Ethereum (ETH) has indeed lived up to everyone's expectations, accurately following the anticipated trajectory of October 24 (as indicated by the blue dashed line): successfully breaking through the EMA200 moving average, its trend has successfully shifted from bearish to bullish, and the original resistance line has now transformed into a strong support line.

In the subsequent movements, as long as its price can remain stable above the EMA200 moving average, even if there are some minor pullbacks, the upward trend still holds a high level of expectation.

There is even the possibility of replicating the extremely strong upward trend seen in early 2024.

However, at present, it is not the most ideal buying opportunity, and it is necessary to patiently wait for a more suitable moment to arise.

Looking at BTC, its price continues to hover around the extremely critical psychological price level of $100,000.

In this situation, compared to the risk of chasing more profits, focusing on safeguarding the profits already obtained is undoubtedly a wiser and more prudent strategy.

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Today, the Fear and Greed Index has surged to 94 again, a situation very similar to that from late October 2020 to early February 2021.

Many people are discussing that the current situation is just Bitcoin rising, while most other cryptocurrencies remain in a slump, so what they feel more is fear, seemingly unaware of the so-called atmosphere of greed.

If this market trend fully replicates the previous one, then by the end of December 2020, Bitcoin would break through its previous high set in December 2017.

By early January 2021, the price of Bitcoin had even reached more than twice the high point at the end of 2017. However, at that time, the price of Ethereum was still less than half of its early 2018 high.

Looking at the current situation, the price of Bitcoin is already 1.5 times the high point of 2021, and the price of Ethereum has also reached about 70% of the 2021 high. Compared to this, doesn’t it feel like the situation is slightly better?

Regarding whether altcoins can welcome a bull market, there are currently two different opinions.

The first opinion believes that the timing is not yet ripe, and Bitcoin needs to continuously break through previous highs to fully unleash the huge potential of the entire cryptocurrency market and open up the vast "starry sea" of the market.

The other opinion points out that the market has already changed this year.

There has never been a truly valuable innovative achievement in the market, and investors have become weary of projects that solely rely on narratives to attract attention.

Today's investors have become more mature, and they are more inclined to buy low-circulation and high FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) VC coins.

As investors become increasingly mature, the entire market will gradually show structured characteristics, with quality projects developing better and poorer projects falling into deeper trouble.

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Can MNT bulls regain their momentum?
Last week, the activity level of the MNT network declined, indicating a decrease in participation and demand. However, there is still a glimmer of recovery.

Recent Trends:
Between November 4 and 9, MNT surged rapidly, increasing by 74%, from $0.541 to $0.94, before entering a correction.

This surge coincided with Bitcoin breaking through $75,000, drawing market focus towards Bitcoin and causing altcoins like MNT to temporarily fade.

Market Indicators:
Despite the correction, MNT still shows a buying opportunity. After breaking through $0.9, active addresses and network growth reached a three-month peak, suggesting a potential short-term rebound. Active development activities have also strengthened the confidence of long-term holders.

However, the recent correction has caused MNT's 30-day MVRV ratio to drop to -1.4%, indicating that many holders are in a loss position in the short term. The slowdown in network activity has also led to an increase in the NVT ratio, suggesting that the asset may be overvalued.

Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, MNT is oscillating between $0.58 and $0.91, with the current price around $0.75. If the price remains above $0.668, the bulls will have the advantage.

If demand picks up, MNT is expected to break through the upper range, challenging $1.1 and even $1.45.

Conclusion:
Despite facing numerous challenges, the rebound in MNT's demand and technical support may create potential for its recovery.

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The price of Bitcoin is now about to reach the critical level of 100,000, everyone must remain calm and not act impulsively. It’s important to know that the whales may take this opportunity to offload.

Looking at Ethereum, it hasn’t seen much of a significant rise yet, and it has already approached the 3500 area which has obvious resistance.

Based on past situations, it is likely that Bitcoin will enter a consolidation phase on Saturday and Sunday. During this time, altcoins may have a chance to perform well.

For Ethereum, it can only continue to push upwards and initiate further upward trends if it can firmly close above 3500 on the daily chart.

In summary, regardless of the type of short-term trades, everyone must not be overly greedy for profits, and it’s essential to know when to take profits. For all trend positions, it is even more crucial to strictly control the retracement positions and implement good risk management measures.

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If Ethereum successfully breaks through the exchange rate compared to Bitcoin and stabilizes above the key point of 0.03576, then Ethereum's current rebound will truly begin.

If this time it is not just a fleeting moment, as in the past, altcoins may welcome a wonderful time, and we can eagerly anticipate a brand new wave, which is indeed exciting and heartening.

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The following is a trading analysis related to NEIRO:

1. Indicator Situation

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of NEIRO is currently around the level of 50, indicating that its price momentum is in a neutral state. This means that there is neither significant upward momentum nor notable downward pressure at present.

After experiencing a period of downward trend, the price of NEIRO shows signs of gradually stabilizing, and there are also some signs of recovery.

From the perspective of moving averages, the short-term moving average MA(5) is above the long-term moving average MA(10), which often indicates a potential bullish crossover signal, suggesting that there may be a possibility of price increases in the future.

Additionally, NEIRO's trading volume has recently shown an increasing trend, indicating that there is potential buying interest in the market, meaning that many investors may have shown a willingness to buy this cryptocurrency.

2. Trading Signals and Strategies

Signal: Focus on the trading situation of NEIRO.

Entry: If NEIRO's price can break through the key level of 0.00188800, and at the same time the trading volume is strong, then in this case, consider taking a long position.

Stop Loss: To effectively control risk, a stop-loss level should be set below the recent support level of 0.00171519. That is, once the price falls below this support level, promptly exit to avoid potentially larger losses.

Target: The target price for this long position is roughly set around 0.00200000 or 0.00214736 (these two price levels are recent highs). When the price reaches one of these target levels, consider taking profits based on the specific market conditions.

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Today let's talk about the influence after Trump took office. Trump comes from a business background, and making money is undoubtedly his primary consideration. The continuous rise of Bitcoin may have some connection to this.

Today I noticed the significant increase in FTT, which made me realize that I missed the news on November 19 about Trump meeting with 'Afro' hairstyle. Everyone is speculating whether Trump will release him, allowing him to continue creating wealth for the United States as a top talent.

Future profit opportunities are likely to focus on Musk and Trump, as well as the SOL they support.

Instead of getting lost in meme PVP every day, it’s better to buy SOL and its ecological projects jto, jup. A while ago, I mentioned in the group that if SOL hits a new high, its ecosystem will surely take off. Once the market starts, the prices of these projects will soar significantly.

Moreover, the rise of Ethereum cannot be separated from projects like ENA, ETHFI, LDO, SSV, etc.

The reason has been explained before; the U.S. has entered a rate-cutting cycle, and rates will continue to be lowered.

In this situation, funds will undoubtedly flow towards higher interest rates. Projects like ENA, which are re-staked with Ethereum, can achieve rates of up to 10%, while U.S. rates have been continuously sliding from 5% to 4.75%, 4.5%... and are getting lower.

Funds will first rush into large VC coins and then flow to smaller coins. After all, when chasing profits, safety is the primary consideration.

To profit in the crypto space, one must grasp these key points accurately and plan ahead. In this way, one only needs to patiently await the arrival of profits later.

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Consider entering a long position at the current price of ATOM at 6.635. If the price drops, set the accumulation position in the range of 6.3 to 6.2, with a target price of 7.5.

The overall sentiment in the current market is gradually warming up. ATOM, as a fundamental public chain cryptocurrency, shows certain bottoming characteristics from a technical analysis perspective.

Observing from the 4-hour level, its bottom oscillation range is showing a gradually converging trend, and there is also a certain degree of increase in trading volume.

Combining this with the market's expectations for the development of mainstream public chains, ATOM is likely to welcome a rebound in the short term.

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Currently, Bitcoin has taken the lead in breaking through and has firmly established itself above the 90,000 price level.

Some strong-performing cryptocurrencies are gradually approaching their previous highs, while others have already successfully broken through their previous highs.

What we need to do next is patiently wait for ETH to break through and stabilize above its previous high.

Frequent trading is not encouraged. The market is unpredictable, often experiencing situations where despair arises in the morning, only for asset values to hit new highs by evening.

In the upcoming market trends, this situation is likely to become a common phenomenon. Overall, the market bottom is showing a trend of continuous elevation.

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The market performance of SOL is as follows:

Regarding K-line and trading volume:

Yesterday, the K-line of SOL formed a large bullish candle, with an amplitude exceeding 12%, and it had relatively short upper and lower shadows.

In terms of trading volume, compared to the previous day, yesterday's trading volume increased by about one-third. This indicates that the price increase was accompanied by an expansion of trading volume, indicating a trend of rising with increased volume.

Regarding moving averages and indicators:
Among them, the MA30 moving average has maintained an upward trend, showing that the price has a relatively stable upward momentum in the medium term.

Looking at the MACD indicator, it shows that the upward momentum is strengthening above the zero line, indicating that the overall trend of $SOL is currently leaning towards a strong position.

Trend characteristic analysis:
On the daily chart level, after three days of adjustment, $SOL has once again produced a large bullish candle, which fully demonstrates its obvious strong characteristics.

Currently, its price is extremely close to the historical high of 259.9. Based on the current trend, there is a high possibility that breaking through this historical high will be completed today.

Key pressure and target analysis:
Short-term resistance levels: During the price increase process, there are significant resistances at integer levels such as 270, 280, 290, and 300.

Once the price successfully breaks through these levels, there will likely be some small pullback afterwards.

Target range setting: Regarding this daily level increase, the expected target range is approximately between 280 - 300.

Moreover, when the price approaches the area near 300, it is very likely to encounter a relatively large pullback action.

Important positions clarified:
Resistance level: After analysis, the price level of 283 can be regarded as a critical resistance level.

Support level: Correspondingly, 221 is the support level that needs to be closely monitored.
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The following is the trading strategy for the contract code "turbo":

Enter a long position at the current price of 0.00768. The stop-loss price is set at 0.0074, which is the risk control limit. The profit target price is set at 0.0088.

Given the recent volatile market, we have now reached the bottom support area and are showing signs of a reversal.

Investors can enter with a small position and a smaller stop-loss to take advantage of the profit opportunities from a price rebound.
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The future price trend of SHIB has varying opinions in the market, but many analysts remain optimistic.

If SHIB returns to its previous high, holders can make considerable profits. For example, when the price reaches $0.000035, 10 million SHIB would be worth $35,000.

Some analysts are even more optimistic, expecting it to rise to $0.00005 per coin, at which point 10 million SHIB would be worth $50,000.

The trend of SHIB is not only influenced by market sentiment; its ecosystem's continuous development and project advancement are closely related.

Whether the project can achieve the expected increase depends on aspects such as ecosystem building, application expansion, and community vitality. Investors must continue to pay attention to market conditions and project progress to accurately seize opportunities.

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This bull market is truly historic! The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been soaring, continuously breaking historical highs, making headlines almost every day.

However, the vast majority of investors do not hold Bitcoin, but rather altcoins, and the market for these altcoins has been declining, showing no signs of bottoming out.

During Bitcoin's continuous rise, the short-selling forces have not weakened; rather, they have grown stronger, resulting in the peculiar phenomenon where the more they short, the higher the price rises.

The funding rate has even fallen to a level of 0.01%, and there have even been instances of negative funding rates. Yet, despite this, many short sellers insist on going against this strong upward trend.

Moreover, price gaps formed after a major trend starts sometimes do not get filled, like the $20,000 gap that has yet to be filled up to now.

Let’s summarize today’s key points:

1. Bitcoin's market share in the entire cryptocurrency market has reached 61%, while at the same time, the prices of altcoins have seen a significant decline.

2. The trends of Ethereum and other altcoins generally follow Bitcoin. In this situation, one should be cautious about shorting, and avoid blindly following the trend.

3. Ethereum shows a tempting short-squeeze pattern, so when it is at a low, one may consider continuing to take long positions.

4. Cryptocurrencies like Neiro, Pnut, and Act have shown signs of bottoming out and rebounding, and one can gradually enter the market using a staggered buying approach.

5. Multiple cryptocurrencies are applying for ETFs, with the DOGE ETF potentially submitting relevant applications in December.

6. Nvidia's earnings report slightly exceeded market expectations, but its stock price has declined.

7. FOLKI saw a surge in price after being listed on Coinbase.

8. Due to Sun Yuchen's 'buy bananas' incident, the price of the Ban coin has plummeted.

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When investing, it is essential to clarify three key points:

First, in the cryptocurrency investment field, up to 95% of investors find it difficult to achieve an annual return rate of 100%. However, most people are blindly confident and believe they can easily exceed an annual return rate of 200%.

Second, the cryptocurrency being invested in has the potential to double within a year. If luck is on your side, it may double in the first month;

If luck is not on your side, it may take until the second year. Therefore, investments should be made with spare funds and long-term planning.

Third, assuming that the cryptocurrency being invested in has accurate judgments in six out of ten decisions, with two exceeding expectations and two falling below expectations.

Then, if a full investment strategy is employed and a situation below expectations occurs, especially significantly below expectations, just one or two mistakes may lead the investor to develop resentment towards the market.

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#BTC何时突破10万？
The Bitcoin daily chart shows a continuous three-day streak of gains, consistently reaching new highs.

Although the bulls have not seen a significant surge in volume, the market overall is still under the control of the bulls, with a pronounced upward trend.

From the 4-hour chart observation, as emphasized in previous articles, the MA30 daily moving average has not been broken.

The price continues to rise, supported by the 4-hour MA30 daily moving average.

In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to use the 4-hour MA5/10 daily moving averages as reference points for entering long positions, while using the MA30 daily moving average as a key defense level, adopting a bullish outlook.

Given that there are currently no obvious signals of a peak, one should abandon thoughts of shorting.

Specific operations can consider lightly positioning long positions around 9.55, and if a pullback to 9.35 occurs, then add to long positions, setting target prices above 9.6.
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BTC: Daily level, the K line is climbing along the 7-day moving average, continually reaching new highs, with a steady trend.

On the 4-hour line, it shows a fluctuating upward trend. After the K line pulls back to the 14-day moving average, it continues to rise. The current trend resembles mid to late October, and breaking through 92,000 may trigger a significant intraday rise.

Altcoins are fluctuating in place while BTC is rising and experiencing a significant adjustment when BTC pulls back. For intraday operations, focus on the support at 93,500 - 94,500 and maintain a bullish outlook, with a short-term target set at 100,000.

ETH: When BTC enters an upward channel, Ethereum fluctuates in the range of 3,200 - 3,000 points, with a weak and downward trend. The daily level K line is horizontal, and the moving averages have a death cross pointing downwards.

On the 4-hour line, pay attention to the support at 3,040 - 3,010 and hope for a rebound, as well as the resistance at 3,120 - 3,160.
Altcoins: Again, emphasize that trading operations should not refer to BTC's trend, but rather to grasp buying opportunities based on Ethereum's market.

Currently, the altcoin market is similar to mid to late October, with BTC rising independently, altcoins fluctuating in place, and as BTC adjusts slightly, the decline in altcoins expands. Overall, BTC is reaching new highs, while altcoins are falling.

Yesterday, I stayed fully in cash and successfully avoided a drop of over 10%, a wise decision. The next buying point may appear as early as next week; at this moment, one must restrain desires, cherish funds, and wait for opportunities to invest again.

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When will altcoins like inscriptions and ETH rise? Brother Nan discusses from several angles:

1. BTC Price Perspective:
Previous analysis indicated that the bull market in 2021 truly began after surpassing the previous bull market's peak by 50%. According to this pattern, the price that breaks the previous high by 50% this round is 69000×1.5 = 103500U, Brother Nan believes this target is reasonable.

2. ETH/BTC Exchange Rate Perspective:
An ETH/BTC rate around 0.03 often serves as a signal for altcoin launches. The current exchange rate is still far from this level, so patience is needed.

3. Time Cycle Perspective:
Previously speculated that altcoins and ETH might experience a general rise around late November or early December, related to market rotation and capital flow; this time window is worth paying attention to.

It should be noted that these analyses are based on historical patterns and are speculative; the final trend will depend on the actual market situation.
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Is there still an altcoin season in this bull market? This is a question everyone has, Bitcoin is nearing six figures, yet altcoins continue to decline. Most retail investors do not hold Bitcoin and are losing money daily with various coins, unsure of when it will end.

The path of this bull market is more difficult than before; the easy money-making trend is long gone. In a fragmented market, without a complete investment thinking framework, it is easy to be influenced by market sentiment, leading to confusion, self-doubt, and impulsive actions.

Analyzing the reasons for the fragmented trend:
- First perspective: Cryptocurrency is priced in USD, analyzed from top to bottom.

- Macro level: Currently in the initial stage of the Federal Reserve's easing cycle, interest rates have been lowered, with more to come.

- US stock market level: Although the three major indices hit new highs in 2024, it is driven by leading stocks. During the transition from tightening to easing, funds are flocking to large tech stocks for stability, especially in the AI sector, where the leading stocks are clearly favored.

- Crypto circle level: The crypto market mirrors the US stock market, and the effect of leading stocks being favored is also evident; hence when Bitcoin rises, altcoins often decline or only see small gains.

- Second perspective: Different composition of funds; looking at popular crypto assets like IBIT, MSTR, etc., they are mostly leading, US-backed, and institutional funds, which currently will not choose altcoins.

Conclusions:
1. When will the altcoin season come? It will come when liquidity returns.
2. Will the altcoin season come? Yes, it will come, determined by the nature of funds and human behavior, similar to missing out on Dragon 1 and chasing after Dragon 2.

Remember: Don't be disturbed by market noise; trading is about selling when it rises and positioning when it falls, buying low and selling high.

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The following are my personal predictions for the upcoming market:

First, the overall trend has not changed. Bitcoin (BTC) is very likely to quickly break through the key price level of 100,000 in the short term.

Second, before the price of Bitcoin reaches 100,000, there is a high probability that there will be a correction. This correction is expected to be between -10% and -20%, and it is mainly to digest and adjust the 40% increase this month.

Third, it is important to clarify that this correction will be an excellent opportunity to increase positions.
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Key Points of the Depin Track Dynamics and Potential Layout:

1. Track Status: Depin is a well-established track in the crypto space, with a clear logic, and token performance often lags behind positive news. After Nvidia's earnings report, hardware demand expectations may boost related Depin tokens.

2. Token Analysis: Based on FDV ranking, leading narratives may emerge from TAO (emerging, focusing on implementation and community), FIL (storage leader, needing capital to drive up), RENDER (3D computing, aligning with AI), GRASS (new leading narrative). ICP, ATH, THETA, HNT, etc., may be potential candidates for catching up.

3. Layout Strategy: Capital allocation starts with leaders followed by high elasticity; positions are to be built in batches to mitigate volatility; focus on technological breakthroughs, projects related to RENDER and GRASS, etc., may benefit from hardware giants.

Mango's Viewpoint: Depin is a long track with strong narratives and fundamentals, Nvidia's earnings report is a short-term catalyst, related hardware computing tokens can be laid out in advance, fan groups will continue to update data, welcome to discuss strategies.
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