Why are they masters? That is the result of thousands of trials and tribulations. How much time, energy and cost have you spent on learning how to trade? If you have spent nothing or very little, then don't ask why others can get results but you can't. I practiced trading for more than eight hours a day. It took two hours a day to find targets. I researched four projects at the fastest every day, and sometimes I could only finish one. The whole team researched all the currencies of Binance and OK very clearly, which took more than half a year. Most people would be numb after just one look at the Google spreadsheet. With so much information, we think the basic information is clear at a glance. Next, we will study the K-line pattern, market maker methods, project structure and operation. This is also the reason why currencies are not shared often. The reason is simple. Olympic gold medalists only have a few minutes or one chance to go on stage, but they have studied and practiced hard for more than ten years! When you see people sharing coins, your cognition is not at the same frequency and level as theirs, and you can't even tell whether the person sharing is an expert or not. So many people often suffer a lot in this regard. They call it paying a lot of tuition fees, but in fact, they have wasted their hard-earned money. They wanted to change their fate in the coin circle, but ended up becoming fuel for others.
Learning is important, and practice is more important. There is a gap in the middle that needs to be crossed. It is very difficult to integrate knowledge and practice.
My confidence comes from the fact that the entire team has been deeply involved in the coin circle for many years and has experienced the trials and tribulations of the coin circle, and the confidence brought by continuous learning and practice. That's why I say that each coin has its own temper, because in my heart they are not just a string of letters but people with life and feelings.
Only when it is late at night and everyone is asleep can you calm down. The live broadcast during this period has touched me deeply and made me more determined to continue the training and education in the cryptocurrency circle. At the beginning, my friend said that you have such a high degree, such a good experience, and you can stand up after two ups and downs. Why don’t you do training and education? When we entered the cryptocurrency circle, we wanted to find a place to learn, but there was no place. It was all about fomo, cx, and getting rich overnight. K-line technology can be learned from stocks, but it needs to be transformed into the cryptocurrency circle. Investment research is a dimensionality reduction attack in the secondary level, and there are also on-chain data, strategies, and position management. Share your sad past and the pitfalls of the cryptocurrency circle, so that more people can benefit and avoid detours. A science and engineering man like me doesn’t like to socialize. I like to do research by myself. To put it nicely, it’s called professionalism, and to put it bluntly, it’s called social phobia! I was so nervous when I went to Binance live broadcast that I not only stuttered but also almost said the wrong thing. Later, I tried a few times before I slowly got better. I was like they didn’t know me anyway, and they wouldn’t remember what I said.
$STG 8 settled, and the rate is surprisingly -1.8, fuel is good! I’ve jumped into some spot trades, let's see if the market blesses me with some gains.
Did MicroStrategy's sell-off crash the crypto market?
This time, Bitcoin plummeted from over 80k down to 590. Many believe it was MicroStrategy's two small sell-offs that caused this—one at 441 and another at 36. They sold Bitcoin, which sparked market panic, leading to a herd mentality and mass selling. I don't think that's the case! As a business, they financed buying Bitcoin, with an entry cost around 760. At the same time, they pumped their stock and distributed interest to investors. You see tons of talk about this online, and if you're not savvy, it might seem super complex. But it’s pretty straightforward: you give me your cash, and I pay you interest, which is a bit high—over 10%. Don't worry about the early bird stocks, dividends, or various derivatives; the core is just what I mentioned.
Review of yesterday's trades 1. Bitcoin, anticipated a drop, Trump made a shout, I got in at 63933, and my short was liquidated. I impulsively shorted again around 63300, with a stop-loss at 644. If it breaks that level, the trend shifts to bullish, and I’ll take the loss. I’m not worried about spot trading, but contracts can get wrecked by sudden news that’s out of my control. If I get stopped out, I’ll flip my strategy to buy the dip, aiming for 655 first. $BTC 2. WLD, I’ve been eyeing this for a while wanting to short it, and I finally did because of Trump. I’m managing my profit and loss; I just noticed that while Bitcoin is strong, WLD isn’t. It’s still at the price I shorted yesterday, but it keeps shooting up with wicks and down with solid bodies, clearly indicating it’s struggling to pump. I’m getting ready to short another position at the right moment. $WLD 3. STG, I’ve been hesitant to short because I haven’t seen any signs of distribution from the whales, and the funding rate has dropped to -2. This means if I short, the funding will eat me alive, and it keeps climbing, causing losses. I’ve been waiting for the 8 PM settlement, there should be a pullback then. I’m preparing to scoop some spot to take a 10-20% profit and get out. Before entering, I’ll check the funding rate; if it quickly hits -2, it means the stubborn bears are trying to hold the line, and entering should be pretty safe. Shorting altcoins is risky when the funding is at -2 and they keep pumping; as long as the fuel is there, it’s hard to predict where it’ll go. It might be safer to just grab some spot. This reminds me of LAB; I bought at 4.8 and sold at 5.1, while others pumped it to over 20. No technicals, just enough fuel! $STG
4. HYPE, I had my eyes on it yesterday, planning to short around 61, waiting for the opportunity, sold at 55, ready to re-enter.
Overall, altcoins are performing weakly. I’m stuck in EDU, SUI, APT, etc., which have only bounced up 10+ points—just a drop in the bucket. They need to double just to break even; a 90% drop means they have to 10x to recover. This highlights the importance of stop-losses. Circle and Gold have bounced back; these two assets might be good for a long position. Oil, however, should be shorted. Plus, be extra cautious with US stocks and commodities; Trump could announce strikes on Iran at any moment. From experience, when he does, Bitcoin doesn’t really drop!
I woke up early today; I’ll be heading to the @BTB投研 live stream for the review, starting at 10 AM.
Reminder: Japan has a high probability of rate hikes, and the Fed’s June FOMC might be bearish, so stay prepared and tread carefully in the market.
This Trump guy is really annoying! I just want to vent. I was all set to short and ready to scoop up some spot buys down below, and then you come out yelling, 'All good now!' and ruin it for me!
Did you have your longs set up? You got your shorts for oil ready and told everyone to load up? Then you start calling the shots!
Seriously frustrating! No matter how good I am, I can't predict what you're going to say next. It reminds me of the deal that U.S. courts struck with the little blonde guy, giving Trump and his family permanent immunity from tax audits. This means they can do whatever they want without worrying about tax issues!
But I'm still stubborn! Just now, when the price pumped, I shorted again!
If $BTC can't break the 632 range in the next two hours, I'm getting ready to short Bitcoin. Right now, I'm waiting for the 1-hour close and looking for a solid 1-hour bearish signal to enter. Just hanging tight...
Why enter? The levels, resistance, structure, indicators, and signals all align with my trading system. After analyzing, I'm prepped to jump in.
Risk Warning: Futures trading is risky; newbies should steer clear. If your technical skills and mindset aren't on point, just stick to spot trading Bitcoin. This analysis is for reference only; do your own research and trade at your own risk.
While waiting for BTC to pump, I'm setting up a short at $WLD . Why am I shorting it? First, I still believe BTC will dip, which will naturally drag WLD down with it. Second, the amount of WLD being released tomorrow is massive, and the signs of pump and dump during the rise are too obvious. I've calculated that the supply is almost out, so I'm making a preemptive exit.
Please don't follow my trades; I'm just sharing what I've done, and I might not always be right. If you follow and end up losing money, that won't be good.
Previously, my WLD short got liquidated with profit. I felt it was going to drop, but it didn't go down. Thankfully, I didn't lose money.
I'm keeping an eye on $STG , anticipating a move to 0.48. It shot up to around 0.54, but I didn't short it because the momentum was too strong; I was worried about getting wrecked if I jumped in too soon. I'm watching it closely. Once it starts to lose steam and the whales begin to offload, that's when I'll make my move and potentially bag some serious gains.
I can't say how high it can go, but I can definitely spot the signals for when they're offloading and when it’s losing momentum. If that’s not happening, I won’t enter—no way. I’ve learned my lesson this time, though; I grabbed some spot at 0.41, rode the pump, and took a 15-point profit.
This is a nice little reward for trusting my own judgment. Trading is like that; if you mess up, you lose, but when you're right, you profit. It’s straightforward and brutal, but I love that thrill. Being able to make money even during a downtrend? I’m really satisfied with that.
Bullish tonight, but not expecting a huge pump. The levels I see are around 643-637, but the overall trend is still bearish unless Bitcoin can flip above 710, which I think has a low probability. Mainly due to high CPI, the Fed is starting to price in rate hikes along with Japan's rate hike expectations. With the US-Iran situation escalating, imported inflation isn't going to decrease. Bitcoin has dropped quite a bit, while US stocks are still riding high. It all comes down to how much Bitcoin can drop if US stocks start tanking. It feels like Bitcoin doesn't really correlate with US stocks; it's all about the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. As Bitcoin dips, more dip buyers are jumping in; it’s tough to shake the price. I’ve been buying the dip myself, and I suspect a lot of fellow traders are thinking the same. How can Bitcoin be pushed down effectively?
I pretty much went through the shitcoins again. With this dip in BTC, the altcoins are once again showing their lack of a bottom. It's like I'm blowing up my own spot—what you see as the bottom isn't really the bottom; I can still drop even lower. And yeah, I’ve taken a few slaps from the market myself.
Why do we call them shitcoins? Because they launch without any cost, back themselves with funding endorsements to get listed on exchanges, and then they all team up to harvest the retail investors like crops, cashing out with worthless coins that cost nothing to produce!
Only a handful of coins have real strength and market-making capability. Don't even think about dating a shitcoin; I wouldn't even want to hold hands—maybe just a glance and then I'm out.
Out of the picks I've selected, only $NEAR and $ONDO are worth holding hands with, the rest are just total trash!
I can't shake this weird vibe in the market these days. There's all this bad news—US is taking action against Iran, the stock market is tanking, ETFs are getting sold off, and even the US government is moving various coins, but they're not touching Bitcoin. The big guy just won't dip! It's holding strong at 591, 606, and 611. The more I look, the more I feel like it's gearing up for a breakout!
I've been trading spot back and forth, and it's giving me that same feeling as the 73777-49000 range. Spot trading has been super smooth, but this isn't normal. Bitcoin's been oscillating, with price ranges fluctuating, while altcoins are getting crushed in the volatility—kind of reminiscent of the trends we might see in 2024 and 2025.
Where's the bottom? Either it dips so low that no one dares to buy the dip, and then it finally comes, or everyone misses the bottom and it just takes off—right now could be the bottom!
Just got back from dinner, tonight the students are coming to the office, and I was still catching some Z's. They looked at the charts for a bit, and when we started the explanation, I noticed my long positions on gold and Circle were off, probably not going to recover, so I decided to close them. However, Circle shot up to around 82, and Bitcoin surged to 628, so I shorted it.
After the lecture, I went to grab a bite, and when I checked during dinner, Bitcoin had dropped to 617, and I forgot Circle's price, but I closed out a position, recovering losses from the long I opened yesterday, and even made a profit. My plan was to snag 1000 points.
Reflecting on why I shorted, I had actually planned for this at the 627 level; as soon as it hit that, I was ready to enter, with my stop-loss set at 643. If it pushed up and changed the trend, it wouldn’t drop to the 5k range, so that’s where I put my stop-loss, aiming for a 1000-point take profit. After all, it’s a short-term trade, enough to cover losses. This is the principle of good upward curves; losses are inevitable, but overall, we want profits to ride the waves upwards.
I'm not too optimistic about Bitcoin; if it goes up, I’ll keep shorting. Today, a student asked me a question, saying, "Coach, your predictions on Bitcoin are pretty spot on. Are you seeing Bitcoin drop, should I short some altcoins?" I said, "Congrats, you've unlocked the cross-market shorting skill." People really need to think; I told him not to trade yet, his skills aren't up to par, but his understanding is there!
Why am I not trading? Focus—trading requires focus.
This time, inflation rose as expected, but overall inflation is climbing, and the Fed won’t be cutting rates anytime soon. That’s the reason for a long-term bearish outlook. Many people like to guess the bottom; from my experience, no one can accurately predict the bottom. Everyone is waiting for that 50k range, but that’s definitely not the bottom. It has to drop to at least 30k. Why? Because only when it drops do those looking to catch the knife feel brave enough to buy. They don’t even dare to catch the bottom and are waiting for lower prices, then the bottom hits. Another scenario is 591 being the bottom, since everyone is waiting; Bitcoin won’t drop and will just consolidate here before launching. When everyone realizes the bull is coming, Bitcoin has already taken off, and it’s too late! I remember during my livestream, someone asked me when Bitcoin was over 60k, "Is it bearish now?" That’s the feeling—being late to realize is a common issue for the entire market and retail traders! It’s also about emotional control. 收起全文 $BTC @Yi He @Richard Teng @CZ
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Looking back at the altcoins I bought earlier, I've realized that I've been inconsistent with my strategy. I should've capped my altcoin purchases at three, but I ended up with seven or eight, which scattered my focus. Most altcoins haven't performed as well as Bitcoin, and they've dropped harder than BTC. Luckily, I managed to make a small profit with bio when it pumped, but I lost over 30% on SUI, APT, EDU, AUCTION, LINK, and others, which shouldn't have happened.
There's a clear pattern: the more altcoins I buy, the worse my losses become. Did I forget that many altcoins fell by 90% during the bear market? Even though I had a trading plan for each, having too many assets diluted my focus. Trading demands concentration, patience, and precision!
I need to patiently wait for signals and go hard when the right opportunity arises. There are too many coins in the market that could pump and too many that could dump; opportunities are everywhere. It's like trading contracts with 800 different directions in a day—few will suit my strategy. I can't just rush in when I see a price rise; I should concentrate on the coins I’ve analyzed, keep an eye on them, build my position, add to it, hold tight, and take profits. Money is endless, and I should aim to earn what I can consistently and safely, then keep repeating that process.
Just like with Allo and Binance life, when the time comes, and I see the opportunity, I need to go all in! Even if I missed some moves, I didn’t miss the hype, and I believe I've done well. When the moment arrives, I’ll go for it! After making my moves, I’ll keep searching and then wait.
Just saw Bitcoin dip to 60755, breaking the previous low at 60780, and I caught it just in time. Then it quickly reversed, and the intentions of the whales are pretty clear. I jumped in with a market buy around 608, but since it’s against the trend, I kept it light—no need to overextend. I was monitoring the 5-minute chart, aiming for a quick 500-1000 points.
The reason for entering here is pretty straightforward; based on my trading strategy, a buy signal popped up. So I executed, bagged 500 points, and closed the position.
$PENDLE is rapidly dropping to the levels where I'm looking to enter the market. I feel like Bitcoin can reach this point with the current dip, but I'm a bit worried it might break below 1. After all, Bitcoin is not exactly stable. I'll just keep an eye on the situation for now.
I reviewed the situation on $ALLO ; the whales are clearly washing the positions, and they haven't unloaded all their bags yet. There's still potential for further upward movement to break the previous high, but I’m ready to drop this one and stop monitoring it. The upcoming price action is no longer my concern.
For $币安人生 , the whales clearly haven’t shown their cards yet. After breaking the previous high, they’re consolidating without losing support, which indicates they’re gearing up for another push. Following Bitcoin's drop, the washing phase seems complete, and the indicator recovery is quite evident. If it consolidates for a few days and the indicators get back in line, the probability of another upward move is really high. However, if they manage to offload their bags during consolidation, a downturn could follow. I'm stepping back and looking for other coins.
I’ve got my eye on $STG ; the whales are obviously pulling up for a deep wash and then trying to push higher. I'm waiting for them to break the previous high so I can find a good opportunity to short it! I expect it might rise to around 0.48, so I’ll keep an eye on the charts. If it hits my target range, that would be fantastic.
I'm done with the hype and waiting for it to drop. If it can get close to 20, I’ll consider picking up some spot. If it doesn’t drop to around 20, I’ll pass on this one and look for other opportunities to build my position. It’s a bit disappointing that I didn’t get in on the solid picks at lower levels, but at least I’ve got some short contracts to ease the frustration.
Man, I totally misread this one. I thought Trump wouldn’t throw punches at Iran ahead of the midterms, but he did, and now both the US stock market and Bitcoin are taking a hit.
If he hadn't attacked Iran, Bitcoin should’ve been cruising up to around 627, but after this mess, it stalled at 622 and started dipping. Plus, tonight’s CPI is likely to surprise us; with oil prices still high, even meeting expectations will push overall inflation up, which is bearish in the long run.
But that $MORPHO I mentioned on the livestream yesterday is holding strong. It’s got that vibe of becoming the next DeFi leader, so I think it’s worth keeping an eye on. If it grows fast with some capital backing, I might ditch Aave for Morpho.
$HYPE has already dropped to my predicted 55 range, and I’ve closed my position as per my trading plan. I reflected on this hype cycle from entry to exit, and everything was executed based on my analysis. Profits were expected, but the rapid drop following the US action was a surprise.
I’m a bit worried that tonight's CPI data might be cooked up in the US, and Trump might jump in to pump the market. The resistance zone is around 627-630.
Recently, the dollar index is down, US stocks are down, Bitcoin is down, and everything is tanking, so we need to stay alert for a potential crash. The 612 spaceX launch needs close monitoring for capital movement; likely, there’ll be a pump followed by a dump, especially with such a high market cap.
Looking at my holdings—Edu, APT, and Auction—they're all stuck. I’m not making any top-up moves for now; I’ll wait until it hits rock bottom before averaging down since I made a trading plan during my initial entry, so my unrealized losses aren’t too wild. Just following the plan.
I’m not feeling the hype around the World Cup boosting fan tokens; I’m not planning to build a position there, just watching for now. $BTC