Minus thirteen degrees, a preacher of spot investment in the cryptocurrency circle, updates high-quality original articles daily in the square. Thank you for following, every fan who follows Thirteen can receive Thirteen's new book 'Mastering Cryptocurrency'.

Previously led fans to lay out Bitcoin starting from 15000, 40 for SOL, 1700 for Ethereum, as well as BNB/TON/UNI/LINK/POL...
Encouraged everyone to continue holding Bitcoin and other valuable coins during the most confused and difficult times.
Does not recommend everyone to go all in on contracts, only suggests trying with 10% of the position.
Does not recommend investing in first-tier coins, does not recommend heavily investing in meme coins.

You may miss many surging markets, but as long as you follow Thirteen, you will survive, and now the profits have multiplied many times.
Thirteen's painful lessons bought with money remind oneself that there is an invisible hand manipulating the market behind the cryptocurrency circle, most people will lose money, and only a very few will make money.

Is it really hard to make money in the cryptocurrency circle?
Ethereum, it has risen. I previously recommended Ethereum multiple times in articles, and was criticized harshly, but now it has returned, hasn’t it?
Dogecoin, I had already advised everyone to lay out this coin earlier, once Trump is elected, Dogecoin will surely take off. What’s heartwarming is that a few friends in the group thanked me today; you should thank yourself, you put in the effort, and it’s time for you to make money.
SOL, this coin needs no more explanation, it is a key strategic coin for our community; if you don’t have it, find out why.
BNB, similarly, Thirteen feels embarrassed to say it.
TON, previously reminded everyone to enter around 4, and now the returns are good; if you are short-term, take profits at 5.5, long-term just hold until next year when we feast together.
LINK, UNI are also expected to explode soon.

Is it hard to make money in the cryptocurrency circle? Every day, watching whether the contracts we have are making more profit than in the past few days? There’s no need to worry.
This is the benefit of long-term investors and trend investors; I can earn money while lying down. But this requires a strong conviction about future trends. If Thirteen, like some friends, panicked during the downturn, leading everyone to fear and cutting losses at low points, then the current prosperity has nothing to do with us.

This is just small fry; the real bull market has not yet begun.

The overall trend of the market remains bullish.
After a slight rise in the market these past few days, the shouts of a bear market suddenly disappeared. After Bitcoin reached a high, some claimed that a bear market had arrived due to a normal correction.
Many others echoed this sentiment, and I truly don't understand how they deduced that a bear market was coming.
If there was no money in the market, or if Kamala Harris was elected, or if there were continuous incidents of institutional blow-ups, then it could indeed be a bear market.
Currently, many people's judgments about a bear market are based solely on speculation.
Everyone must remain rational and keep a long-term perspective, and not be swayed by some immediate noise; otherwise, you might miss this bullish cycle.
At present, the demand for Bitcoin exceeds the supply; data shows that the market demand for Bitcoin has reached 228,000, while the market supply is continuously decreasing, including sales from Grayscale, sales from Mentougou, stock from exchanges, etc.
In such an objective situation, Bitcoin will only increase in price. The more it rises, the more people will choose to buy Bitcoin, driving the price even higher, creating a rising cycle.
The current correction provides the market a chance to rest, and it is also a good opportunity for institutions and a wide range of retail investors to enter the market.
However, the chips are still largely concentrated among the main players, while retail investors either choose to sell or are hesitating to enter.
How many people are still waiting for Ethereum to drop below 3,000 or Bitcoin to fall to 80,000 or even lower? It's not that it definitely won't drop to that price, but the probability is just too low.
I remember during the most difficult period in May to June a few years ago, when I was trying to recharge everyone's faith, many people left messages saying they would wait for Bitcoin to drop to 30,000 before entering the market.
I wonder how those people are doing now, and if they have had even a tiny bit of regret?
It's the same now; although Bitcoin has risen significantly, the market's fair value has already increased to above 90,000, making it difficult to drop back down.

Merry Christmas!!!!
Let's welcome a raging bull market together in 2025.

Today is Christmas. Thirteen does not really celebrate Christmas, but here I also wish everyone a Merry Christmas.
In essence, thirteen people are rational patriots. On the Christmas of the Korean War, our martyrs defended us with their blood, so this holiday is not really celebrated by thirteen.
Of course, we absolutely do not oppose others celebrating it.
Everyone should eat a few more apples and wish themselves peace and prosperity in the coming year.
There’s not much to say today; the market is like this, with hardly any fluctuations, still within the fluctuation range we mentioned in our previous article.
From the trend, there is significant pressure at the price ranges of Ethereum 3550 and Bitcoin 99900.
The possibility of continued market fluctuations is relatively high.
In fact, there isn’t much operational space. For the next couple of days, until the market chooses a direction, everyone should try not to trade and take a good rest.
It is recommended to trade on the right side; waiting for the market to break through and stabilize at key points before entering is a better choice.
If the market drops back, then buying at a low level is also a good option.
Currently, the market is at the high end of the fluctuation range. Those with heavy positions can consider reducing their holdings and keeping some cash on hand. Thirteen is encouraging everyone to buy at low levels; now taking profits and keeping cash is a good choice.

At a glance, it's clear that you don't often enter the kitchen; this stuff is hard to wash off.

I went to the supermarket to buy vegetables today and saw a blue substance on the head of a shallot. I asked an old lady next to me what it was. She said "This is the blue sail", which is poisonous. Now you have to choose to starve to death or be poisoned. ".
I didn't dare to buy it immediately. I'd better go to Sam's in the future. Although they cheated my money, my compatriots cheated my life.
By the way, when will Fat Dong come to Guangdong?

Pure man, iron straight man, authentic without a doubt.

Many people wonder, don't you have to hold it all the time? Don't you have to watch the bull market for 25 years? Why do you have to stop profit?
In fact, the entire bull market is not just one wave of peaks, but is composed of 2~3 waves of peaks.
Because the main force will definitely not be full in the bull market, they need to come several times to pursue maximum benefits.
So it is possible that the first wave of peaks will appear in the first quarter, and then the first wave of deep correction will start, which will last for 1~2 months, followed by the second wave of peaks, which will last for 1~3 months, and then the third wave... finally enter the bear market.
We cannot hold my highs and lows accurately, but we can make a reasonable investment plan by controlling positions and referring to historical market conditions.
Technology can keep profits and maximize returns.
It is actually very easy to buy at the bottom, but it is very difficult to stop profit. Human nature is greedy. If Thirteen asked everyone to stop profit at Bitcoin 13, if Bitcoin later reached 140,000, there would definitely be a lot of black fans spraying.
Everyone wants to make more money, and those who prevent them from making money are enemies. However, 130,000 is actually a very good position to stop profit, because the highest peak of the first wave is 150,000, and the probability is 140,000, and then the first wave ends.
From the perspective of long-term investment, there is no problem with Thirteen's strategy.
Just like now, including the wave of decline that started in March, Thirteen has been the one who has been encouraging everyone to buy at the bottom.
There are also countless black spots in the process. Looking back now, is there a problem with buying at the bottom?
Bitcoin starting with 4 is likely to never be seen again in this bull market, or even forever.
If according to historical laws, the bottom of Bitcoin in the next bear market will be at least above 50,000.
Finally, now that the market has rebounded, many people are eager to open shorts. Always remember that in a bull market, don't short.
No one can predict when the market will explode.
However, Ethereum is now at 3,500, and Bitcoin has returned to 98,000, which is always a happy thing.

Finally, some people complained that the quality of one of Thirteen's articles was not very high. Please understand that there are a few days every month when Thirteen is physically and mentally exhausted. However, most of the time, the quality of Thirteen's articles is online and worth your attention.

Tonight, the market has started a wave of increase.
Everyone should not have too high expectations for the short-term market; at least from the data and technical perspective, it is still in a volatile range.
The possibility of a direct takeoff in the short term is low, especially during the Christmas period when Wall Street elites rarely get a holiday and certainly will not be working.
Thirteen believes that the market will still fluctuate between 92000 and 99000, with a time frame of 1 to 2 weeks.
There may be several instances of violent ups and downs interspersed, causing anxiety, leading people to lose chips, and only then will the market take off.
This period of fluctuation is also a time when the main force quietly enters to build positions, as their capital is relatively large, so the funds will come in slowly; otherwise, it would become a pump.
Therefore, in the face of a rising market, everyone should not be too euphoric and should treat it with a calm mindset.
Similarly, when the market corrects to the 92000 or lower 88000 range, do not panic; hold onto your quality chips.
Especially in the Thirteen circle, most of our Ethereum costs are below 2500; in the short term, Thirteen sees no reason for it to drop to this level.
In the first quarter of next year, we will decide whether to initiate our first take profit based on the market performance.

The market suddenly surged, rekindling the overall sentiment.
In fact, during an uptrend, one should not become overly euphoric, just as one should not panic during a downturn.
When investing in cryptocurrency, the first step is to understand what position we are currently in, whether it is a bull or bear market.
Having a comprehensive understanding of the macro environment means that, according to our investment style, it is impossible to lose money.
Take the current market situation as an example; I believe it is a bull market, and we haven't even reached halftime yet—the real climax has not arrived.
Therefore, all the fluctuations before this will not affect my mindset; they will only provide better opportunities for bottom fishing when the market declines.
However, as a blogger, I need to inform my followers about what to do and when—don't chase prices when the market is rising, don't panic when it falls, and decisively enter to buy at the bottom.
In the short term, our entry point may not be the lowest, but in the long term, we are all in an excellent position to enter.
In fact, I know many people have doubts about why we didn’t sell when Bitcoin reached 108,000 and then buy back at 92,000?
This way, we could have made more money.
This question has been lingering in the minds of many beginners; they think that since you are a blogger with investment experience, you should be able to accurately gauge market fluctuations.
In reality, no one in the entire cryptocurrency space can accurately predict market trends; one can only make judgments based on the larger trend.
Of course, there are certainly people who claim they can, but at least in my understanding, no one can do that.
The most important thing is, if you take profit at 108,000 and the market continues to soar, what if it rises to 110,000, 120,000...?
What will you do? Watching others make money is much more painful than losing money yourself, so you will definitely chase prices at a high point. For retail investors, by the time you decide to chase prices, you are essentially at the peak of this bull market.
This is an objective law and reality of the cryptocurrency space that will never change.

Generally speaking, when the market is declining, there will be many negative news in the market.
However, this round is different; the market seems somewhat divided.
From a technical analysis and data analysis perspective, the market is bearish.
Technically, the upward trend has been broken, and in terms of data, Bitcoin continues to flow into exchanges for sale, with ETFs also experiencing outflows for three consecutive days...
All of this suggests that the market may continue to decline.
However, from the news perspective, there is all positive news; apart from Old Powell's previous speech, it is almost impossible to find negative news in the market.
After serious research, I found that in the current market environment, it is quite difficult to find significant negative news.
This wave of decline is more likely a sell-the-news reaction following Trump's election as president.
After this huge positive news materialized, the market experienced a month-long rise, and good news turned into bad news.
Next, with Trump officially taking office, a new round of positive news will play out again.
At this stage, the market certainly needs retail investors to panic, rather than allowing them to remain as confident as I am; otherwise, the correction has not yet occurred.
The interests of major players and retail investors are opposed.
When retail investors are frantically buying at high prices, the main players often quietly sell; the opposite is also true.
If retail investors believe that the bull market is over, it may just mean the bull is grazing.
When the crazy bull market of 2025 arrives, and retail investors are frantically buying, the booming market might just be a momentary flash.
We must grasp the timing of taking profits, and I will remind everyone in the circle at that time, so please stay tuned.

The current greed and fear index is 70.
This should, in principle, not yet have reached the goals of the market makers for washing the plates.
After all, many retail investors are still resisting, but there is only one week left until 2025, and the market is about to show a direction.
No matter how much the market drops, it is all short-term behavior. I hope everyone holds onto their spot assets firmly and does not be overly fearful.
We are currently in a bull market cycle, just experiencing a pullback and correction after the rise.
The coins we hold are all valuable coins, and they are spot assets, so there is no need to worry at all.
If you have cash positions, you can enter the market after every significant drop, regardless of the price level or time.
Everyone knows that Shisan generally does not lead people to trade contracts.
Many people in this circle have become so-called experts by moving around, whether their accuracy is good or not is another matter, but this kind of atmosphere is not very good.
Contracts are high-risk investment behaviors after all; using strategies without one's own judgment logic carries very high risks.
In the past few months, Shisan has been using Ant Warehouse to experiment with some investment theories.
Every order must have sufficient reasons to support it, rather than speaking randomly about technical support, data support, market sentiment support, and so on.
The long and short ratios you see in the market often do not differ much.
Can you say that those who short have better technical skills than those who long? Of course not; this still requires luck.
When every bear market arrives, all retail investors in the market kneel down and swear to the sky that they will never touch contracts.
But when the bull market arrives and the market is good, they forget the pain of the past.
Trading contracts indeed has a crazy allure for anyone; after all, just look at others posting their trades, casually opening an order and earning hundreds of thousands of USDT, and it’s from your actual account.
Can you resist the temptation?
Of course not; at that moment, you wish that order was opened by you.
But according to Shisan's years of experience in the crypto world, if you waste all your energy on contracts during a bull market, you will basically miss the entire bull market.
Remember~

The market in the past couple of days has been quite difficult for everyone.
From the highest point until now, Bitcoin has dropped by 10,000 points, all because of a single statement from Powell?
Of course not, it's just that the big players took the opportunity to shake out the weak hands.
In previous articles, Shisan mentioned that the Christmas period doesn't necessarily lead to a decline; everyone can refer to the original text. Shisan's conclusion is based on data analysis, not just empty talk.
As it stands, the Christmas market has indeed fallen; decline is part of investing, and we must learn to endure it.
However, at this point in the market, there's no need for excessive worry.
If I were the big player, I would also choose this opportunity to wash out most of the weak hands, taking advantage of Christmas and Powell's speech.
In the short term, the support level is at 92,000. Shisan opened an ant position between 92,000 and 95,000 for experimentation. If the market continues to go down, the next support level will be between 87,000 and 88,000.
Currently, the market is falling sharply, looking like it might break below 93,000; however, Shisan believes that during this Christmas, the market is more likely to oscillate between 93,000 and 99,000.
There shouldn't be too much extreme volatility.
But the possibility of downward fluctuations is somewhat greater, for instance now, so Shisan has opened an ant position to validate some investment theories.
Christmas is akin to our Spring Festival; the elites on Wall Street will take the opportunity to enjoy life during the holiday, buying cars and houses and increasing consumption, just like before the New Year when we like to have some cash on hand to play cards at home.
So, the market might remain sluggish for a few more days; everyone just needs to hang in there.
At the same time, be prepared for the market to dip into the 88,000 range.

In trading, one method is the large volume trading method.
It means: at the bottom of a downtrend, there is a particularly large bearish candle, you can go long; at the top, you look for short opportunities.
In the boxed area of the chart, there are two instances of high volume, therefore based on the volume-price relationship, this position is bullish, especially since the subsequent consolidation is also so.
This position can be seen as a phase bottom, the probability of breaking below is low (hopefully I'm not wrong).
The blue arrow MACD is also in a consolidating posture, with golden crosses and dead crosses intertwined, making it difficult to distinguish.
This indicates that the support at this position is relatively strong, and if a significant decline is to occur, it must be accompanied by a new major negative catalyst.
Everyone can also see that some big players have been continuously buying recently, so we actually do not need to panic too much.
A drop only gives us a better entry position.

Tonight's PCE came out. Both PCE and core PCE were lower than expected. Therefore, inflation was very well controlled, which effectively countered Bao's speech yesterday.

Now the market has begun to rebound. This wave of Ethereum may touch the pressure level of 3500. If you buy short-term chips at the bottom below 3300, you can sell some of them at this position and keep enough cash in your hands. The same is true for other coins.
Fortunately, the data tonight is positive. If it is higher than expected, it means that the US economy is still strong, and the Federal Reserve has a reason to maintain high interest rates. Tonight's airdrop will be launched again.
However, US stocks opened lower today, especially crypto concept stocks.
This shows that the current air force is still strong. At this time, if it rebounds to the range mentioned above, the safest way is to sell some, keep some cash in your hands, and reduce the risk of positions.
It is true that the current 3200 Ethereum is very annoying, but think about 6000 or even 8000 in 2 months, 10,000 Ethereum, will you still be upset?

In this round of decline, it's not just you and me; even Trump is buying at the mid-hill.
Trump's crypto project WLFI has been gradually bottoming out Ethereum, and the losses have now reached 6.15 million dollars.
If Trump is losing money, why can't you? So keep a calm mindset and look at the long term.
His average price is 3600 dollars.
Most of our friends in Circle 13 have an average price below 3000, so what are you afraid of?
Everyone can guess whether Trump is losing or making money in this round of market.
In January, Trump will take office as president, and more favorable news will be released, making it inevitable for the market to return to new highs.
The market is currently correcting, indeed influenced by old Powell's remarks. The Federal Reserve's stance has left the market greatly disappointed, but this bad news is not enough to support such a significant decline.
It almost felt like a direct hit, and no one could avoid it.
Now it seems more like the main force taking advantage of the situation to force a wash.
We all know that Trump is about to take office, and good news is bound to come. The main force should also step in to wash out those hesitant retail investors at this time.
Circle 13 believes this reason accounts for a very large proportion.

This wave of correction has caused the market to panic.
In fact, anyone will panic when facing a market crash, including Thirteen. However, in addition to panic, Thirteen is more worried about how to buy at the bottom.
Most people in the market are very panicked and are waiting for the lowest point to appear.
Usually for retail investors, when the market plummets, they almost dare not enter the market to buy at the bottom.
Because of fear, they always want to wait until the lowest point.
You dare not buy at the bottom of Ethereum at 3100, and you dare not buy at 2800 Ethereum either.
Therefore, when you encounter a market correction in the bull market, don’t deliberately pursue buying at the bottom, because this is impossible.
When you encounter a big drop like today, you buy, provided that your position is well controlled and you have enough bullets in your hand. If you are already fully invested, watching the market at this time will only add troubles.
It is better to delete the app and have a good rest, and come back in January.
Of course, how to buy at the bottom, what point, and how much to buy at the bottom, Thirteen has given detailed instructions in the circle for your reference.