B圈反诈队长-李蔚然Darren

The recent increase in the stock price of X stocks in these few days, can small retail investors withstand such a large slippage and transaction fees on their principal? It is recommended to wait for Binance or OK to go online before large funds participate.

Fo Eastern social fi

Farcaster. Western social fi

Which one is better?
Fo's ecosystem and technology are still too poor, Farcaster has many users but the actual consumption is very bad.
Fo's short video feature indeed follows the trend and extends user engagement time...
Fo doesn't have much money, Farcaster has plenty of money

Who do you think will survive longer between these two projects?

🔥 Crypto Market 24-Hour Update (July 1)
【Core Trends】All-round Plunge

BTC: Dropped below 106,000 → Currently at 105,500 USD

ETH: Daily drop of 100 USD → Lost the 2,400 mark

Altcoins: Generally down 5-10% (SOL fell from a high of 160 to 15 USD)

Capital Flow: Significant net outflow from BTC/ETH/SOL

💎 Key Events

Policy Dynamics

U.S. Senate passes the "Great Beauty Act", House of Representatives to vote on Wednesday (Thursday Beijing time)

If passed, it may stimulate a market rebound

Traditional Market Transmission

Tesla down 5% (Musk in a public opinion war with Trump)

S&P/Nasdaq down in tandem

Cryptocurrency Stocks Diverging

CIRCLE rises against the trend by 6% to return to 190 USD

SHARP LINK increases ETH holdings to 198,000 coins (still at a loss)

⚠️ Risk Warning

On-chain U.S. stock platform Stack Storm reported suspected exit scam (daily trading volume < 1.5 million USD)

Altcoin Trap: New coins like SAHARA "drop immediately upon listing", old coin HOOK down over 90% from peak

📌 Operational Perspective

Short-term Strategy

This week may be a retreat window (U.S. stocks double top pattern + low probability of interest rate cuts in July-August)

Focus on rebound exit opportunities after the bill vote

DEFI Opportunities

Infrastructure maturity far exceeds the 2021 cycle

Leading projects UNI/AAVE/MAKER have sustained profitability

Airdrop Benefits
BetaGate airdrops 5 million USD to Greater China users (holding > 100 USD on 6/29 + quarterly trading volume > 10,000 USD eligible)

🔍 On-chain Overview

BNB/SOL chains lack phenomenal projects

On-chain U.S. stock trading liquidity is exhausted (daily trading volume << second and third-tier tokens)

Historical Reflection: Similar businesses in 2021 failed due to high Gas fees/regulatory issues

👉 Interaction: Are you planning to participate in the Great Beauty Act market?
Like + Follow, leave a message to share trading strategies!

(Note: This article is a personal opinion share and does not constitute any investment advice. The risks of cryptocurrency investment are extremely high, and you may lose all principal.)

🔥 Emergency Alert! Lowercase pump = True, Uppercase PUMP = Scam!!

---

**Core Scam Technique**

✅ **True·pumpfun Token**

▸ Official Platform: `pump.fun`

▸ **True Address Feature**: Contract address ends with **`...pump`** (all lowercase!)

❌ **Scam Gang's Trap**

▸ Counterfeit Token: Name/LOGO imitates popular coins

▸ **Deadly Flaw**: Address ends with **`...PUMP`** (uppercase letters!)

⚠️ Once purchased, the token cannot be sold, and the principal instantly goes to zero!

---

**Scam Process Revealed**

① Counterfeit high-quality token → ② Address deliberately ends with **`PUMP`** → ③ Social media hype “New Token Launch” → ④ Users mistakenly think it’s the pumpfun project and buy → ⑤ After purchase, the contract locks and cannot be sold

---

**Key Anti-Scam Actions**

🔍 **Must do 3 steps before each transaction**:

1️⃣ **Convert the copied address to lowercase**: Paste it into a text editor, force it to all lowercase and verify!

2️⃣ **Manually verify the ending**: Confirm if it ends with **`...pump`** (not PUMP/PumP or other variants)

3️⃣ **Use Solscan for secondary review**: Check if the contract is marked as risky (99% of fake PUMP have red warning signs!)

💡 **Captain's Reminder**:

> “Scammers rely on your ‘speed’ and ‘eye mistakes’! Remember: lowercase pump = True, uppercase PUMP = Scam!”
>

---

**Image 4: Case Comparison**

◾ **Left Side True Token**:

`5ZGx...V7pump` (lowercase ending, Solscan shows safe)

◾ **Right Side Fake Token**:

`9aHk...R3PUMP` (uppercase ending, Solscan warns of “suspicious contract”)

⛔ **Bitter Lesson**: A user mistakenly bought “fake PUMP” tokens, $2000 locked within 3 seconds!

---

🚫 **If you don’t check the address, you’re giving away your principal!**

✅ **Forward to help newbies, anti-fraud relies on you and me!**

#SolanaSecurity #Web3AntiFraud #PUMPScam #AntiCutGuide

📊 Crypto Market 24-Hour Update (June 30)
Core Trend: Rise then Fall
BTC: After peaking at $109,000 during the day, it fell back to $107,000 (unchanged from the previous day)
ETH: Multiple attempts to break through $2,520 but couldn’t hold, currently reported below $2,500, ETH/BTC exchange rate rose to 0.023
Altcoins: After a broad 10% increase in the morning, there was a pullback in the early hours, with significant volatility (e.g., MAKER fluctuated over $100)
🔥 Hot Topics
SOL leads the market with expectations for spot/staking ETF approval heating up (confirmation as early as Wednesday), price surged to $160
If SOL ETF is approved, ETH staking ETF may follow closely
Robinhood milestone stock reached an all-time high (+3% after hours)
Launched on-chain US stock custody services (OpenAI/X and other unlisted company stocks)
Europe opens for subscription, but liquidity is still insufficient (mainland users currently unavailable)
Notable movement in USELESS: Market cap surpassed $230 million, continuing to strengthen
SAHARA: Severe fluctuations ($0.1→$0.084), topping the decline list
Cryptocurrency stocks: • CIRCLE flat at $180 (dropped after hours) • NANO fell below pre-issuance price, SRM weak
⚠️ Risk Warning
Project Disputes: The RESPECT team’s theft incident continues to escalate (blacklisting users + community disputes), very low likelihood of compensation
Contract Risk: New coins like SAHARA exhibit a typical "falling right after launch" pattern, be cautious with contracts
🌐 On-Chain Dynamics
BNB/SOL chains saw minor fast transactions, activity decreased compared to the weekend
Initial signs of US stock on-chain trend (platforms like CRACK/BABY support trading of Amazon/Google stocks)
📈 Future Outlook
Ethereum's net capital inflow is stronger than BTC, may become a barometer for altcoins
Historical cycles suggest: The second half of 2025 could be a key window for a bull market peak
Captain's Reminder: The market is highly volatile, positions must adhere strictly to risk control, this article does not constitute investment advice

🌤️ 【Weekend Crypto Dispatch】Bitcoin's independent surge hides a crisis, Layer2 rebound suspected to be a trap
📊 Key Data Comparison
Indicator Bitcoin Ethereum Weekly Growth +10% ($98k→$108k) +0.1% (almost zero) Capital Flow Net Inflow $57M Net Outflow Ecosystem Performance Dominant Rebound L2 Projects Abnormal Surge
⚠️ Three Major High-Risk Signals
🔴 Layer2 Enticement Trap
$ARB daily +25% but no substantial support on-chain: ✅ Gas fees not rising accordingly ✅ Active addresses not breaking the 50,000 threshold → Typical tactics of manipulators
🔴 Solana Ecosystem Bubble
$MORI Fast Pass $120 million market cap → Lifecycle < 48 hours
$USELESS market cap $200 million: ⚠️ Over 80% trading volume from wash trading bots ⚠️ Project team's wallet continuously reducing holdings
🔴 DeFi Rights Protection Storm
RiskFive project team exposed: ✅ Annual theft rate 100% (over $10 million for 3 consecutive years) ✅ Misappropriation of user vault funds to compensate hackers ✅ Publicly derogatory remarks against China (Curve has urgently cut ties)
💥 Asset Warning for Sharp Decline
Category Representative Asset Risk Points Stock Crypto Stocks $COIN High-level Pullback -40% Nano Labs ($NA) "BNB Micro Strategy" hype taking advantage of retail investors New Tokens on Exchange $NEWT Halved immediately upon launch *-40%* Meme Coin $PENGU Clear signs of being a manipulated stock
🔍 Anti-Fraud Captain Breakdown
Bitcoin's False Boom: $57M net inflow vs 10% growth → Liquidity trap (small funds controlling the market)
Beware of $110k strong resistance level spikes
Layer2 Recovery Lies: $ARB/$OP still down **-80%** from historical highs
Surge without DEX large transaction support
Lessons from Rights Protection Incidents:
"Any team with a 'history of annual theft' + high APY promotion = Ponzi scheme" immediately investigate the historical performance of holdings (Arkham traceable)
📉 High-Risk Sector List
Ethereum L2 Track: Low-volume rebound targets ($ARB/$OP)
Solana Fast Pass Pool: New projects with market cap > $50 million
BNB New Tokens: Still declining 24 hours after launch
🛡️ Defensive Strategy
Position Adjustment: Bitcoin proportion > 70%, ETH < 15%, Altcoins near zero holdings < 5%
Stop-Loss Discipline: L2 project rebounds **+20%** then take partial profits
Information Verification: Check the project's real TVL using DeFiLlama (to prevent wash trading)
⚡️ This Week's Warning: RiskFive rights protection escalation may trigger a DeFi trust crisis

🔥 $SAHARA Token? Beware, the team holds 40% "nuclear bomb"! Unlocking in 2 years, huge dumping risk!
2. 🤖 Want to earn SAH by contributing data/computing power? First, ask: Is your data really valuable? The project decides! You might be working for nothing! (Rewards are opaque)
3. 💰 What supports the price of SAHARS? It all depends on people renting its AI services! But can it compete with OpenAI? Demand is questionable!
4. 📉 In the short term, it might get hyped up (hot topic + low circulation), but can the ecosystem develop in the mid-term? Gradual decline is inevitable! Long-term team unlock? On the edge of a cliff!
5. 🚨 High yield staking? Beware! Without real income, issuing more tokens is just hot air, diluting your value!
6. 🛡️ #DYOR! Don't be fooled by AI + Web3 concepts! Focus on: team unlocking terms & real product demand!
7. 💎 Conclusion: High-risk speculation! Only gamble a little for fun (money you can afford to lose), never go All-in! $SAHARA

Brothers, he is anxious, he is anxious, the key now is that the foundation is not decided by him alone啊🤫

🌤️ 【June 26 Crypto Dispatch】Geopolitical disturbances dull, capital flows surge
📊 Core Data
Indicator Value Implicit Signal Bitcoin Price $106,000 Sideways War Sensitivity Drops to Freezing Point Ethereum Price $2,450 Fluctuating Exchange Rate Continues Under Pressure (0.021) Spot ETF Net Inflow BTC +$350M/ETH +$100M Institutions Buying the Dips
⚠️ Risk Focus
1️⃣ US Stocks Crypto Stocks Retreat
Coinbase($COIN): High Point Reversal -28% ($310→$222)
"BNB Version of MicroStrategy" Trap:
Nano Labs($NA) Announced Strategy After Stock Price $32→$14 (Halved in a Day)
Essence of the Model: Use Concept to Liquidate and Harvest Retail Investors
2️⃣ Exchange New Coin Harvest
Binance Launches $NEWT:
Classic "Launch and Plunge" Pattern (Drop of -40%+)
Anti-Fraud Tip: New Coins on Platforms Have Become Withdrawal Machines for Quant Teams
3️⃣ Institutional Operation Warning
BlackRock ETH Operation:
First Sell 10,000 ETH → Then Buy 11,250 ETH
Net Increase Only 1,250 ETH (Performative Market Support)
MicroStrategy Imitator $SHARP:
Average Price $2,513 Increased Position by 12,000 ETH → Deeply Trapped
🔄 Sector Divergence
Category Performance Representative Asset AI Concept Oversold Rebound +8% No Leading Indicator Yet DeFi Lacks Follow-Up UNI +2% On-Chain Meme Fast Pass Frequently Occurs Solana AM $10 Million (Instant Drop 40%)
🛑 Anti-Fraud Captain Observations
Illusion of ETF Inflows:
Bitcoin 24H Net Outflow $40 Million (Diverging from Price) → Beware of Pumping Traps
BNB Ecosystem Crisis:
Balpha Earnings Fall Below $60/Day → Ordinary Users Suffer from Studio Exploitation
New Project Sahara Launching Soon → May Reproduce $NEWT Harvesting Tactics
Geopolitical Black Swan:
Iran's Counterattack Probability Still Exists → Contract Leverage Needs to Drop Below 5x
📈 Opportunity Tips
Oversold Recovery Assets (Strict Position Control):
$BANANA: Independent Upward Trend (AI Sector Sentiment Vehicle)
Ethereum Spot ETF Continuous Inflows → If Breaks $2,500 May Trigger a Catch-Up Rally

🌤️ 【June 25 Market Express】Geopolitical impact weakens, BTC stabilizes at $106,000
📊 Core Market
| Asset | 24H Performance | Key Dynamics |
|------------|------------------|--------------------------|
| Bitcoin | $106,000 Fluctuation | War sensitivity significantly reduced |
| Ethereum | $2,450 Sideways | Exchange rate remains under pressure (0.021) |
| Altcoins | Divergent rebound | AI sector +8% leads the way |
💰 Fund Flow
- Spot ETF continues to attract funds:
- Bitcoin ETF net inflow +$350M on Monday
- Ethereum ETF rare net inflow +$100M (bottom-fishing signal)
- Institutions increase holdings:
- BlackRock net buys 12 BTC + 1,125 ETH (magnitude weakens)
- MicroStrategy imitator $SHARP increases holdings by 12,000 ETH (average price $2,513)
⚠️ Risk Warning
🔴 US crypto stocks retreat
- Coinbase ($COIN) high-level pullback -15% (currently $222)
- Sun Yuchen related stock $SRM -12% (concept hype cools off)
- Nano Labs ($NA) retail investor losses documented:
→ Announced "BNB version MicroStrategy" stock price surged to $32
→ Closed plummeting to $14.85 (high buyers halved in a day)
🔴 New coin traps on exchanges
- Binance launches $NEWT: plummets immediately (classic retail investor trap)
- New issue rules worsen: retail token lock-up, project parties prioritize sales
📉 Sector Insights
1. AI concept rebound:
- Some targets up +8% in a single day (oversold recovery)
- Sustainability in doubt (no substantive product support)
2. DeFi continues to languish:
- $UNI/$AAVE linked to the market, no independent market
3. Meme coins retreat:
- $PEPE trading volume sharply reduced -70%
🔮 Today's Observations
1. Geopolitical aftershocks: If Iran retaliates substantively, it may trigger another flash crash
2. Federal Reserve direction: July rate cut probability rises to 18.6% (pay attention to speeches)
3. Binance new project: SAHAR launch performance (testing market sentiment)
> ⚠️ Fraud prevention captain reminder:
> - Beware of "war easing surge" rhetoric (long positions still at high liquidation levels)
> - Do not chase new coins on exchanges (the $NEWT model will become the norm)
> - Verify "BNB MicroStrategy" type messages (Nano Labs retail investor trap case is precedent)

🌪️ 【June 24 Crypto Express】Ceasefire Declaration Ignites Rebound! Bitcoin Rises 5% in One Day
🔥 Core Market
Asset 24H Performance Key Points Bitcoin $101k→$106k (+5%) Recovers All Weekly Losses Ethereum $2.1k→$2.4k (+14%) Exchange Rate Still Under Pressure -4% Altcoins Generally Rebound 10%-20% PEPE +15% Leads the Way
⚡️ Event-Driven
1️⃣ Ceasefire Controversy:
Trump Claims "Comprehensive Ceasefire with Iran" → Market Rebounds
Iranian Media Urgently Denies → Gains Retracted by $1k
2️⃣ Middle East Conflict:
Iran Attacks US Military Base (Claims Success, US Denies)
UAE/Qatar Briefly Close Airspace (Now Resumed)
📊 Capital Flow
Exchange Net Inflow (24H):
Bitcoin +$120 million (Shorts Closing Major)
Ethereum +$80 million
Contract Liquidation: Ceasefire News Triggers $300 Million Short Liquidation
🚀 Sector Highlights
✅ Strong Rebound
Category Representative Projects Gains Catalysts Meme Coin PEPE +15% Oversold Recovery DeFi UNI +12% Korean Exchange New Public Chain Useless +20% FDV Breaks $140 Million
⚠️ Risk Warning
BNB New Project Mechanism Change:
New Project XNY Locks Up Retail Tokens → Project Party Prioritizes Sales
Must Complete Weekly Tasks to Unlock → De facto PUA Users
Avalanche Ecosystem Retreat:
FORMAL Market Cap Halved ($15 Million → $4.5 Million)
LAMBO Adjusts -28%
🌐 Macro Relations
US Stocks Crypto Stocks Divergence:
Coinbase ($COIN) Hits $300 Intraday High
Sun Yuchen Related Stock SRM Plummets -12%
Regulatory Dynamics:
US SEC May Approve OKX Listing (Rumors Awaiting Confirmation)
Stablecoin Bill Enters Presidential Signing Process This Week
📉 Technical Warning
Ethereum Weakness: Exchange Rate Falls to 0.021 (Yearly Low)
Volatility Trap: BTC 1-Hour Fluctuation ±$2000 → Contract High-Risk Zone
Altcoins Follow Down, Not Up: Most Targets Have Not Recovered Initial Weekly Losses
✨ Operation Tips:
Short-Term Avoid High Pursuits (Geopolitical News is Unpredictable)
Long-Term Focus on BTC $103k Support Validity
Beware of BNB New Project Rules (Retail Token Lock-Up Risks)

💥 【Emergency Dispatch on June 23】 The war severely damages the market! Bitcoin crashes below $101,000
🌍 Event Driven
US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities (early Sunday):
Trump claims "successfully destroyed three major nuclear targets"
Iran responds with diplomatic condemnation (no military escalation yet)
Market reaction:
Bitcoin plummets to $101,000 (daily -$3,000)
Ethereum breaks through the $2,200 barrier (exchange rate crashes -6%)
📉 Asset Bloodbath Record
Category decline key points Bitcoin -2.9% weekly low $101,000 Ethereum -7.2% weekly low $2,200 Altcoins -15%~20% PEPE halved / -50% DeFi leader -20%+ UNI $6.4 (down -40% from peak)
💸 Capital Flight
Net outflow from exchanges (24H):
Bitcoin -$613 million
Ethereum -$350 million
ETF anomalies:
Ethereum spot ETF had a net outflow of $11 million on Friday (first sign of retreat)
BlackRock suspends ETH purchases (clearly in a wait-and-see mode)
⚠️ On-Chain Alerts
Balpha pre-crash warning:
Points skyrocketed to 251 points (historical peak)
Real users decreased by 80%, studios account for over 85%
Altcoin liquidity dried up:
BNB chain trading volume -30%
Solana new coin launch volume -70% (only 10 projects over the weekend)
🔮 Key Points for the Market
War situation signals: If Iran retaliates (like blocking the Strait of Hormuz), it may trigger a second crash
Institutional movements: After the US stock market opens on Monday, watch Coinbase ($COIN) and MicroStrategy ($MSTR) performance
Long and short game:
Ethereum whales shorting profit of $21 million
BlackRock cost line $2,470 facing a test
✨ Extreme Market Survival Guide:
Spot holders strictly maintain BTC $100,000 / ETH $2,150 stop-loss line
Pause altcoin bottom-buying (buying strength exhausted)
Contract leverage reduced to below 5x to prevent liquidation

《Newcomer Anti-Fraud Handbook: 10 Life-Saving Rules from the Anti-Fraud Captain》
⚡ Phase One: 3 Essential Tasks for Joining the Circle
1️⃣ Exchange Life and Death Certification
❌ Scam Exchange Characteristics:
Domain name contains -vip/.net and other miscellaneous suffixes
Customer service actively messages "airdrop benefits"
✅ Safe Practices:
Only use the four major exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, OKX, Htx
Official website must be verified, never click any links (do not use Baidu)
2️⃣ Fund Isolation Technique
💡 Mnemonic: "Large funds in cold wallets, small funds in exchanges"
Over $10,000 must be transferred to Ledger/Trezor cold wallets
Do not keep all funds in one exchange!
3️⃣ Privacy Nuclear Protection
📵 Fatal Error: Using WeChat to send ID/Facial Verification
✅ Correct Operation:
Register a dedicated email (two-factor verification) + Google Authenticator
KYC photo watermarked with "For XX Exchange Certification Only"
🕳️ Phase Two: Avoid 4 Classic Scams
🔥 Scam 1: Fake Customer Service Phishing
Script: "Detected account risk, please click the link to verify"
Counter: Real customer service never actively messages!
💸 Scam 2: Copy Trading Teacher Killing Pigs
Characteristics: Show profit charts + shout "sure win strategy"
Truth: Generated by photo editing software, waiting for you to take over and cut losses
🎁 Scam 3: Airdrop Authorization Trap
Trick: "Need to authorize wallet to receive airdrop"
Defense: Use Revoke.cash to clear useless authorizations monthly
📱 Scam 4: Fake APP Stealing Identity
Case: Discovering high imitation Binance APP in the app store
Must Check: Verify developer name + download count on the official website, or check the link redirection from the official website
🛡️ Phase Three: Trading Anti-Cutting Guide
✅ Three Contract No-Touch Rules
Leverage over 20 times
Shitcoin contracts (depth allows the manipulator to do as they please)
Follow the "big god" operations
✅ Two Spot Checks
Check trading volume on CoinGecko before buying coins (be cautious if < $1 million)
Small test withdrawal (fake exchanges will freeze funds)
💥 Ultimate Life-Saving Mnemonic
"Four Generally Principles"
Any request for private key/seed phrase → 100% scam!
Any promise of guaranteed profit → 100% pig slaughter!
Any urgent request for instant transfer → 100% phishing!
Any claim of official customer service → Verify on the official website!
Next issue reveals "Signs of Project Team Running Away 48 Hours Before", follow for key moments to save money!

🌍 【June 19 Crypto Dispatch】Federal Reserve's hawkish tone shakes the market, US crypto stocks surge against the trend
⏰ Core Events
1️⃣ Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision:
Maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% (paused for the fourth consecutive time)
Hawkish signal: Out of 19 officials, 7 expect no rate cuts in 2025 (up from 4 in March), dot plot suggests expectations of liquidity tightening1
Powell states, "Inflation is slightly above the 2% target; rate cuts must wait for clear signals"
2️⃣ Geopolitical Situation:
Israel-Iran conflict risk eases: Polymarket data shows the probability of US intervention dropped from 80% to 67%
Trump's vague response: "Could take action, could also not"
📊 Market Performance
Key asset dynamics fluctuations: Bitcoin briefly crashed to $103,500 before rebounding and stabilizing, Ethereum holds the $2,470-$2,490 institutional accumulation zone with a slight drop of -0.8%, US crypto stock Circle ($COIN) created a post-market high of $211, a three-week surge of 7 times, altcoins generally followed the market fluctuations averaging ±2-3%
🔥 Focus of Volatility
Coinbase ($COIN): Single-day surge of 16% (driven by applying for tokenized stock licenses + supporting USDC as futures collateral)
Sun Yuchen-related stock SRM: Slightly increased against the trend, returning to the $8 mark
💸 Fund Flows
ETFs continue to attract funds:
Bitcoin spot ETF saw a net inflow of +$216M on Tuesday (seven consecutive days of net inflow)
Ethereum spot ETF saw a net inflow of +$11.1M1
Exchange net outflows:
Bitcoin -$80M / Ethereum -$7.1M (short-term profit-taking pressure)
⚡️ On-chain Hotspots
🚀 Surging Projects
Public chain project performance: SolanaUseless market cap $5M → $100M (20x speed run), AvalancheFengmo breaks $10M market cap, AvalancheLabel maintains a steady $40M market cap
⚠️ Risk Warning
a16z official Twitter hacked: false token airdrop link released (emergency frozen)
BNB chain ecosystem retreats: leading projects CA (-72.5%), RE (zero) deep pullback
🔮 Today's Observation Points
Federal Reserve policy aftershocks: Will the hawkish dot plot trigger a second pullback?
Geopolitical maneuvering: Will Iran respond to Trump's "ultimatum"?
Altcoin season transfer signals: Can the US crypto stock celebration be transmitted to on-chain?
🌐 Operation Tips:
Short-term avoid high leverage, focus on BTC $103k / ETH $2.45k support strength
Long-term layout reference: BlackRock strategy: accumulate ETH on dips (cost range $2,470-$2,490)

🌪️ 【June 18 Crypto Market Update】 The Tug of War Under the Clouds of War
🔥 Core Market Situation
1️⃣ Bitcoin:
Yesterday's low $103,000 (-4.5%), now rebounding to $104,500
Net outflow of $700 million over 7 days, short-term pressure evident 6
2️⃣ Ethereum:
Plummeted to $2,450, now recovering to the $2,500 mark
Spot ETF net inflow on Monday (institutional contrarian buying signal)
3️⃣ Altcoins:
General decline of 10%-15%, meme coins leading the drop ($PEPE nearing breakdown)
Only mainstream DeFi ($UNI, $AAVE) saw declines ≤3%, showing resilience
⚡️ Key Event Drivers
Event market impact ongoing Middle East conflict escalation risk aversion triggered sell-off US intervention probability rises to 80% (Polymarket data) Stablecoin bill passed Senate approval genius bill awaiting Trump’s signature, may land this week 1 Federal Reserve FOMC meeting held today, rate cut probability 0.1% hawkish remarks could exacerbate volatility 5
🏦 Institutional Movements
BlackRock continues to bottom fish for ETH:
Purchased 6,000 ETH on June 17 (about $15 million)
Increased position by 28,000 ETH during last Friday's plunge (average cost $2,600-$2,700)
US stock crypto-related stocks:
Coinbase ($COIN) dropped to $149 (slight after-hours rebound)
Ethereum concept stock $SHARP down -10% in one day (Sun Yuchen's holdings continue to weaken)
🚀 On-chain Hotspots
✅ Dark Horse Projects Erupt
Public chain project performance AvalancheFORMAL market cap $2 million → $15 million (24H +650%) AvalancheLEMON market cap exceeds $50 million
⚠️ Risk Warning
Meme coin sector completely collapsed: $PEPE -80% (from winter peak), $DOGE -36%
TON ecosystem NFT floor price slightly dropped, new projects lack highlights
📉 Fund and Sentiment Indicators
Large net outflow:
BTC 7-day net outflow $700 million
ETH 7-day net outflow $300 million 6
Fear and Greed Index: 28 (Extreme Fear)
Futures leverage risk: ETH open contracts $40 billion, long and short liquidation zone approaching 10
🔮 Today's Observation Points
Geopolitics: Will the US military take action against Iran (determining market direction)
FOMC meeting: Powell's tone in remarks (dovish could trigger a rebound) 15
ETH spot ETF: Tuesday's fund flow data (verifying institutional confidence)
🌐 Strategy Suggestions:
Spot holders strictly maintain BTC $100,000 / ETH $2,400 stop-loss line
Short-term speculation focus on Avalanche new coin launch (high volatility warning)
Avoid contract openings, guard against black swan events

Weekend key market summary, like and bookmark, take it without thanks!

Family, I bought a cold wallet on Douyin and stored 50 million Bitcoin, and it was all gone overnight! Everyone has seen this news, right? Today I will share my painful lesson and teach you step by step how to avoid pitfalls and buy a genuine cold wallet!
✅ Step 1: Avoid Pitfalls! Don’t touch these deadly channels!
- ✖️ "Never trust Douyin/Kuaishou's 'special promotions'! Hackers package counterfeit goods as brand new. As soon as you store coins, the private key is instantly transmitted to their server!"
- ✖️ "Selling on Xianyu and claiming 'unopened'? Nonsense! *A genuine cold wallet will leave traces when opened, 99% of second-hand ones have been tampered with!
- ✖️ "Purchasing agents? Direct from manufacturers? All traps! A friend of mine believed 'overseas channels were 300 cheaper' and ended up losing money!"
✅ Step 2: Be Stubborn! Only buy from these 3 places!
1. Official website purchase! Bitcoin big shots all use them
→ Abroad: Ledger official website (France), Trezor official website (Czech Republic)
→ Domestic: OneKey official website (Shenzhen)
Search for the official website on Google or enter through their Twitter official account. Never use Baidu; they are all phishing links!
2. JD/Taobao? Only recognize 'official flagship stores'! Must have 'brand direct sales' blue label + corporate certification!
✅ Step 3: Inspect upon arrival! Missing a step could be disastrous!
1. "First, take an unboxing video! In case there are issues, you'll have evidence!"
2. "Keep an eye on this seal! Genuine products have a unique hologram color-changing effect, while fakes just have a plastic film!"
3. "Don’t rush to store coins after turning it on! Check the serial number on the official website! (Demo official website verification page) Only 'first activation' is safe!"
4. "The most crucial step! Reset the wallet!
Go to Settings → Security → Restore Factory Settings! Must generate a new mnemonic phrase yourself! Prevent hackers from embedding backdoors!"
---
💥
A cold wallet is not a USB drive! It is a safe for your family's assets!
Brothers, be extremely careful!!!!!!!!