Based on past experience, the market usually experiences large fluctuations about three months after the halving. On November 5 this year, the United States will hold an election.
During previous elections, the currency circle usually experiences significant growth.
Additionally, U.S. interest rates are expected to be cut this year. Although the exact time has not yet been determined, it is likely to be between September and November. The rate cut is expected to have a positive impact on the market.
The Fed's balance sheet has grown from a peak of $2 trillion to about $486 billion today. According to past data, an interest rate cut is usually followed soon after stopping balance sheet reduction.
In such a market environment, the opportunity to fight back is at hand.
At present, the overall price is rising and falling, so it is recommended to focus on the 61800 line for daily support and around 64800 for high-level suppression. In the short-term four hours, the current price still remains in the boll rising channel, but the macd indicator in the attached picture has a certain degree of convergence. The overall Bollinger opening has slowed down. In the four hours, the price will continue to fluctuate around the 62000 line. The price dropped significantly in the past hour, and the overall price was running in a downward channel. The short position of macd was able to increase its volume for the second time. In the short-term, focus on the 63,000 integer mark. Based on the above suggestions, we will continue to focus on rebound short selling in the future.
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The competition between long and short positions at $60,000 is very fierce. K workers don't want to die too badly, so they are desperately guarding the shutdown price. But we still can't take it lightly, because the weekly level is now diverging from the daily level signal, so the market will repeatedly test which side has less resistance within the dual track. There is no real trend at present, which is why I don't want to say more. All trends are under control
Let's talk about the conclusion. Now the daily line has received support and started to stabilize and rebound, and the weekly line is still in a downward trend. Now we need to observe whether the small cycle can affect the large cycle. If you are worried about missing out, my strategy is to buy half of the spot tomorrow. In this way, you can attack and defend, don't be reckless, and leave room for your position.
At present, it has reached the pressure level of 63,800. If the market can effectively break through the key dividing line of 64,140, I will consider entering the right spot with half of the bullet. If it doesn't reach there, it may just be a dead cat bounce, a flash of brilliance, and we must be prepared to continue to explore the bottom. Regarding the risk, only when the weekly level effectively stands above $65,500, the trend line is truly controlled by the bulls.
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Retail investors cannot understand what the counterparty is, they are only used to looking at the line and the trend
I am talking about professional thinking. Institutional orders need more information: who is buying and who is selling, whether the counterparty is an institution or a retail investor, the counterparty's institutional position, and where the stop loss is.
If you only look at the price, DigitalBridge and Silver Lake buying INTC are both stupid 13 transactions, and they should have cut their positions?
Here are a few things newbies should keep in mind!
1. Risks of popular currencies: Popular currencies fall rapidly due to market manipulation, so investors need to remain vigilant.
2. Low-profile and bottom-of-the-line currencies: Coins with real potential are usually not widely publicized and deserve attention.
3. Gradual trend: The overall trend of the currency circle is gradually taking shape. Investors should maintain a long-term perspective and avoid being swayed by short-term fluctuations.
4. Altcoin operations: Be wary of possible sharp declines after a rapid rise.
5. New currency market bubbles: New currencies that rise rapidly after an initial surge may be at risk of bubbles, so be cautious in participating.
6. Deal with fluctuations calmly: Price fluctuations are normal, stay calm and don’t be influenced by emotions.
7. Adjust positions in a timely manner: When a currency’s price rises, adjust positions in a timely manner to avoid greed.
8. "Leek Plate" warning: Currencies with high volatility but lack of real value may perform violently, so beware of high-risk investments.
9. Performance of potential coins: Some potential coins may have a mediocre performance in the early stages of the bull market, but may achieve significant gains as the market deepens.
10. Long-term holding of potential coins: Currencies that are sideways in the market for a long time but have good fundamentals usually have potential, and it is recommended to hold them for a long time.
These strategies and information points help investors make rational decisions in the bull market and avoid potential investment risks.
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