Shisan has been doing self-media for a long time.
During this period, I have received a lot of support from fans, and I have also encountered a lot of black fans.
This is normal, but please don't curse or make personal attacks. If you think Shisan's level is not enough, you can follow other bloggers.
Shisan has also been in the process of learning.
Some people hope that bloggers can directly give you points, orders, and then make money by lying down.
And people like Shisan, who talk about investment experience every day, are not popular.
After all, according to Shisan's investment methodology, it takes a long period of time to get returns.
This is contrary to the ideals of many friends who want to get rich immediately after entering the circle, which is actually understandable.
But don't curse, just unfollow if you don't like it.
But there is a cruel reality in the currency circle. Since this year, almost all those who bring orders have exploded.
Some circles have directly disbanded or run away. ​
You can experience the cruelty yourself.

There is another story about the truth behind the arrest of the founder of tg.

In fact, since Durov sold vk to Russia and founded telegram with his brother, they cannot go to China, the United States, Europe and other countries.

Because these countries are too powerful and have high requirements for supervision, the most important thing is that there is often a political game behind them.

The appearance of a monster like tg in this world is a challenge to powerful sovereign countries.

Durov actually has a whole legal team to serve him. Generally speaking, he would not go to France.

But he went this time.
So some people speculate that he may follow Zhao Changpeng and exchange short-term freedom for longer-term freedom.
Although it seems crazy, he cannot go to the main places in the world. It is a bit too cruel for such a person who pursues freedom.
If this matter can be properly resolved, it will be a qualitative leap for the ton ecosystem.
How many projects in this circle spare no effort to promote it.
And ton just looked at the 900 million users behind it and smiled without saying a word.
This is the confidence and strength.
Thirteen is very optimistic about the potential of the ton ecosystem, even on par with sol.

The arrest this time is both a risk and an opportunity. If you are optimistic about ton, you can buy at the bottom. If you think it is a risk, then don't touch it for the time being.

To make a long story short, I suspected that I had heat stroke today, mainly because I went to play football. In such hot weather, I ignored my age.

I am no longer a young man in his teens or twenties.

I just took medicine and came back to say a few words to everyone.
Today, the market has returned to the previous volatile market, and Bitcoin has also pulled back to the beginning of 62,000 as expected.

Yesterday we said internally that short-term positions at this position can be bottomed out.
If it falls below 61,000, stop loss, because the downward space below this position is opened, and it may return to around 58,000.

Many friends are now tortured by this volatile market. They think that the market is useless, the currency circle is finished, and Bitcoin is going to return to zero.

It is very easy for people to breed various negative emotions under long-term depression. This is normal, but because of this, everyone is a leek.

The dealer empties our wallets by playing with human nature.
Everyone must understand this.

From a normal perspective, the current range of market fluctuations is above 62,000, so Thirteen will let everyone buy the bottom at this position.

Of course, if the market does not go this way, don't criticize me. After all, Thirteen is not an omniscient god, and future events are unpredictable.
Everyone should do a good job of risk control during the operation.

Many friends tend to lose patience when facing volatile market conditions, thinking that the market has lost its vitality.

Today I saw an internal friend take a screenshot of the trend chart of sol. It is only a fluctuation of 3 US dollars. For a target price of 160 US dollars, it is a horizontal fluctuation.
I think this is a very long needle.

If you insist on stretching the candle on the K-line chart, Thirteen can even be directly pulled from the South Gate of Heaven to the Eighteenth Hell.
So, don't be confused by the short-term market trend, which is simply unpredictable and disorderly.
Since the Federal Reserve released positive news, market confidence is slowly being restored.

Although there is a correction today, the trend of confidence recovery is still very healthy.
In addition, August is about to end, and this month will close down, so there is a high probability that it will go up in September.
As the market warms up, more whites are about to enter the market. Obviously, the crash is a better time to enter the market, but human nature is like this. It must rise and see others make money before entering the market.

If the market pulls back in the next few days, everyone must remember to follow Thirteen's advice to buy while the market is falling and embrace mainstream coins.

For those with strong risk tolerance, some potential altcoins have reached their lowest point in a year, which is also good.

Now may be the last chance of this bull market.
Of course, adults have to be responsible for their own choices when investing, and Thirteen's advice is for reference only.

With the arrest of Durov, the price of ton once plummeted by 20%, and the related project not plummeted by 70%.
After this plunge, Shisan added some positions.
My operation method is to buy while the price is falling.
This has also been questioned by some friends. His original intention is that ton has such a high market value, can it still be bought at the bottom? It’s not too late to buy at the bottom after the bubble bursts...
Shisan really doesn’t understand this logic. How do you judge that a high-quality project is now in a bubble?
Especially after a 20% plunge, if you look at the market value to choose an investment project, Bitcoin has always been the top of the list. Is the bubble bigger, and is it even more impossible to invest?
To judge whether you can invest, it mainly depends on the future imagination space of the project and the current bull-bear cycle.

Ton is the ecological currency of tg. There are more than 900 million real users behind tg, comparable to a certain letter.

If we put aside our population base, in fact, the real users of tg have completely surpassed a certain letter.

For such a project, we can take some risks appropriately when investing.

There are indeed some crises at present, but even if Durov himself encounters a big problem, or even in the worst case, he is imprisoned, it will not affect the normal operation of tg at all.
So we don’t need to worry too much. If you don’t think ton is good, just don’t invest.
4,

Durov is a very handsome man, and Thirteen, as a man, thinks so.
After this arrest, countless handsome photos circulated on the Internet, and a campaign to release Durov was launched.
Almost all celebrities in the cryptocurrency circle are supporting and putting pressure on the French government, including Russia, which has strongly demanded that France release Durov.
What impact does it have on us retail investors?

In fact, it is closely related to our vital interests. As a person in the cryptocurrency circle, tg is a must-have. After all, apart from it, no channel can guarantee our privacy.

Once tg succumbs, the last utopia of human freedom will disappear. Is this a progress or regression in history? No one knows.
But we know that everyone's every move and every word is now monitored and obedient.

If you stand in the perspective of God, you will definitely be surprised by the current situation.
Different stages of human development require different regulatory systems, which is conducive to the continuation of human civilization.
Strong supervision has indeed improved social efficiency.

For thousands of years, we have been doing this, and we are actually used to it.

But as human civilization continues to develop, there are always a few ants who accidentally look up at the sky and have some desire to break free from the shackles of the sky and find the true freedom that belongs to humans.

However, France is also facing huge pressure now. After all, some of the things behind can be seen by discerning people.
There is a high possibility of reconciliation, but in what way? We will wait and see.

How to balance personal privacy and government regulation?
So far, the two sides have not found a suitable way to resolve this contradiction.
If you want your own privacy, the government cannot regulate you. If the government regulates you, you have no so-called privacy rights.
In the cryptocurrency circle, there is a great god who has always regarded the absolute protection of freedom and privacy as his personal mission.
Even though he has assets of 15 billion US dollars, he does not have luxury cars, yachts, mansions...
According to him, these are all external things, and he does not want to spend too much energy on these aspects. He wants to fight for freedom within his ability.
This person is Durov.
The founder of telegram.
But unfortunately, he was arrested in France this time, and the charges involved are very serious.
Durov himself certainly could not be involved, but the telegram software involves a lot of illegal activities, and Durov himself did not fulfill his regulatory obligations.
The most important thing is that all the data on tg has never been made public, and some people especially want to get it, but who is Durov?
Those who dared to give the middle finger when the VK social platform he founded faced the Russian state acquisition will definitely ignore these people.

So this time, these trumped-up charges are indirectly exerting pressure.
It can only be said that there is a political shadow behind this, and it is a direct confrontation between supervision and personal privacy.

I have nothing to do, so let Thirteen jump once and let the master predict the market.

This prediction is pure guessing, without any basis. Just treat it as a joke and don't follow the operation.

There are still 7 days before the start of September.

At the beginning of the month, Thirteen predicted the market in August in the article, that is, the market is likely to be below 66,500.
The reference is based on historical data statistics, and the probability of a decline in August is high.

So will the market in the remaining few days break through 66,500 directly like last night? It has been falling for a whole month, and it will reverse in the last few days?

The possibility is not high.

This wave of rise should have absorbed all the positive news released by the current market to the maximum extent. The next trend will either fluctuate around 64,000 or return to the range of around 60,000.

If it continues to fluctuate at the end of the month, friends who do not have enough positions at this time can start the purchase plan. After all, interest rates will be cut in September, and the probability of an increase is high.

If it returns to 60,000, it is even more necessary to buy at the bottom.
If an extreme situation occurs, and the price drops to 5 or even 4, then there is nothing to say, just as I said in yesterday's article, directly increase the position by 90%.

Investing in Bitcoin is not a lie at all.
The probability of Bitcoin reaching 80,000+ this year is very high. In fact, as long as the market starts to rise, it will only take a moment to reach this position.
For example, last night, the market fluctuated for almost half a month, and it reached 64,000 in a moment.

As a cryptocurrency investor, the reason why we are here is for this short-term surge. This is why Thirteen asked everyone to hold their long-term positions and value coins firmly.

The market in the currency circle is so magical.
Last night, after Lao Bao released the positive news, the market instantly stood at 62,000, but immediately adjusted back to 60,000+.
When the whole market believed that this positive news was enough to move the market, and the negative news would continue, the market suddenly stood at 64,000+.
This is the magical currency circle. Last night, many friends who did contracts opened shorts at 61,000+. After all, according to the recent nature of Bitcoin, it will indeed go this way, and stop profit at 58,000+, which is very easy to make money.
During this period, many people operated in this way, but the market was not as people wished. It suddenly stood at 64,000. It fluctuated around this position all day today, as if it was going to stand firm.
Whether it can stand firm or not, and whether the market will go down or up in the future, we can only watch it while walking. The market is out, not any kol here.
As investors, what we can do is to make preparations for both hands, divide the positions into long-term positions and short-term positions, and make meat when it goes up, and buy at the bottom when it goes down.

Only in this way can one be considered a qualified investor.
At this point, everyone should try to avoid contact with contracts, local dogs and other garbage. If you do encounter them, you will gain a lot, but just one failure can make you poor again.

The current market trend has not come out, we try to focus on spot trading. When the trend comes out, Thirteen will give everyone internal strategies to help everyone maximize their profits.

Thirteen has seen many people obsessed with technical analysis and make crazy operations based on it.
I have suffered a lot of losses over this period of time, but I still can't get out of it. I think my judgment is correct and the market is wrong.
In fact, the market has never been wrong. It's you who are wrong. You treat the currency circle as a casino, especially when the money-making effect is almost zero. Who do you owe money to?
Some people only do Bitcoin and Ethereum. These people are actually understandable. After all, the possibility of being controlled by large-cap projects is very low.
Therefore, according to their operations, the winning rate can exceed 50%.
But Thirteen saw that many people actually operated according to the technical trend of meme coins, and Thirteen was very confused.
I understand everyone's eagerness to make money in the currency circle, but don't do it this way.
For Tugou coins, these are garbage in the currency circle. If someone pulls the market, it will rise wildly, and when the dealer harvests, it will fall into the eighteenth level of hell.
How to invest in the currency circle? Thirteen has used the experience of buying with real money for so many years to tell you that in the current market, you should operate less, slowly build positions, and wait for opportunities.

Just like a hunter, most of the time he is lurking, just for that brief chance to hit the target.

Especially for meme coins.

For example, after a big drop, you can buy some of the popular projects when no one is interested, and then sell them quickly after a surge.

Don't expect to make money with this kind of garbage.

As Lao Luo said, since you are being kept, don't talk about independent personality.

Shisan thinks that meme coins are maintained beaches.

$BTC $ETH

Today I accidentally put words from other platforms on the square again. Although I changed it immediately, the system judged it too quickly, so this account may face another month of imprisonment.
I will keep updating on my small account: Minus Thirteen Degrees Small Account
Welcome everyone to follow, it is really difficult.

Finally, let me tell you the good news, CZ is out.
Although the final release event was at the end of September, CZ has now been released on bail and returned to one of his homes.
Although he was supervised and even confined during this period, it is good news that he is out.
We all know what CZ means to Binance and the cryptocurrency circle.
You must hold BNB firmly in your hand, not only can it be used as a golden shovel, but it can also earn steady profits.
In short, the cryptocurrency circle is about to usher in the starting point of this round of bull market. We must be prepared for it at any time. Once we miss it, we have to wait for another four years.

​Four years, it’s too hard.

Come on, people in the cryptocurrency circle,
Welcome to follow: Minus Thirteen Degrees
Let’s go through the bull and bear markets together and see through the cryptocurrency world.

Recently, combating virtual currency crimes has become the focus of the above work.

I hope that Thirteen's fans must pay attention to safety, never do anything illegal, and invest honestly.
Especially for withdrawals, these are high-risk behaviors during this period. If you want to withdraw money, it is best to go through the platform and find merchants you have traded with before.
But you must go through the platform, and never trade privately.
There must be no abnormality in the amount, such as a sudden large amount of money coming in.

It is better to choose a local small bank for withdrawal bank cards, and don't use the four major banks, especially the bank cards that you frequently use in all aspects of your life. Don't use them to withdraw money.

If you can, wait at the door of the bank, and withdraw no more than 70,000 each time, and then change all into cash.
You can withdraw 50,000 at the counter and 20,000 at the ATM.
Even if the card is frozen, don't worry about your funds. The premise of all this is that you must be clean.

If the card has been frozen, don't try to conceal it, you must tell the truth, what should be done, we are all open, otherwise the facts investigated later will not match your statement, and your ex will definitely not come back.
When withdrawing funds, it is recommended to use a bank card instead of WeChat or Alipay, because these two are tools we use frequently, and it will be very troublesome if they are frozen.

After freezing, you can consult a lawyer, but try not to hire a lawyer, because it is too expensive, 1/3 of the money will be used to pay lawyer fees, which is not worth it.

Finally, the most important point is that you must not give your bank card to others for account transfer, no one can do it, even your best friend.

Once this happens, you are likely to be finished.

Risks are everywhere in the cryptocurrency circle, I hope everyone must protect themselves well.

Someone said today that if I only invest in Bitcoin, I will do it too.

Do you really do it?
If you do it, then you will never lose money in the currency circle.
Not only will you not be able to hold on, you will also think that you are very intelligent and can keep making waves to amplify your profits.

In this round of market, almost all the altcoins have been cut in half, while the decline of Bitcoin is only about 20%. In addition to our bottom-fishing operations, we are almost losing money now.
This is for Bitcoin, and for altcoins, no matter who it is, even the gods in the sky have been cut in half.
The most challenging thing about investment is the mentality. The value of Thirteen is to give you confidence, teach you the correct investment mentality, encourage you to bottom-fish at the bottom-fishing position, and remind you to stop profit at the stop-profit position.

In this way, you will definitely make money in this bull market.
Everyone knows that in the bull market, if you can make money, you will beat more than 80% of people.
Making money in the currency circle seems simple, but with human nature, greed and fear are infinitely magnified, and it is almost impossible to make money.
In particular, some leeks like to invest in altcoins and even local dogs, but ignore several top value currencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

In fact, after all the calculations, there are only a few truly valuable projects in this circle.
If you put your money in a pile of garbage, your money may become garbage at any time. Thirteen has been in the currency circle for many years, and I know how people who make money in this circle make money.
There was once an advertising god who designed an advertising slogan for a company and signed a contract for decades, which has never changed for decades. The boss of the company asked the god, you make this money too easily, you only work in the first year, and you are free for the rest of the decades...
The god said that the work in these decades is heavier because you have to hold your hand to prevent you from changing the advertisement.
The same goes for Thirteen.

Powell's speech came out, and it was generally dovish.
The market also reacted quickly, and Bitcoin stood at 62,000 in a short period of time, but now it has fallen again.
One speech, the market moved like this, enough.
Want the market to take off? It is estimated to be a bit difficult, and it will still enter a repeated shock cycle next.
Now many people regret not entering the market when Bitcoin fell to the beginning of 4, because they listened to the slander of the leeks, so let's take it as a lesson.

Those friends who once told me to wait for 37,000 Bitcoin, I hope you give up this unrealistic idea. At this position, BlackRock can eat up all the chips in the market.

Is there a possibility that Bitcoin will plummet in the future?

According to the current urine, the possibility is still quite large. If Bitcoin can reach around 55,000, enter the market boldly. If it really reaches the beginning of 4, Thirteen believes that it will directly increase to 90% of the position.
Bitcoin is different from altcoins. Some altcoins have no lower limit. As long as we hold Bitcoin no matter how the market fluctuates, we will not lose money.
Previously, Thirteen said internally that Bitcoin would be bought at around 58,000 and stopped at around 62,000. Today, someone asked whether it should be executed. There is no doubt that it must be executed.
In the future, for such orders, you should directly set the stop-profit and stop-loss positions, so as not to miss the points because of lack of attention.

Of course, this part is only for short-term positions, and long-term positions will continue to be held.

#杰克逊霍尔年会 Pay close attention to Bao’s speech at 10 o’clock tonight, mainly focusing on his views on inflation and the current economy. I hope it will be good for the cryptocurrency circle and the index will be reduced by 50 points in September.