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PEOPLE Is there still a chance to get on board?Since May, the value of the $PEOPLE token has continued to rise, thanks in part to its close association with the theme of the US election. The token symbolizes the spirit of decentralized autonomy, and through a collective financing action at Sotheby's auction house, the last copy of the US Constitution on the open market was purchased, achieving the milestone of "common ownership", which deeply reflects the respect for human rights and the practice of decentralized principles. The core value of the $PEOPLE token contains a distinct left-wing ideological tendency, which effectively attracts investors with similar beliefs. It is this ideological consensus that makes $PEOPLE stand out in the market and occupy a unique competitive advantage.

PEOPLE Is there still a chance to get on board?

Since May, the value of the $PEOPLE token has continued to rise, thanks in part to its close association with the theme of the US election. The token symbolizes the spirit of decentralized autonomy, and through a collective financing action at Sotheby's auction house, the last copy of the US Constitution on the open market was purchased, achieving the milestone of "common ownership", which deeply reflects the respect for human rights and the practice of decentralized principles.
The core value of the $PEOPLE token contains a distinct left-wing ideological tendency, which effectively attracts investors with similar beliefs. It is this ideological consensus that makes $PEOPLE stand out in the market and occupy a unique competitive advantage.
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NOT currency analysisSee 0.0003 Binance recently launched a new coin called Notcoin (NOT), which is the 54th phase of its new coin mining project. The following is a comprehensive analysis of Notcoin (NOT): Project Overview Notcoin (NOT) is a project that combines the characteristics of social media and cryptocurrency. Specifically, it is a game project based on the Telegram platform and also exists as a mini application in Telegram. The highlight of this project is its unique "click-to-earn" mechanism, which allows users to participate in mining through simple interactive methods and continuous clicks in the chat interface, which provides a low-threshold entry for users to introduce the Web3 world.

NOT currency analysis

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Binance recently launched a new coin called Notcoin (NOT), which is the 54th phase of its new coin mining project. The following is a comprehensive analysis of Notcoin (NOT):
Project Overview
Notcoin (NOT) is a project that combines the characteristics of social media and cryptocurrency. Specifically, it is a game project based on the Telegram platform and also exists as a mini application in Telegram. The highlight of this project is its unique "click-to-earn" mechanism, which allows users to participate in mining through simple interactive methods and continuous clicks in the chat interface, which provides a low-threshold entry for users to introduce the Web3 world.
Notcoin(NOT)Binance recently launched a new cryptocurrency called Notcoin (NOT), marking the 54th installment of its New Coin Mining Program. Below is a comprehensive analysis of Notcoin (NOT): Project Overview Notcoin (NOT) is a project that blends elements of social media with cryptocurrency features, specifically functioning as a game integrated into the Telegram platform and existing as a mini-application within Telegram. Its standout feature is a unique "click-to-earn" mechanism, which enables users to participate in mining through simple interactions, involving continuous clicking within chat interfaces. This approach offers users a low barrier entry point into the Web3 realm. Token Economics While the detailed token economic model has not been fully disclosed, projects of this nature typically incorporate incentive mechanisms to encourage user participation. These may include token allocation, reward distribution methods, and measures to curb inflation, such as token burns or lock-up schemes. Binance’s new coin mining often comes with initial liquidity incentives, which could positively impact NOT's early market performance. Community Reception and Market Acceptance Given Binance's influence, the launch of a new coin usually garners significant user attention. The level of community activity, user acceptance of the project's concept, and market responses are vital to NOT's success. User engagement, particularly interaction within the Telegram platform, will be a key indicator in assessing its market potential. Technology and Practical Value As an application embedded within Telegram, Notcoin (NOT)’s technological implementation and user experience directly impact user stickiness and the practical value of the token. If it can offer a seamless user experience and sustain user interest through gamification, NOT has the potential to evolve beyond short-term speculation and establish a lasting user base with sustained demand. #NOT开盘预测 #NOT开盘 #notcoin #NOT

Notcoin(NOT)

Binance recently launched a new cryptocurrency called Notcoin (NOT), marking the 54th installment of its New Coin Mining Program. Below is a comprehensive analysis of Notcoin (NOT):
Project Overview
Notcoin (NOT) is a project that blends elements of social media with cryptocurrency features, specifically functioning as a game integrated into the Telegram platform and existing as a mini-application within Telegram. Its standout feature is a unique "click-to-earn" mechanism, which enables users to participate in mining through simple interactions, involving continuous clicking within chat interfaces. This approach offers users a low barrier entry point into the Web3 realm.
Token Economics
While the detailed token economic model has not been fully disclosed, projects of this nature typically incorporate incentive mechanisms to encourage user participation. These may include token allocation, reward distribution methods, and measures to curb inflation, such as token burns or lock-up schemes. Binance’s new coin mining often comes with initial liquidity incentives, which could positively impact NOT's early market performance.
Community Reception and Market Acceptance
Given Binance's influence, the launch of a new coin usually garners significant user attention. The level of community activity, user acceptance of the project's concept, and market responses are vital to NOT's success. User engagement, particularly interaction within the Telegram platform, will be a key indicator in assessing its market potential.
Technology and Practical Value
As an application embedded within Telegram, Notcoin (NOT)’s technological implementation and user experience directly impact user stickiness and the practical value of the token. If it can offer a seamless user experience and sustain user interest through gamification, NOT has the potential to evolve beyond short-term speculation and establish a lasting user base with sustained demand.
#NOT开盘预测 #NOT开盘 #notcoin #NOT
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Key interpretation of the "Notice on Strengthening Digital Currency Supervision"The recent policy developments reflect the Chinese government’s determination to regulate the digital currency market, prevent financial risks, and protect consumer rights. Here are some key points: 1. Strengthening the supervision of digital currency transactions: In order to ensure the security and legality of digital currency transactions, relevant policies emphasize that they will continue to strengthen the supervision of digital currency trading platforms, implement strict review and supervision mechanisms, and ensure that the platforms operate in compliance with regulations. 2. Clarify the legal status of virtual currencies: It has been reiterated in multiple notices that virtual currencies not issued by monetary authorities, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins such as Tether, do not have the same legal status as legal tender. It emphasizes the status of central bank digital currency (CBDC) as the only legal sovereign digital currency, and strictly prohibits any unauthorized institution from issuing digital currency without authorization.

Key interpretation of the "Notice on Strengthening Digital Currency Supervision"

The recent policy developments reflect the Chinese government’s determination to regulate the digital currency market, prevent financial risks, and protect consumer rights. Here are some key points:
1. Strengthening the supervision of digital currency transactions: In order to ensure the security and legality of digital currency transactions, relevant policies emphasize that they will continue to strengthen the supervision of digital currency trading platforms, implement strict review and supervision mechanisms, and ensure that the platforms operate in compliance with regulations.
2. Clarify the legal status of virtual currencies: It has been reiterated in multiple notices that virtual currencies not issued by monetary authorities, such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins such as Tether, do not have the same legal status as legal tender. It emphasizes the status of central bank digital currency (CBDC) as the only legal sovereign digital currency, and strictly prohibits any unauthorized institution from issuing digital currency without authorization.
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Reasons for BTC's decline todayBitcoin (BTC) price decline today can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and expected interest rate hike: The market generally expects the US Federal Reserve to announce an interest rate hike at tomorrow's FOMC meeting to combat inflation. Such news usually leads to selling pressure on risky assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors tend to turn to safer traditional assets in an environment of rising interest rates. 2. Increased risk aversion in the market: Due to expected market volatility, some people choose to transfer funds to stablecoins to avoid potential price volatility risks. This capital flow reduces the demand for Bitcoin, which has a negative impact on its price.

Reasons for BTC's decline today

Bitcoin (BTC) price decline today can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and expected interest rate hike: The market generally expects the US Federal Reserve to announce an interest rate hike at tomorrow's FOMC meeting to combat inflation. Such news usually leads to selling pressure on risky assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors tend to turn to safer traditional assets in an environment of rising interest rates.
2. Increased risk aversion in the market: Due to expected market volatility, some people choose to transfer funds to stablecoins to avoid potential price volatility risks. This capital flow reduces the demand for Bitcoin, which has a negative impact on its price.
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A good coin recommendation every day - ATAAccording to RootData data cited by ChainCatcher, the price of Automata Network’s token ATA increased by more than 32% in 24 hours, reaching $0.25. This shows that the token has significant positive movement in the market and is attracting a lot of attention. Automata Network itself is an innovative blockchain solution that focuses on providing modular proof layer services. It expands the trust boundary at the machine level by integrating advanced technologies such as Optimistic Rollups and Zero-Knowledge Proofs, which are particularly important for verifying off-chain computations on platforms such as Ethereum. Optimistic Rollups is a strategy to increase the transaction processing capacity of blockchains while maintaining security, while Zero-Knowledge Proofs allows a party to prove that it has certain information without actually disclosing the information, which is critical for protecting privacy and improving efficiency.

A good coin recommendation every day - ATA

According to RootData data cited by ChainCatcher, the price of Automata Network’s token ATA increased by more than 32% in 24 hours, reaching $0.25. This shows that the token has significant positive movement in the market and is attracting a lot of attention.
Automata Network itself is an innovative blockchain solution that focuses on providing modular proof layer services. It expands the trust boundary at the machine level by integrating advanced technologies such as Optimistic Rollups and Zero-Knowledge Proofs, which are particularly important for verifying off-chain computations on platforms such as Ethereum. Optimistic Rollups is a strategy to increase the transaction processing capacity of blockchains while maintaining security, while Zero-Knowledge Proofs allows a party to prove that it has certain information without actually disclosing the information, which is critical for protecting privacy and improving efficiency.
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A good coin recommendation every day—IQIQ coin, full name Everipedia IQ, is a cryptocurrency closely associated with the Everipedia platform. Everipedia is a decentralized knowledge sharing platform based on blockchain technology, aiming to be a modernized and improved version of Wikipedia, which allows anyone to create and edit entries and rewards contributors through its unique token economic system. IQ currency features: 1. Technical foundation: IQ coin is built on blockchain technology and uses an advanced DPoS (delegated proof of stake) consensus mechanism, which helps increase transaction speed and reduce fees. 2. Incentive mechanism: On the Everipedia platform, IQ tokens are used as the core incentive tool to reward users who contribute valuable content to the platform, review and edit, or participate in governance. This mechanism is designed to encourage the production and maintenance of high-quality content.

A good coin recommendation every day—IQ

IQ coin, full name Everipedia IQ, is a cryptocurrency closely associated with the Everipedia platform. Everipedia is a decentralized knowledge sharing platform based on blockchain technology, aiming to be a modernized and improved version of Wikipedia, which allows anyone to create and edit entries and rewards contributors through its unique token economic system.
IQ currency features:
1. Technical foundation: IQ coin is built on blockchain technology and uses an advanced DPoS (delegated proof of stake) consensus mechanism, which helps increase transaction speed and reduce fees.
2. Incentive mechanism: On the Everipedia platform, IQ tokens are used as the core incentive tool to reward users who contribute valuable content to the platform, review and edit, or participate in governance. This mechanism is designed to encourage the production and maintenance of high-quality content.
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Why do you need to understand Grayscale's holdings?Grayscale holdings analysis usually involves in-depth research on the holdings of Grayscale Investments' Bitcoin-related products, their changing trends, and their possible impact on the market. As one of the world's largest digital asset management companies, Grayscale's Bitcoin holdings are widely regarded as an important indicator of the cryptocurrency market, especially the Bitcoin market, due to their large scale and high transparency. The following is an analysis framework and key points about Grayscale's holdings: 1. Position size and dynamics: Current holdings: Check the latest official data or trusted third-party platforms to understand the current Bitcoin holdings of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) or other related products. This is the basic data for analysis and reflects the actual Bitcoin holdings of Grayscale at a certain moment.

Why do you need to understand Grayscale's holdings?

Grayscale holdings analysis usually involves in-depth research on the holdings of Grayscale Investments' Bitcoin-related products, their changing trends, and their possible impact on the market. As one of the world's largest digital asset management companies, Grayscale's Bitcoin holdings are widely regarded as an important indicator of the cryptocurrency market, especially the Bitcoin market, due to their large scale and high transparency. The following is an analysis framework and key points about Grayscale's holdings:
1. Position size and dynamics:
Current holdings: Check the latest official data or trusted third-party platforms to understand the current Bitcoin holdings of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) or other related products. This is the basic data for analysis and reflects the actual Bitcoin holdings of Grayscale at a certain moment.
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The latest situation of Zhao Changpeng incidentThe latest situation of Zhao Changpeng’s incident is as follows: 1. U.S. prosecutors seek prison sentences: U.S. prosecutors have formally filed a request seeking a 36-month (or three-year) prison sentence for former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, following his admission of violating U.S. anti-money laundering regulations. 2. Background and Confession: Zhao Changpeng resigned as CEO of Binance in November 2023 and pleaded guilty to related criminal and civil charges during this period. His guilty plea was part of a settlement agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice that allowed Binance to continue operating in the United States, but it was subject to strict regulatory conditions and a huge fine.

The latest situation of Zhao Changpeng incident

The latest situation of Zhao Changpeng’s incident is as follows:
1. U.S. prosecutors seek prison sentences:
U.S. prosecutors have formally filed a request seeking a 36-month (or three-year) prison sentence for former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, following his admission of violating U.S. anti-money laundering regulations.
2. Background and Confession:
Zhao Changpeng resigned as CEO of Binance in November 2023 and pleaded guilty to related criminal and civil charges during this period. His guilty plea was part of a settlement agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice that allowed Binance to continue operating in the United States, but it was subject to strict regulatory conditions and a huge fine.
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When will the bull market end?There is no definite answer to the duration of the bull market, because it is affected by many factors, such as market sentiment, policy supervision, technological innovation, supply and demand, etc. However, we can refer to historical data and analyze the cyclical changes of cryptocurrencies to make a rough prediction of future trends. The bull-bear cycle of cryptocurrencies is about a four-year cycle, which coincides with the halving cycle of Bitcoin. For example, 2013, 2017, and 2021 were all halving years for Bitcoin, and also bull years for cryptocurrencies. In these years, the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have experienced explosive growth, creating historical highs. In the year after the halving, such as 2014, 2018, and 2022, the prices of cryptocurrencies have experienced a sharp correction and entered a bear market. In these years, the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen sharply, breaking through historical lows.

When will the bull market end?

There is no definite answer to the duration of the bull market, because it is affected by many factors, such as market sentiment, policy supervision, technological innovation, supply and demand, etc. However, we can refer to historical data and analyze the cyclical changes of cryptocurrencies to make a rough prediction of future trends.
The bull-bear cycle of cryptocurrencies is about a four-year cycle, which coincides with the halving cycle of Bitcoin. For example, 2013, 2017, and 2021 were all halving years for Bitcoin, and also bull years for cryptocurrencies. In these years, the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have experienced explosive growth, creating historical highs. In the year after the halving, such as 2014, 2018, and 2022, the prices of cryptocurrencies have experienced a sharp correction and entered a bear market. In these years, the prices of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have fallen sharply, breaking through historical lows.
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Learn position management and turn things around in the bull marketEffective position management is essential in the cryptocurrency trading process, as it helps control risks, protect principal, and increase potential returns. Here are some suggestions to help you manage your positions properly: 1. Understand and set your risk tolerance: Risk assessment: First, clarify your own risk tolerance, considering factors such as personal financial situation, investment period, market experience, and psychological endurance. Fund allocation: Determine the proportion of funds used for cryptocurrency trading based on your risk tolerance. It is generally recommended to use idle funds to avoid affecting your daily life. In the early stage, you can consider investing a smaller proportion (such as 5%-10% of the total funds), and then gradually adjust as you accumulate experience and deepen your risk awareness.

Learn position management and turn things around in the bull market

Effective position management is essential in the cryptocurrency trading process, as it helps control risks, protect principal, and increase potential returns. Here are some suggestions to help you manage your positions properly:
1. Understand and set your risk tolerance:
Risk assessment: First, clarify your own risk tolerance, considering factors such as personal financial situation, investment period, market experience, and psychological endurance.
Fund allocation: Determine the proportion of funds used for cryptocurrency trading based on your risk tolerance. It is generally recommended to use idle funds to avoid affecting your daily life. In the early stage, you can consider investing a smaller proportion (such as 5%-10% of the total funds), and then gradually adjust as you accumulate experience and deepen your risk awareness.
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Cryptocurrency survival rules (applicable to everyone)To survive in the cryptocurrency market and minimize risk, here are some key survival rules: 1. Study and research: Understand basic concepts: Be familiar with the basics of blockchain, cryptocurrency, smart contracts, etc., and master common terms such as consensus mechanism, hash rate, public key and private key, etc. Research the project in depth: Read the white paper carefully before investing to understand the project’s vision, technical features, team background, market positioning and other information. Pay attention to market dynamics: track industry news, policy changes, technological developments, community activities, etc., and stay sensitive to market trends.

Cryptocurrency survival rules (applicable to everyone)

To survive in the cryptocurrency market and minimize risk, here are some key survival rules:

1. Study and research:
Understand basic concepts: Be familiar with the basics of blockchain, cryptocurrency, smart contracts, etc., and master common terms such as consensus mechanism, hash rate, public key and private key, etc.
Research the project in depth: Read the white paper carefully before investing to understand the project’s vision, technical features, team background, market positioning and other information.
Pay attention to market dynamics: track industry news, policy changes, technological developments, community activities, etc., and stay sensitive to market trends.
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Why did FTT rebound?FTT (the native token of the FTX exchange) usually faces major negative events, such as founder issues, team disbandment risks, exchange uncertainty, and announcements by other large trading platforms such as Binance that related financial products will be removed from the shelves. Its market price will be under significant pressure, and investors may expect that its value will continue to decline, or even face the risk of a "cliff fall" or "crash." However, despite these unfavorable factors, the price of FTT may still rebound. We boldly speculate that possible reasons include the following aspects:

Why did FTT rebound?

FTT (the native token of the FTX exchange) usually faces major negative events, such as founder issues, team disbandment risks, exchange uncertainty, and announcements by other large trading platforms such as Binance that related financial products will be removed from the shelves. Its market price will be under significant pressure, and investors may expect that its value will continue to decline, or even face the risk of a "cliff fall" or "crash." However, despite these unfavorable factors, the price of FTT may still rebound. We boldly speculate that possible reasons include the following aspects:
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5--10 times potential coins recommended1. STRENGTH: - The first ZK project to be listed on Binance, it is described as having large room for growth, and has not yet risen significantly in the early stages of the bull market. - The fundamentals are not bad and the popularity is high. - The recommended strategy is to open a position and add to it when the price drops. 2. UNI (Uniswap): - Although it was considered the “mascot” of decentralized exchanges at the time, there are reports that it may develop its own application chain and use tokens as handling fees to empower tokens. 3. MATIC (Polygon): - Outperformed in a bearish market and expect better performance in the coming days and in 2023.

5--10 times potential coins recommended

1. STRENGTH:
- The first ZK project to be listed on Binance, it is described as having large room for growth, and has not yet risen significantly in the early stages of the bull market.
- The fundamentals are not bad and the popularity is high.
- The recommended strategy is to open a position and add to it when the price drops.
2. UNI (Uniswap):
- Although it was considered the “mascot” of decentralized exchanges at the time, there are reports that it may develop its own application chain and use tokens as handling fees to empower tokens.
3. MATIC (Polygon):
- Outperformed in a bearish market and expect better performance in the coming days and in 2023.
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Sectors worth paying attention to in this bull market1. MEME section: The MEME sector, including tokens such as PEPE, floki, WIF, and SATS, has become an emerging hot spot worthy of attention in the bull market due to its social network influence and community-driven market dynamics. 2. AI sector: It is expected that with the release of important technologies such as GPT5, AI-related stocks such as RNDR, FET, LPT, ARKM, NFP, JasMy, WLD, etc. are expected to benefit from technological progress and market demand growth and become highlights of the bull market. 3. New public chain sector: Emerging blockchain projects such as TIA, SUI, and SEI, as the forefront of technological innovation, may attract a large amount of capital inflows during the bull market due to industry development and project implementation.

Sectors worth paying attention to in this bull market

1. MEME section:
The MEME sector, including tokens such as PEPE, floki, WIF, and SATS, has become an emerging hot spot worthy of attention in the bull market due to its social network influence and community-driven market dynamics.
2. AI sector:
It is expected that with the release of important technologies such as GPT5, AI-related stocks such as RNDR, FET, LPT, ARKM, NFP, JasMy, WLD, etc. are expected to benefit from technological progress and market demand growth and become highlights of the bull market.
3. New public chain sector:
Emerging blockchain projects such as TIA, SUI, and SEI, as the forefront of technological innovation, may attract a large amount of capital inflows during the bull market due to industry development and project implementation.
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How to find 100x bull market coins?Earning a hundred times the profit in a bull market is a very challenging goal, which usually requires good investment strategies, risk control awareness and certain market insights. Here are some suggestions to help you maximize your returns in a bull market, but please note that any investment has risks and there is no absolute guarantee. The following strategies are for reference only: 1. Coin selection is crucial: Look for projects that are in the early stages, have innovative technologies, strong teams, clear application scenarios, and are not yet fully recognized by the market. Such projects tend to have greater explosive power in a bull market and may achieve tens or even hundreds of times growth.

How to find 100x bull market coins?

Earning a hundred times the profit in a bull market is a very challenging goal, which usually requires good investment strategies, risk control awareness and certain market insights. Here are some suggestions to help you maximize your returns in a bull market, but please note that any investment has risks and there is no absolute guarantee. The following strategies are for reference only:
1. Coin selection is crucial:
Look for projects that are in the early stages, have innovative technologies, strong teams, clear application scenarios, and are not yet fully recognized by the market. Such projects tend to have greater explosive power in a bull market and may achieve tens or even hundreds of times growth.
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Market forecast for Zhao Changpeng incident at the end of the monthThe impact of the Zhao Changpeng incident on the trend of Bitcoin is not direct and linear, but affects the market through a variety of indirect channels. The following are possible prediction angles: 1. Short-term market sentiment: - As the founder and industry leader of Binance Exchange, negative news about Zhao Changpeng and his company may trigger market panic and increase short-term market selling pressure. Leeks may reduce their investment in cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, out of risk aversion, causing prices to be under pressure in the short term. 2. Funds Flow: If investors lose confidence in Binance, they may choose to transfer funds to other trading platforms that are considered safer or more compliant. This flow of funds may drive up the prices of related platform coins and have a negative impact on Binance's native token Binance Coin (BNB). Although Bitcoin, as a mainstream cryptocurrency, is not directly related to Binance, fluctuations in market sentiment may have a cascading effect on its price.

Market forecast for Zhao Changpeng incident at the end of the month

The impact of the Zhao Changpeng incident on the trend of Bitcoin is not direct and linear, but affects the market through a variety of indirect channels. The following are possible prediction angles:
1. Short-term market sentiment:
- As the founder and industry leader of Binance Exchange, negative news about Zhao Changpeng and his company may trigger market panic and increase short-term market selling pressure. Leeks may reduce their investment in cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, out of risk aversion, causing prices to be under pressure in the short term.
2. Funds Flow:
If investors lose confidence in Binance, they may choose to transfer funds to other trading platforms that are considered safer or more compliant. This flow of funds may drive up the prices of related platform coins and have a negative impact on Binance's native token Binance Coin (BNB). Although Bitcoin, as a mainstream cryptocurrency, is not directly related to Binance, fluctuations in market sentiment may have a cascading effect on its price.
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Let you understand: Bitcoin has halved, why doesn’t it rise sharply?Bitcoin halving is when the Bitcoin network automatically adjusts mining rewards approximately every four years (every 210,000 blocks to be precise), reducing the number of Bitcoins produced with each new block in half. This mechanism is a preset part of the Bitcoin protocol and is designed to control the inflation rate and ensure a cap on the total supply (21 million Bitcoins). Historically, Bitcoin's first few halvings have been accompanied by significant price increases, largely due to market expectations that reduced supply will increase Bitcoin's scarcity, thereby driving up its value. However, Bitcoin does not necessarily see a sharp rise immediately or necessarily after the halving, and its price trend is affected by a variety of complex factors. Here are some reasons why Bitcoin may not surge after the halving:

Let you understand: Bitcoin has halved, why doesn’t it rise sharply?

Bitcoin halving is when the Bitcoin network automatically adjusts mining rewards approximately every four years (every 210,000 blocks to be precise), reducing the number of Bitcoins produced with each new block in half. This mechanism is a preset part of the Bitcoin protocol and is designed to control the inflation rate and ensure a cap on the total supply (21 million Bitcoins). Historically, Bitcoin's first few halvings have been accompanied by significant price increases, largely due to market expectations that reduced supply will increase Bitcoin's scarcity, thereby driving up its value. However, Bitcoin does not necessarily see a sharp rise immediately or necessarily after the halving, and its price trend is affected by a variety of complex factors. Here are some reasons why Bitcoin may not surge after the halving:
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What makes this Bitcoin halving different from previous ones?Compared with the previous halvings, Bitcoin’s fourth halving has the following significant differences: 1. Market expectations and pricing: Partially expected market reaction: Deutsche Bank pointed out that the market has partially anticipated this halving, which means that investors and market participants may have already reflected the impact of this important event in the price trend before the halving. Therefore, compared to the significant price increases that may have occurred during previous halvings, there will not be a significant price increase after this halving. 2. Changes in correlation with traditional financial markets: Weakened correlation: Since the FTX crisis in 2022, the correlation between Bitcoin and major US stock indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq has weakened significantly, with correlations of only 16% and 15% respectively in 2024. This means that Bitcoin price movements show greater independence from traditional financial markets, and the impact of halving events on broader financial markets may be limited.

What makes this Bitcoin halving different from previous ones?

Compared with the previous halvings, Bitcoin’s fourth halving has the following significant differences:
1. Market expectations and pricing:
Partially expected market reaction: Deutsche Bank pointed out that the market has partially anticipated this halving, which means that investors and market participants may have already reflected the impact of this important event in the price trend before the halving. Therefore, compared to the significant price increases that may have occurred during previous halvings, there will not be a significant price increase after this halving.
2. Changes in correlation with traditional financial markets:
Weakened correlation: Since the FTX crisis in 2022, the correlation between Bitcoin and major US stock indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq has weakened significantly, with correlations of only 16% and 15% respectively in 2024. This means that Bitcoin price movements show greater independence from traditional financial markets, and the impact of halving events on broader financial markets may be limited.
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Understanding Bitcoin HalvingBitcoin halving is one of its core design mechanisms, which aims to gradually reduce the number of newly issued Bitcoins through predetermined rules to achieve the goal of constant total amount and deflation. This mechanism is implemented every four years, specifically in the form of halving the Bitcoin reward generated by each block in the blockchain network. Since the birth of Bitcoin, it has undergone three halvings, which occurred in November 2012, July 2016 and May 2020, respectively, and the reward has dropped from the initial 50 BTC to the current 6.25 BTC. Bitcoin halving has multiple impacts on the market and participants:

Understanding Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin halving is one of its core design mechanisms, which aims to gradually reduce the number of newly issued Bitcoins through predetermined rules to achieve the goal of constant total amount and deflation. This mechanism is implemented every four years, specifically in the form of halving the Bitcoin reward generated by each block in the blockchain network. Since the birth of Bitcoin, it has undergone three halvings, which occurred in November 2012, July 2016 and May 2020, respectively, and the reward has dropped from the initial 50 BTC to the current 6.25 BTC.
Bitcoin halving has multiple impacts on the market and participants:
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