Plus the car is lighter, if it can't be smashed now, it will be much easier to rise #以太坊ETF批准预期 #山寨季何时到来？ #币安7周年 #山寨季何时到来？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

In the currency market, short-term short selling is faster when the market falls than when it rises. Short selling with leverage during a fall can bring huge profits in the short term and capital accumulation is fast. Short selling is fun for a while, and it is fun to keep short selling. At the same time, after having the psychological pleasure of short selling violent profits, slowly and imperceptibly, trading will have a mindset and habit of being more inclined to short selling. Originally, short selling can accumulate capital quickly, relying on leverage and fast market changes. On the contrary, in a market like the currency market with a strong rise and no upper limit, a single leveraged guess of the top and high leverage short selling can capsize in the gutter as long as you make a mistake once. Even if you are a good swimmer, you can't resist the rapid underwater flow and finally sink to the bottom of the river and it will be impossible to turn over. If you don't realize this, after short selling accumulates profits, you will retreat bravely and change your inertial short selling mindset and habits. You can make money in a short time when you trade later, but you will eventually go back and forth in the same place, falling into a dead cycle of recharging, opening positions, short selling, and liquidation, just like a cool mat. Short selling will also develop a fatal trading habit, which is short-term thinking. You may have the impression that I am a die-hard bull who does not short very often, and I have not shorted for two or three years. In fact, when I first entered the circle, I was better at short selling. I made a lot of money when the market fell sharply, and I also had a little reputation for short selling. But in the end, the inertial thinking of short selling made me miss the entire bull market of 20-21. After missing the last round of bull market, I became impatient and anxious in trading. Later, when I changed my trading habits of short selling, I was impatient to go long on a copycat with leverage, and finally my position was blown up. These are all bloody experiences and lessons. #币安7周年 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀ #ETFvsBTC #美国大选如何影响加密产业？

Today, Bitcoin reversed the downward trend that had been blocked at 72,000 for nearly six weeks since June 7. This round of Bitcoin correction ended and gradually began to rise.

When the market picks up, funds are concentrated on Bitcoin. It is quite good that most altcoins can follow Bitcoin.

From the market, a small amount of funds are bottom-fishing the oversold coins in the early stage, such as Bitcoin ecological coin sats (UNISAT empowers SATS with favorable support), and ICP has also fallen from a high of 20 to a low of 5.81, a drop of 70%. The rebound has been strong in the past two days.

If you want to hold some altcoins, you can only do the strongest. If the strongest cannot continue, other concepts will be more difficult.

Bitcoin has just turned strong, and there will not be too many ways to play in the market. The dog dealers in the market will only choose favorable and strong ones (such as ICP) and oversold rebound concepts (ORDI also has a chance).

Overall, Bitcoin is not very strong. If you want to hold a small amount of altcoin positions, you can only layout points on ICP, SATS, and ORDI, and try to control the altcoin positions. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #币安7周年 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC下跌分析

Looking at the weekly K-line at 8 o'clock this morning, the big cake market should be stable. There should be a big positive line of 3.4 thousand dollars here. #币安7周年 #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #美联储何时降息？ #BTC下跌分析 #德国政府转移比特币

July 13 Xiaoyao Study Club The expectation of interest rate cut is approaching, and market sentiment is gradually recovering

After Thursday's CPI decline, the US stock market was slightly weak, mainly because the US dollar liquidity will be relatively tight before and after the Fed cuts interest rates, and a large amount of funds will go to buy US bonds, so the market liquidity will not be too good near the interest rate cut node; interest rate cuts are accompanied by economic slowdown, and there will be a certain degree of outflow without liquidity.

On July 12, the US spot Bitcoin ETF had a net inflow of US$312 million, of which GBTC had an inflow of US$23 million, IBIT had a net inflow of US$120 million, and FBTC had a net inflow of US$115 million. US ETFs have had net inflows for 6 consecutive trading days. From the trend point of view, the amount of funds flowing in has increased significantly after the release of CPI data.

Today's panic index is 25. When the fear and greed index is less than 25 and is closer to 0, it generally indicates that the market is at the bottom and market sentiment is gradually recovering. You can consider buying or going long.

In July, the BTC congestion dropped sharply from 142% to 32.85%, which means that the risk of stampede has been completely eliminated.

Now that Mentougou has been fully implemented, the selling pressure of paying 140,000 BTC is not great. After all, the unknown is the most terrifying, and the chips are distributed to retail investors. It is also the retail investors who decide whether to sell or continue to hold, so there will not be a concentrated and large-scale market crash.

It is not wise to short and all-in in the big cycle. The opportunity cost of missing out is far greater than the possible retracement. The subsequent market will become optimistic. Reasonably control the C position and keep the original intention. Grasp this round of bull market, and earn at least three years of meal tickets in the next year. After this cycle, the dividends will disappear completely, and the big cake will form a trend similar to gold in the future. In the future, we can only do similar spread transactions. Of course, the market volatility is still not small, and senior gamblers still have opportunities.

Investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market
Persisting in creation is not easy, welcome to like, comment and forward

#美联储何时降息？ 7526962909#Theoverall downward trend of the big cake has not been reversed and improved. The short-term overall short-selling remnants on the technical side still have some comparative advantages. After 9:30 pm, during the US stock market period, the ETF had a big positive line and closed above the 20-day moving average. The situation is different. #BTC☀ #CPI数据

#6684664806#ThisMonday, the daily K-line of the big cake completed the second bottoming out at 54260 and gradually rebounded and rose. At noon today, it stood on the pressure of 58500 and cleared some short positions, but the overall downward trend at the daily K-line level has not been completely improved.

In the overall trend of the big cake for one month, the daily K-line is still trading below the downward trend pressure line since the beginning of June, and the upper pressure 60,000-60500 range overlaps with the 20-day moving average. 10. The direction of the 20-day moving average is still parallel downward, and it will take time for the 5, 10, and 20-day moving averages to turn upward from the overall short-term arrangement.

The daily K-line has completed the second bottoming out, and the worst time for the big cake has passed. The market is forming a short-term bottom. If the big cake is blocked in the 60000-60500 range in the next one or two days/a few days, it should be around 56000 to bottom out again. If there is an opportunity, 56000 or below is the last comparative advantage entry opportunity.

Last night, Fed Chairman Powell did not reveal the path of interest rate cuts in his semi-annual monetary policy testimony, but the market still has high expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in September. The June CPI will be released tomorrow night, and Bitcoin will still seek expectations and exact timing of interest rate cuts in the CPI data. If the US dollar does not cut interest rates in September, it will cut in November. If it does not cut this year, it will cut next year, because a US dollar interest rate cut is a must. The later the time, the more favorable it is for Bitcoin. Bitcoin can rise above 73,000 in the tightening cycle, so why not go above 100,000 in the loosening and interest rate cut cycle?

In addition, the scale of Bitcoin ETF is already very large. Although Bitcoin has continued to fall in the past month, the outflow of funds is very limited. The cost of a number of Bitcoin ETFs such as BlackRock is above 50,000. How much can Bitcoin fall, and are there still short sellers who are not afraid of death? If BlackRock and other ETFs are bought to the current scale, they will be sorry if they do not rise to more than 100,000 in the future market.

In general, the darkest time for the pancake has passed, and now we can see the light of dawn. The weather is cloudy with short-term rain, but the sky will be clear someday, and there is no rush. #美联储何时降息？ #BTC☀

This year, the market trend of pancakes after the Spring Festival is very synchronized with the technical trend of gold and silver. For example, pancakes, gold and silver both formed obvious stage tops in mid-April and late May, and then pulled back. The policy fundamentals of speculation are all the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts. In terms of demand, gold is the continued purchasing power of the central bank, and the demand for pancakes is the continuous low-buying of ETFs. From the medium- and short-term trends of gold and silver, the medium- and short-term rise is still not damaged. In the short-term correction, gold is more resistant to the decline; but when the market is strong, the aggressiveness of silver and pancakes is more obvious. Gold and silver have a short-term correction and can no longer fall. There is already a demand for a rebound on the technical side. The next round of monetary easing policy of the Federal Reserve is imminent. Gold, silver and pancakes, which are very sensitive to the US dollar interest rate, have a bright future. #币安合约锦标赛 #BTC走势分析 #热门推荐 #黄金 #美联储何时降息？

According to Glassnode data, the balance of miners' wallets has decreased by about 30,000 BTC since October 2023, and is currently 1.8 million BTC.

Miners are the bulk of this wave of shipments. There are still 1.8 million to sell. It is best to sell them all now. At present, there is still buying support at this position. It is a small gold pit. It is not rising now, but there is no fuse. It takes time to fully change hands. ​#币安合约锦标赛 #美联储何时降息？ #新币挖矿

#美联储利率决策即将公布 #IO价格预测 # This week will be a very important week. Tonight (Wednesday) at 20:30, the United States will release the latest CPI data, and a few hours later (Thursday morning 02:00) the Federal Reserve will announce the June interest rate decision. Today's CPI and the Federal Reserve's interest rate statement will determine the future volatility of the pie in the next month.

Tomorrow is the data day. If the data is positive, the interest rate will be cut immediately. Then the probability of a new high in the next two days is very high. If the data is negative, the interest rate cut will be delayed, and the price may reach around 64,600. After the negative data is digested, it will continue to rise. ​​​#美联储利率决策即将公布 #非农就业人数高于预期 #美联储何时降息？ #热门趋势 $BTC #

The price of bread and butter is about to rise. The central banks are all releasing liquidity. Today and tomorrow, the Canadian and European central banks will take the lead in cutting interest rates, and the Federal Reserve will also cut interest rates soon. ​​​

The Bank of Canada announced a 25 basis point rate cut, the first among the G7 countries. The time for other G7 countries to cut interest rates will not be too far away. If the central banks of major European and American countries start to cut interest rates, it will be conducive to the inflow of funds into the capital market. The big pie is ready to go and continue the pattern. [Come on]

Pie: Before Pie reaches 72,000, Pie will still consolidate around 69,000 +/- 2000U space, exchanging time for space, stand at 72,000, and then break through 73777 to set a new high. A considerable number of short positions have been accumulated around 72,000/above. Once the resistance of 72,000 is broken or a new high is set, these short positions will be liquidated or cut losses will be fuel for Pie's rise. The market looks a bit calm. In fact, Pie is already very resistant to falling. If Pie is going to fall, it would have fallen a long time ago and would not stay flat for so long. In terms of the fundamental environment, the US dollar interest rate cut is a must, and the stages experienced are: US dollar interest rate cut expectations ---- US dollar first interest rate cut implementation ---- continued interest rate cut to 3%--3.5%. This cycle will last for a long time, and the US dollar interest rate cut easing cycle will support the long-term bull market of Pie. Don't short Pie, just hold a long position in Pie.

Today, Mt Gox transferred 42,900 BTC, which may be the beginning of distribution to creditors. There were large transfers in the Bitcoin address. The market temporarily expected that the digestion capacity was insufficient, and the short-term negative pressure suppressed the Bitcoin price.

Mentougou was established in 2010. It was once the world's largest Bitcoin trading platform at the time, accounting for 70%. Then about 800,000 Bitcoins were stolen in 2014, and then Mentougou declared bankruptcy. After the news came out, the market was worried about the short-term adjustment of the selling pressure. Last year, it announced that the repayment period would be extended by 12 months to October 31, 2024, and the possibility of further delay this year was not ruled out.

In general, the delay in the time point of the new high did not affect the announcement of the Bitcoin 100,000. #MtGox钱包动态 #5月市场关键事件 #ETH #热门推荐

At this time, buying any copycat is not as safe as betting on the big pie. The longer the big pie is in the range of 68,000-72,000, the stronger it will be.

Earlier this year, the Bitcoin ETF was approved, and the approval of the Ethereum ETF is inevitable. Among them, political factors have accelerated the approval process. Supporting cryptocurrencies has become a political correctness in the US election. Approving ETFs requires court intervention. Trump and Biden's teams have proved that they also embrace cryptocurrencies in order to win over some votes for cryptocurrencies.

At present, the SEC has approved multiple Ethereum spot ETFs, but has not announced the time for ETFs to be launched. It will continue to hype before the good news is implemented. Passing the Ethereum ETF is equivalent to passing many copycats. There are many copycats on ETH, especially mortgages and second layers. There are both advantages and disadvantages to the approval of the project, but in the long run, it is positive for the development of the crypto circle. The concubine is a copycat leader. After the official approval for online trading, it is estimated that the so-called copycat season is not far away. Decentralized supervision and compliance with rules have become the biggest problems. Many participants in the crypto industry do not abide by the rules. The market has become active, and these people have to be active in operation, and then harvest, leaving a mess. #BTC走势分析 #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准 #5月市场关键事件 #ETH #PEPE创历史新高

If the Ethereum ETF is approved, it is equivalent to passing all the copycats. There are too many copycats on ETH, especially mortgages and second layers. If Ethereum is messy, there will be a lot of them. Those project owners will be active in operation, and then reap the profits, leaving a mess behind.

ETH's ETF approval time is unclear and the old man of the Federal Reserve is hanging. The market fluctuations during this period are greatly affected by news. The opportunities are proportional to the risks. Before the good news is implemented, it can be repeatedly hyped. Hot money in the market is tossing around and playing various copycats. BTC's ETF has so many institutions entering the market. The rise depends entirely on ETF funds. After all, they are all piled up with real money. It is much more stable than the fundamentals of the concubine. Reasonable control of leverage, just keep on the car, and do some concubine's bands at the right time. #BTC走势分析 #山寨币热点 #5月市场关键事件 #ETH #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准

There are two important changes in the BTC spot ETF flow update on April 24

Grayscale GBTC outflow: 130 million US dollars
BlackRock IBIT inflow: 0

Grayscale is a pig, managing 19 billion, with a management fee of 1.5%, and now outflowing 17 billion. A few days ago, I saw that the outflow of Grayscale GBTC was getting smaller and smaller, and I thought that this round of selling pressure might be about to end. I didn’t expect it to be so big yesterday

BlackRock’s inflow yesterday was 0, indicating that the capital inflow of BlackRock’s ETF has indeed slowed down, but FBTC Fidelity’s net inflow surpassed BlackRock in February. At present, the overall market capital flow is insufficient, and the re-inflow of ETFs can only wait for the external environment to slow down or the market to hype the expectation of a US dollar interest rate cut.

The rise of the cake still depends on ETFs. The market at this stage needs more time to slowly repair and adjust, just like the market economy. At present, the currency market is in the transition stage from the early to the mid-term of the bull market.

It will take some time to effectively stand at 67,000 in the short term.
#比特币减半 #大盘走势 #BTC #热门话题 #ETFbitcoin

South Korea is really strong. Upbit will list BIGTIME and AKT, which will instantly increase by 20 points. Any abnormal increase will be supported by news. #BigTime #韩国 #大盘走势