Cryptocurrency investment strategy sharing:

1. **Observe the rhythm of rise and fall**: If the price of the currency rises rapidly and then recovers slowly, it may be that market participants are steadily absorbing chips to prepare for the subsequent market.
2. **Beware of the slow recovery after a rapid decline**: If the price of the currency plummets and then recovers slowly, it may be a large amount of selling in the market. At this time, you should remain vigilant to prevent further market adjustments.
3. **Important signal of trading volume**: When the price of the currency is high, if the trading volume is huge, it may mean that there is still room for further growth; if the trading volume decreases, it may indicate that the momentum of the rise is weakened, and you should consider adjusting the strategy in time.
4. **Insights from bottom trading volume**: When the price of the currency is low and the trading volume suddenly increases, it may be a temporary reaction to market sentiment and requires in-depth analysis; if the low price continues to increase, it may indicate that confident investors are entering the market, and you can consider gradually laying out.
5. **Investment is a psychological game**: The cryptocurrency market is greatly affected by investor sentiment, and market consensus is often reflected in changes in trading volume, which reflects the common behavior and expectations of investors.

**Recent investment plans:**

At present, I am studying the market and looking for cryptocurrencies with potential growth potential. I believe that it is feasible to achieve asset appreciation through careful analysis and patient waiting. For investments before the end of this year, I set a goal of a decent return. For interested investors, I am willing to share my research results and investment strategies, but please note that the number of places is limited. Interested friends can leave a message and like it, and communicate carefully. Investment decisions must be made with caution and at your own risk.
45880492715 2264799634#01257091474155569164801026395601336780197731

In South Korea, the price of Bitcoin has currently fallen to around $70,000, which is undoubtedly an arbitrage opportunity that savvy investors should not miss. Last night, the cryptocurrency market experienced a sudden and severe fluctuation, particularly impacting the South Korean market. It is reported that the President of South Korea issued a state of emergency, and subsequently, the well-known exchange Upbit encountered issues, causing the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to plummet below $72,000, shocking many market participants.

Upbit's emergency shutdown revealed the potential risks in the operation of exchanges. This sudden interruption of trading has raised questions about the transparency and security of exchanges. In this situation, investors are forced to reconsider the safety of their funds and to choose trading platforms more cautiously.

Although this price crash has caused losses for market participants, it also provides potential profit opportunities for those seeking them. Here are some possible response strategies:

Analyze market dynamics: The President's state of emergency may be an important factor leading to market fluctuations. Investors need to closely monitor policy changes to respond to possible further pressure in the market.

Choose reputable platforms: During turbulent market times, trading on stable and reputable platforms can effectively reduce risks.

Arbitrage wisely: One can take advantage of the lower prices of Bitcoin in the South Korean market to conduct cross-border arbitrage with prices in other countries.

Invest cautiously: During market volatility, remain vigilant, avoid following the crowd blindly, and ensure the safety of funds is the top priority. In a market environment where risks and opportunities coexist, rational investing is key to obtaining stable returns.

In conclusion, this recent crash in the South Korean market, while bringing temporary instability, also harbors new opportunities for visionary investors. In the current context of a complex and ever-changing global market environment, choosing the right trading platform and closely monitoring policy trends is a wise investment choice. In the pursuit of wealth, mastering market information and risk management is crucial.

Bitcoin Price Prediction and Market Analysis:

Hello everyone, this is Hat Trick

Currently, there are some predictions indicating that Bitcoin may experience a significant decline, possibly reaching $77,000. However, observations show that Bitcoin has not surged as expected but has gone through a period of oscillating rise and began to decline after 9 o'clock. This indicates that market trends are not always consistent; therefore, price predictions need to remain flexible.

**Market Trends and Trading Strategies:**

Considering the current market situation, you mentioned a bearish trend at the weekly level, thus leaning towards a bearish outlook on Bitcoin. Generally speaking, if a decline begins at 9 o'clock, the first important time point could be around 10 o'clock in the evening. At that time, the market may see a rebound. If the price continues to decline after the rebound, it may persist until around 7 o'clock the next morning, and it could even decline for several days in a row. This judgment needs to be based on real-time market conditions.

**Market Uncertainty and Investment Advice:**

Market uncertainty is a reality that investors must face. In the current market environment, the price trend of Bitcoin may exhibit volatility. Therefore, it is advisable for investors to fully consider risk management when trading and to adjust strategies in a timely manner according to market changes.

**Focus on Real-Time Market Dynamics:**

For investments in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, closely monitoring market dynamics and real-time data is crucial. This includes price trends, trading volume, market sentiment, and relevant news events.

**Disclaimer:**

The above information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency investment carries risks, and investors should take responsibility for their investment decisions. Before making any investment decisions, it is recommended to consult a professional financial advisor to ensure that your investment decisions align with your risk tolerance and investment goals.$BTC

Due to President Zelensky's intention to stop the Russia-Ukraine war early Saturday morning, gold began to decline. Today, gold still leans bearish; if anyone held a short position at 2663 last Friday, they are currently in profit. I have set my take profit level around 2630. Currently, the gold price is near 2630, with some rebound demand, but the overall outlook remains bearish. Therefore, we will first look to sell gold during the Asian and European sessions, and then adjust based on the situation during the U.S. session.

Intraday gold trading thoughts:

First touch near 2608-2610, go long once, stop loss at 2600, take profit at 2634, short-term profit at 2620.
Second round long position at 2585, stop loss at 2579, take profit at 2600, short-term profit at 2591.
Third round long position at 2560, stop loss at 2555, take profit at 2685, short-term profit at 2672.

First round short position, rebound at 2642, go short, stop loss at 2650, take profit at 2600, short-term profit at 2620.
Second round short position, break below 2610, rebound at 2613, go short, take profit at 2585, short-term profit at 2600.
Third round short position, break below 2600, go short once, stop loss at 2606, take profit at 2560【Gap Direction】$BTC $ETH $SOL

The latest news about $XRP (Ripple) mainly includes the following aspects:

1. **Legal Dispute between Ripple Labs and SEC**:
- Ripple Labs is engaged in a protracted legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding whether its issued XRP token is an unregistered security. This dispute has had a significant impact on the price and market sentiment of XRP.

2. **Market Performance of XRP**:
- Following the announcement of SEC Chairman Gary Gensler's resignation, the price of XRP has seen an increase. During his tenure, Gensler maintained a cautious stance towards Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, implementing strict regulatory policies on Bitcoin ETFs and other cryptocurrency products.

3. **Expectations of Market Participants**:
- Some market participants predict that with Gensler's departure, regulation of cryptocurrencies may become more lenient, which could have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market including XRP.

4. **Correlation of $XRP with Other Cryptocurrencies**:
- The price performance of XRP is often influenced by mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The rise and fall of Bitcoin often affects the sentiment of the entire cryptocurrency market.

5. **Development of #XRP解锁新趋势 Ecosystem**:
- Ripple Labs continues to advance its products and services in the fields of cross-border payments and fintech, which may impact the demand and price of XRP.

Please note that the cryptocurrency market changes rapidly, and the above information may change over time.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently the second-ranked cryptocurrency by market capitalization, and its recent developments have attracted widespread market attention.

Market capitalization adjustments and capital flows:

As Bitcoin's (BTC) market share declines to 57%, ETH and other alternative coins are attracting more and more on-site capital. Although ETH continues to perform strongly in the short term, the exchange rate has yet to break through and stabilize above the 0.04 level.

Trading strategy adjustments:

Recently, we have observed that the long positions established near the price of $3640 for ETH have yielded approximately 270% in floating profits, but as the price rises, we encountered resistance near $3740. Therefore, we decided to adjust the originally set second take-profit level from $3780 to $3720 and plan to take profits on all positions at this level.

Support level analysis:

On a short-term basis, ETH is still considered a support area within the $3600 to $3640 range, while the $3550 to $3500 range can be seen as a more extreme support level. These support levels are crucial for formulating trading strategies and risk management.

Market sentiment and bull market predictions:

Current market sentiment is anticipating the arrival of a bull market, but there has not been a comprehensive rise in the market. Looking back at 2021, Bitcoin once surged to $64000 and then dropped by 60%, indicating the market's volatility. Therefore, investors should remain cautious regarding market fluctuations and uncertainties, avoiding blind following.
Focus on OTC market dynamics:

For predicting when the bull market will arrive, investors can pay attention to the trading situation in the OTC market. Typically, before a true bull market arrives, the trading activity in the OTC market decreases, sellers increase, and block trades diminish, while at this time, novice investors gradually enter the market.

Personal holdings and investment advice:

I have fully purchased $BTC , $ETH , and $SOL , setting target prices of $120000, $5000, and $300, respectively. For investors who want to learn more about cryptocurrency investment strategies and information, you can follow our channel to learn more useful information from the crypto space, and don't forget to like and share.

Other related topics:
In addition to ETH, we are also focusing on the new trends of XRP unlocking, the arrival of the Ethereum moment, the outlook for altcoin trends, and the performance of AI and GameFi markets.

Please note that the above information is for reference only.

**Friends, a calm reflection on bull market predictions:**

Recently, everyone has been discussing whether a bull market is approaching. However, before we rush to buy in fully, let's delve into the market dynamics. The continuous rise of Bitcoin seems to herald the arrival of a bull market, but other cryptocurrencies remain relatively quiet. Does this really indicate that a bull market has begun?

**Reviewing the market fluctuations of 2021:**

Looking back at the market in 2021, everyone was cheering for the bull market, with Bitcoin soaring to $64,000, only to plummet by 60% afterwards. The market's volatility was so great that it was hard to predict. In such a market environment, who would dare to chase higher prices easily? And how many people can remain calm amidst such drastic fluctuations?

**Understanding the bull market:**

Many investors have not truly experienced a bull market, making them susceptible to market emotions. Before a bull market, bears often exude confidence, holding a large number of chips, while bulls hesitate due to a lack of confidence. A true bull market often quietly begins in this kind of market atmosphere.

**Observing signals for the arrival of a bull market:**

So, how can we determine when a bull market is coming? We can pay attention to the trends in the over-the-counter (OTC) market. If OTC trading volume decreases, the number of people selling Bitcoin exceeds those buying, bulk trades become less active, and many newcomers flood into the market, this could signal that a bull market is about to arrive.

**My trading layout and suggestions:** *$ETH $SOL $XRP

Bitcoin Market Capitalization Adjustment and Market Capital Flow Observation:

Currently, Bitcoin's market share has fallen to 57%, which indicates that a large amount of capital is flowing into ETH and some other alternative tokens. At present, ETH still shows strong performance in the short term.

ETH Exchange Rate Dynamics and Focus Points:

However, it is worth noting that the exchange rate of ETH has not been able to break through and stabilize above the 0.04 level, which requires market participants to pay attention.

Trading Strategy Adjustment:

The ETH long position we established yesterday at a price of 3640 has currently achieved a maximum floating profit of about 270% (the price once reached around 3740). This indicates that ETH encountered some resistance near 3740. Therefore, we decided to adjust the originally set second take-profit point from 3780 to 3720 and plan to take profit on all positions at this level.

**
Ethereum Support Level Analysis:

In the short term, the range of 3600 to 3640 is still seen as a support area, while the range of 3550 to 3500 can be viewed as a more extreme support level. These support levels are crucial for formulating trading strategies and risk management. $ETH #以太坊时刻到来？ #美PCE年率创半年来最大增幅 #XRP解锁新趋势 #山寨季來了？ #AI与GameFi市场表现

**A Fun Share about Future Coin Price Predictions:

Recently, a coin price prediction chart allegedly from 2025 has been circulating online, posted by a netizen. You can take this as a form of entertainment, a lighthearted moment to have a laugh. For instance, the predicted price of Filcoin in the chart is as high as 85 dollars, which is indeed a surprising figure.

**Views on the Future Price of Filcoin:**

Personally, I predict that the price of Filcoin in this round might reach 20 to 40 dollars. Although I wouldn't dare to predict too far ahead, we all know that in a bull market, prices often have no ceiling.

**Follow and Recommendations:**

Lastly, if you haven't followed our channel yet, now is the best time to do so. Meanwhile, I will recommend two mainstream coins with tenfold growth potential in the pinned article. Please stay tuned for our upcoming recommendations, more exciting content is on the way.
$BTC $BNB $SOL

**Review of history:
The fluctuation of Bitcoin dominance and opportunities for altcoins**

In past market cycles, whenever Bitcoin's dominance declined, it often indicated that altcoins would usher in their spring.

**Review of the 2021 bull market:**

In the 2021 bull market, many investors witnessed remarkable asset appreciation:

- Investing $SOL , 50,000 funds grew to 10 million.

- Investing $SHIB , the same 50,000 funds soared to 100 million.

- Investing $AXS, 50,000 funds became 5 million.

- Even if it was $ETH , 50,000 could at least increase in value to 1 million.

In that period, even pure spot holders could make a profit as long as they could hold on firmly. However, the biggest challenge was when to buy, when to sell, and how to hold positions.

**Strategy for investing in new projects:**

For investors who are not good at grasping the market rhythm, a viable strategy is to focus on emerging public chain projects and new members in the Ethereum ecosystem. Choose new projects that have not experienced the bull market in 2021. Even when the market adjusts, these new projects can often gain a certain amount of growth when market liquidity is loose.

**Future market outlook:**

This time the market volatility may bring more drastic changes in the market. With the rise of market sentiment and investors' enthusiasm for emerging projects, we may witness a more crazy tide.

**Change the way of expression:**

- The last time Bitcoin's status was shaken, the altcoin market ushered in its golden age.

- In the glorious bull market of 2021, many investors achieved an amazing leap in wealth by investing in SOL, SHIB, AXS and ETH.

- At that time, even if you only hold spot, as long as you can wait patiently, you can almost get a good return. But the real challenge lies in patient holding and accurately grasping the timing of selling.
- For investors who are not good at trading skills, choosing new public chains and Ethereum projects that have not yet experienced the baptism of the 21-year bull market may be a more stable choice. Even if the market falls back, these new projects may also achieve value growth when market liquidity increases.
- In the upcoming market changes, we may encounter a more exciting investment opportunity.

**Trend line drawing techniques and trading strategy innovation:**

Hi everyone here is the hat trick:

In the world of trading, not every day requires action. Traders who think they must trade all the time often forget the essence of trading - it requires a sound reason. Trading with a stop loss is not the same as blindly following the trend.

**The twists and turns and growth of trading:**

The road to trading is full of ups and downs, from major losses to significant profits, and then to losses. This cycle is a journey that every trader must go through. To achieve stable profits, a stable and effective strategy system must be constructed. Without systematic profits, it is often difficult to sustain.

**Insight into market dynamics and key positions:**

If you cannot accurately judge the current market trend, identify support and resistance levels, or determine the level of buying and selling points, then trading lacks a key basis.

**Trading Strategy Innovation:**

To this end, we have launched a set of advanced AI trading strategies, which include "long-short-shock", realize standardized formulas and process replication, and make trading rules followable. This trading system is called "good news for newbies". It eliminates the tedious work of analysts and helps traders quickly transform into market analysts through the simple logic of going long at support levels and short at pressure levels.

**Brain Trick Introduction:**

The following is our intelligent strategy library series, which are the crystallization of traders' wisdom and represent the future trend of trading strategies:
- #TIA
- #SOL
- #SUI
- #CATI
- #DOGE
Already following Hat Trick
These strategy libraries ($TIA , $SOL , $CATI ) are leading a new trend in the trading field with their innovation and practicality. Through them, traders can grasp market dynamics more accurately and improve the art of trading.

**GMT token innovative economic model dynamic update:**

Recently, the market performance of GMT tokens has been eye-catching, with a value increase of more than 6 times in a week, showing strong market momentum. At present, staking GMT tokens can not only obtain high annualized returns, but also have the opportunity to obtain precious Little Red Riding Hood NFT.

**Little Red Riding Hood NFT Acquisition Guide:**

- **Daily Income Settlement**: At 8 am every day, the platform will evenly distribute 1.66 million GMT tokens as interest based on the total locked amount of users.

- **Unlocking Time**: All locked GMT tokens will be unlocked at 0:00 UTC on January 20, 2025.

- **Pledge Threshold**: You only need to pledge 100GMT to participate, and you can get the pledged NF Little Red Riding Hood by staking for one day.

- **Value Highlight**: Even a single Little Red Riding Hood NFT is already very valuable, enough to attract market attention.

**New interpretation of the GMT voting burning plan:**

- **Voting cycle**: Users can obtain voting rights by locking GMT tokens on the Polygon chain from November 21, 2024 to January 20, 2025.
- **Voting decision**: The vote will determine whether to destroy 600 million GMT tokens, which are mainly allocated by early investors, consultants and some teams.
- **Participation method**: Users log in to BurnGMT.com, connect to their wallets, lock GMT tokens, and obtain corresponding voting shares based on the number and time of lock-ups.
- **Reward distribution**: After the voting is over, the platform will automatically airdrop GMT token rewards based on the user's voting share and lock-up status.

**Future outlook for GMT tokens:**

GMT tokens have always followed a deflationary economic model. The team has repurchased and destroyed 800 million tokens, and the current circulation is 3 billion. If the vote is successful, an additional 900 million GMT tokens will be destroyed. Together with the 100 million GMT rewards, the market circulation will be halved to 1.6 billion, the market scarcity will be greatly improved, and the token value growth potential is huge.

**Analysis of the impact of changes in circulation:**

If the vote is successful, the scarcity of circulating tokens will increase, and future market selling pressure will mainly come from the 2.5% annual Move to Earn token rewards and tokens released by the foundation. The chip structure of GMT tokens will change significantly, and the market structure will usher in a new round of reshaping. Like + follow to communicate with each other.

#GMT投票燃烧计划新动态

How to trade well as a novice
How do novice traders do well in trading? Recently, many friends have asked me this
a question.
I have summarized some experiences to share with you, maybe they can help you. - No. 1, you must trade with a light position, never a heavy position, and make reasonable stop losses. -Second, try to be short-term, and don’t deliberately pursue the long-term. If you are long-term, you may feel very depressed every day, and you also have to bear the risk of a certain degree of retracement. -Third, you must not trade for the sake of trading. It does not mean that you have to open an order every day. When you feel that your condition is not good, just stop and adjust your mentality. -Fourth, try to choose types with relatively small fluctuations. Don’t do gold at the beginning, so that you can do less gold.
Gold, you can choose some currencies to exchange. - Because gold fluctuates greatly, experienced players may be forced to liquidate their gold positions. Novices who do not understand the market and do not understand the market conditions blindly place orders and have a very high chance of liquidating their positions. Currency pairs are relatively stable~- The fifth is to trade with the trend. After analyzing the market, follow the direction of the general trend and place orders. This will increase your winning rate. Be sure not to go against the trend! - Note: Share personal trading experience, do not do anything
Investment reference! #BTC走势分析 $ETH #山寨币热点 #ETH #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #DOGE原型柴犬KABOSU去世

💣Hat trick, ever-changing, full play, full dry goods💣

When we have a trading system, how to balance the relationship between risk and return? For a transaction, how big a position should we place to control the risk while maximizing the profit? In 10 minutes, I will explain the Kelly formula to you, so that you can know how to operate and the detailed steps. First of all, we need to understand what the Kelly formula is used for. The essence of trading is not to judge the direction, but to obtain profits by taking risks. Our goal is to take smaller risks and obtain higher returns. The Kelly formula is to solve this problem. The Kelly formula is a mathematical formula for calculating the betting ratio in gambling and investment, which is to find the best balance between the risk and profit of your strategy. The Kelly formula was originally designed to solve the problem of casino betting. Later, it was also widely used in trading and investment in stocks, futures, foreign exchange and other markets. Its calculation formula is F=BP-Q divided by B, where F represents the proportion of each bet. B represents the odds or the profit and loss ratio, P represents the probability of profit, and Q represents the probability of loss. Let's take a simple example. For example, if you flip a coin and it lands on the front, you win 1.5 yuan, and if it lands on the back, you lose 1 yuan. If you have 100 yuan now, how much should you bet each time to ensure the safety of your capital and get higher returns? According to the Kelly formula, if you win, you earn 1.5 yuan, and if you lose, you lose 100 million yuan. Then the odds B are equal to 1.5. If the front wins, the probability of winning P is equal to 50%. Similarly, the probability of losing Q is also 50%. Substitute all the above values ​​into the Kelly formula. The betting ratio is equal to the odds of 1.5 times the probability of winning 50% minus the probability of losing 50% divided by the odds of 1.5 to get 16.6%. If you have 100 yuan now, then 16.6 yuan is the best bet amount. If you keep winning and now have 200 yuan, then 200×16.6% equals 33.3. After a brief introduction to the Kai rate formula, many people may have questions. For games like coin tossing, we can know the probability of profit and loss in advance, and we can know the odds through the rules of the game. But when we face a trading opportunity,

Hat tricks are unpredictable. Please watch patiently.
How can I know in advance how likely I am to make a profit and how likely I will lose? How can I calculate our betting ratio? I don't know if you will have such doubts. Such doubts are correct, because the Kelly formula does not apply to all situations. Its application has prerequisites. The formula is only applicable to independent and repeated gambling or trading investment opportunities. If your transactions are based on your own subjective judgment and each response is different, then you will not be able to apply the opening rate formula well. There are three important prerequisites for applying the Kelly formula in transactions. The first is the same type of opportunity. The application of the formula is applicable to independent and repeated situations, so if your transactions are completely subjective and each transaction is judged separately, then the formula cannot bring you much value. The first premise of applying the Kelly formula is that you must be able to divide your opportunities by type. For example, in my system, trading opportunities are divided into finishing structures and continuous structures. There are also subdivided structural types. In the process of trading, in fact, similar situations such as finishing structures are encountered, and then trading is carried out according to similar rules. Of course, there are other types of opportunities, but taken separately, all opportunities can be summarized into a certain type. Every transaction is to select similar opportunities in the market according to the same characteristics for trading. Then this trading method is aimed at a certain type of independent and repeated transactions. From subjective random transactions to independent and repeated transactions of the same type of opportunities, the Kelly formula can be applied to find the best betting ratio for each type of opportunity. Because the second premise of the Kelly formula is to have large sample statistical data, and these data do not mean that my next order will set a 3x profit and loss ratio, that is, 3x odds. All of these data are based on past order data statistics. According to the same type of opportunities, the accuracy rate, loss rate, and odds of each type of opportunity are comprehensively counted, and the betting ratio calculated by the Kelly formula is then valuable when encountering such opportunities.

Hat Trick Unpredictable Episode 1 Full of Dry Goods💣
Continued from the previous episode, please watch patiently

Without past statistics, the Kelly formula cannot be used to guide future positions. In addition, as you optimize a certain type of opportunity, you improve the accuracy, or have a better entry and a higher profit and loss ratio. Then, by statistically calculating in the data, you can have a higher betting ratio, take less risk, and obtain higher returns as this type of opportunity improves. The third premise is that you need to use the loss-quantity method to manage your positions. For example, the Kelly formula calculates the betting ratio. The betting calculated in the gambling game is your actual loss. However, when trading, we calculate the betting ratio, which does not tell us how many hands to place in this transaction, but tells us how much money we can lose in this type of opportunity. Even after getting this ratio, to get our final order position, we need a calculation. According to the loss ratio and the funds in the account, we calculate the amount that can be lost, and then according to the size of the stop loss range of this transaction, we divide the amount that can be stopped by the point value of the stop loss range contract to get the operation of placing an order. What remains unchanged is the amount of loss, but the number of lots placed in the order is related to the magnitude of the stop loss. The larger the stop loss, the smaller the order position will be, and the smaller the stop loss, the larger the order position will be.

Hat Trick Unpredictable Episode 2 Full of Dry Goods💣
Continued from the previous episode, please watch patiently

After understanding the prerequisites mentioned above, let's take a look at the entire calculation and application process through two examples. Suppose there are two different strategies. After counting the orders in the historical data, we get the data of the two strategies. The probability of profit for strategy 1 is 55%, and the probability of loss is 45%. The overall profit and loss ratio is 0.7, that is, the odds are 0.7. The probability of profit for strategy 2 is 40%, and the probability of loss is 60%. The overall profit and loss ratio is 2.2. If the corresponding opportunities appear for these two strategies, how much should be betted? First, Strategy 1 calculates the betting ratio. The odds are 0.7 multiplied by the probability of profit 55% minus the probability of loss 45%, and then divided by the odds 0.7, and the result is negative 0.09. The result is a negative number. How much should be invested? When the result of the investment ratio calculation is negative, it means that the expected value of the overall data of this strategy is negative, and this strategy cannot be profitable in the long run. It is the best choice not to bet on such a strategy. Then, we use strategy 2 to calculate the betting ratio. The odds of 2.2 are multiplied by the probability of profit of 40% minus the probability of loss of 60%, and then divided by the odds of 2.2, which gives 12.7%. In other words, the most reasonable ratio for a single bet under this strategy is 12.7%. Assuming that the current account has 200,000, if an opportunity that meets strategy 2 appears on the styrene contract, the entry position is 9030, and the stop loss position is 8930, how many hands should be placed? First, calculate the amount that can be lost based on the Kelly formula. Does it mean that if I have 200,000 in my account, and then calculate the Kelly formula to get 12.7%, I can lose 25,400 in one transaction? #美国4月CPI数据回落 #PEPE创历史新高 #GameStop带动Meme板块 #Meme币你看好哪一个？ #新币挖矿

Hat Trick Unpredictable Episode 3 Full of Useful Information💣
Continued from the previous episode, please watch patiently

Continued from the previous episode:
This shows that the expected value of the overall data of this strategy is negative, and this strategy will not be profitable in the long run. It is the best choice not to bet on such a strategy. Then the betting ratio of strategy 2 is calculated. The odds of 2.2 multiplied by the probability of profit 40% minus the probability of loss 60%, and then divided by the odds of 2.2, we get 12.7%, which means that the most reasonable ratio for a single bet of this strategy is 12.7%. Assuming that the current account has 200,000, if there is an opportunity that meets strategy 2 on the styrene contract, the entry position is 9030, and the stop loss position is 8930, how many hands should be placed? First, calculate the amount of loss that can be lost according to the Kelly formula. Does it mean that if I have 200,000 in my account, and then calculate the Kelly formula to get 12.7%, I can lose 25,400 in one transaction?
#新币挖矿 #Meme币你看好哪一个？ #美国4月CPI数据回落 #PEPE创历史新高 #BTC走势分析

Hat Trick Unpredictable Episode 4 Full of Dry Goods💣
Continued from the previous episode, please watch patiently

In our actual application, it is not calculated in this way, because the Kelly formula calculates a limit value. When actually trading, there will be many uncontrollable factors affecting it, and we must also consider the drawdown of our own account. In fact, the maximum drawdown we want to control is the amount we can lose. Assuming that I set 30% as the maximum drawdown ratio, I should use 60,000 to calculate the betting ratio, that is, 60,000 multiplied by 12.7% equals 7620. The second step is to calculate the amount of loss for each hand. Here, the entry is 9030 and the stop loss is 8930. The stop loss range is 100 points. The point value of the styrene contract is 5. If the stop loss is set, the amount of loss for each order is equal to the stop loss range multiplied by the point value of the contract, which is equal to 500. The third step is to calculate the number of hands that can be ordered. The amount of loss for this transaction is 7620, and the number of hands that can be ordered is equal to the total amount of loss, 7620, divided by the amount of loss for each hand, 500=15.24. So according to the Kelly formula, the total number of lots that can be ordered for this transaction is 15 lots. The above is the application of the Kelly formula in the trading process. It is important to understand the prerequisites for using the Kelly formula before applying it. The Kelly formula is only applicable to independent and repeated time, and there must be large sample statistical data. In the process of use, it is also necessary to trade in a quantitative way with loss. Of course, after listening to the overall content, you may feel that the whole process of so many calculations is very complicated, and so many calculations are required for the next order, but this way of applying the Kelly formula is more reasonable and effective. As for the cumbersome steps, in fact, understanding the principles and knowing how to apply the formula are fixed steps. Although complicated, we can use tools to directly help us calculate the results, greatly reducing the cost of our energy and time. We should do correct and effective things when trading, not just simple things. You can click me to follow, click my avatar to find me at any time, and there are exchanges on all contract spot gameplay! ! #ETFvsBTC #5月市场关键事件 #美国4月CPI数据回落 #Meme币你看好哪一个？ GameStop drives the Meme sector #BTC走势分析

Hat Trick Unpredictable Episode 5
Continued from the previous episode, please watch patiently
The next order requires so many calculations, but this is a more reasonable and effective way to apply the Kelly formula. As for the tedious steps, in fact, understanding the principles and knowing how to apply the formula are fixed steps. Although complicated, we can use tools to directly help us calculate the results, greatly reducing our energy and time costs. We should do the right and effective things when trading, not just simple things. You can click me to follow, click my avatar to find me at any time, and there are exchanges on all contract spot gameplay! ! 5133229751#USApril CPI inflation data will be released soon #5月市场关键事件 #BTC走势分析 #GameStop带动Meme板块 #BTC走势分析