B circle!

BTC+ETH Information:
BTC and ETH fell about 5% last night and today!
Contract Holding Data: 135.04 billion
24-hour Liquidation: 420 million (considered a relatively large liquidation day)
Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of 4,584 coins yesterday (BlackRock bought the most, GBTC sold the most)
Ethereum spot ETF had a net inflow of 36,300 coins yesterday (Etha bought the most)

Sector Rotation:
Apart from platform coins, everything else is down (BGB, LTC, HARB)

Macro News:
A crucial battle for interest rate decision at 3 AM!!!

Focus:
Binance Alpha is definitely the hottest today, 5 Alpha projects will be announced at 6 PM, it seems there was recently false news about the Solana ecosystem's RIF, which surged by 60% in an instant!

1. The market continues to adjust today, and uncertainty remains about whether there will be an interest rate cut in the meeting at 3 AM tomorrow. Many people are taking profits before the meeting for fear of surprises. This is quite normal; although the probability of a rate cut has returned to 95%, no one can say it's 100%!

2. Regarding ETF data, excluding the two large funds IBIT and ETHA, the data for this week has been gradually decreasing. Off-site institutions may also be waiting for a big opportunity, and there's no urgency to operate recently. The recent decline in altcoins is quite noticeable, but we believe it hasn't reached a price where it can be bought at the bottom.

3. There are rumors in the market that the Bitcoin Policy Research Institute has drafted an executive order on Bitcoin strategic reserves for President Trump. If Trump takes office, he will likely sign it. Whether Trump's promises can be fulfilled will be seen after he takes office.

$BTC
Already on board, this increase of $1000 is like picking up money.
Let's see if there are friends joining in the money-picking action.
Once this village is gone, this shop won't be there.
When small money drops, dare to buy more; when it rises, dare to short.
Hold onto spot and don't move it around!
Making money in the crypto world is just this kind of logic, not too complicated.

$BTC
First look at the 15-minute level, is it okay to take a small long position at 103250 Bitcoin?
Perfect support, with a smaller position, 30% of the position, if it continues to the second level, just add to the position at 102600, stop loss if it drops below 10200!

$BTC $ETH
Reminder on the 16th, continue reminders on the morning of the 17th. Still reminding last night, contract players, remember to review the homework!

Just hold onto the spot dydx and crv without moving! In a bull market, anyone who tells you it's over, just blacklist them and that's it. Of course, if you think the bull market is over, you can blacklist me too!

All metrics for BTC haven't peaked, so why should we think it's peaked? We won't engage in a one-person struggle against Wall Street; even if we fail, we should at least go down with dignity. Otherwise, what's the point of being in this circle!

$BTC $ETH
For friends who trade in spot, we have to follow suit. Let’s play with contracts today. Don’t participate if you haven’t played before!

I was bearish last night and this morning, so I can only start to use my bearish sentiment to cx everyone
The same thing, the 4-hour divergence reached 909, the 6-hour divergence reached 902, and the 8-hour divergence reached 100,000, right?

Prepare for short-term trading today, and those who want to play should start gathering!

$BTC $ETH $SOL
Midday Analysis:
Looking at a potential pullback of 10,000, has the bull market collapsed? Should we cut losses and escape?
First, to answer this question, the bull market has not ended, and the anticipated big bull has still not appeared!

Review: Last night, it was mentioned that interest rate cuts are approaching, and FOMO sentiment continues to rise. Prices have not yet peaked, but sentiment is already nearing the top. In this situation, high-level shakeouts are likely, so a pullback is normal! Even a pullback of 10,000 is quite normal!

Analysis:
Chart 1: The BTC trend has shown a historic weekly 7 consecutive gains, a situation we have indeed never seen before. You might have seen it on a daily chart, but a weekly one is quite rare, so a 7 consecutive gain followed by a pullback is very normal; consider it a breather after climbing the stairs! Of course, the 8-12 hour top divergence is already quite evident (price breaks previous high, MACD does not break previous high). Therefore, pulling back to the MA60 moving average and the bottom of the ascending channel is quite normal. There cannot be a rise without a fall! The last 4-6 hour divergences have shown drops of 10 points (4-hour divergence: 996-909; 6-hour divergence: 1045-902).

So, combining time, space, volume, and price, it can basically be re-tested around the 100,000 mark! The support position is at 100,500!

Chart 2: The ETH trend seems to resemble a counterfeit pattern, with deep pulls at every support and resistance level, and the M-shaped pattern is also very pronounced; similar to BTC, it has risen to 4,100 and shown 8-12 small level divergences!

Combining the first two points, this drop to 3,700 should not be a big issue!

Chart 3: SOL showed rare strength yesterday. There was a chance to break 230 and look for a short position, but it couldn't rise past 228! SOL is experiencing a weekly level pullback. Normally, why is SOL lagging behind when it is a mainstream coin? It’s not too far behind considering it has reached 263. If ETH gains strength, SOL naturally needs to be more obedient. Additionally, the sudden increase in XRP's market cap is also diluting some funds! These are not the most important points; isn't the FTX liquidation supposed to start soon? SOL has some selling pressure!

SOL returning to around 200 and rebounding once more, the remaining factor is whether there is a strong intention to break below 200!

$BTC $ETH $SOL #xrp
12.17 Midnight Analysis No. 84
Good night, cryptocurrency traders, I am Jiuge!
It is dangerous tonight, please pay attention to your positions. Bearish across the board!
The U.S. stock market opened, and all three indexes fell: the Dow fell 0.58%, the S&P 500 fell 0.49%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.37%. In terms of cryptocurrency concept stocks, MicroStrategy fell nearly 2%, and Coinbase rose 0.5%.

The crypto market is currently close to a rate cut, and the greed index is high, so it is necessary to shake up the high position. Tonight's market will not be too optimistic.

Review: Last night's bullish Bitcoin 109 is not too far away at present, and Ethereum 4100 is standard. Sol ignored it. There was a long order of 216, half of which was sold at 226, and the stop loss was moved at 220.

As for the trend tonight, my personal opinion is that it is close to the peak of this round of high-rise. Bitcoin is only 2-3 thousand dollars away from 109, and Ethereum is 1-200 away from 108.

Analysis: Bitcoin rushed to 108 and is only 1,000 dollars away from 109. The US stock market rushed at the opening. Based on the current market trend, the risk of a high-rise fall will be greater. There is a divergence at the 8-hour level, so it is currently in a high-risk stage. With the greed index of 88, continuing to attack is to catch up with the top. The faster it rises, the harder it falls. It is best to keep sideways and then pull up after the policy is implemented.

Ethereum's 4100 is also an 8-hour divergence, and the head and shoulders top of 1-4 hours. I talked about two views in the morning. If it breaks through 4020 and stands firm, there is still a chance. If it fails to break through, it will continue to fall back to 38-39. If it falls back at the 12-hour level, you can see 3700.

Sol rushed in the day, but did not break through 230, and the downward channel was not broken. The wash-out continued to rise and fall. The weekly level dead cross was the second week, waiting for the big bottom!

Operation: It is recommended not to enter the market at will tonight and tomorrow, and connect the needle further down. You can consider the 10,000 knife cut again.

It is safer to arrange long orders at Ethereum 3700.

Sol can only walk and watch.

$SOL
First, take a short position, enter at 216, exit half at 226, and hold the rest for 230. Move the stop to 225.

If you touch Sol, you must take it down, and regain the advantage. Nice.

$SOL $BONK $RAY
Brothers, take off!
It turned green
Mr. Zhu’s orders really worked!
Sol has been sinking for a long time, and it’s time to soar into the sky
The requirements are not high, just 10 points, eat and run away!

$FTT

Some time ago, some people said that Trump would release the Afro in advance after taking office. After that, I always had this voice. Will Curly come out? I even started to pay attention to the trend of FTT every day. Until now, FTT has been pulling up dozens of points at any time, which makes me believe that Curly is really going to be released?

Especially today, I browsed some information about Biden, which made me more convinced that Curly might come out!

Let's see what Biden is doing with only a month left before the beautiful new president Trump is officially sworn in in January?

The memorandum of the White House Communications Director mentioned that Biden listed artificial intelligence, climate change and pardons and commutations as three work priorities. In the latter two, the Biden administration has recently made amazing ruling actions, but we have not seen what specific policies the Biden administration will introduce regarding the development of the AI ​​industry.

Let's not talk about AI and climate, let's only look at the work priorities of pardons and commutations!
Not long ago, it was reported that Biden announced the pardon of 39 people and commuted the sentences of 1,499 people, which set a record for the largest number of pardons by a US president in a single day in history.

The White House claimed that those who received pardons and commutations were "non-violent criminals", many of whom "would not be convicted according to today's legal standards." According to reports, many of them were convicted of marijuana issues. After 2022, the Biden administration gradually promoted the legalization of marijuana, reducing the criminal responsibility of these people. Although the White House did not disclose the specific identities of those who received pardons and commutations, the notice mentioned that they included an experienced veteran and a community nurse.

So, after reading these contents, let's take a look at Trump's favor for encryption after taking office. Is it possible to love the house and the people in it, not to mention release, at least to commute the sentence of Curly Hair, after all, he is not a violent crime, but an economic one!

If it is a fool's dream, then is the investment value of FTT back in people's sight?