[Macro] When to buy the bottom and make a fortune!
How will the market outlook develop and what operations should we do? In the short term, the non-renewal of BTFP is indeed a potential mini-crisis. At the same time, historically, risk markets have mostly fallen within one month before and after entering the interest rate cut cycle. This is because interest rate cuts are often in response to economic downturns, sluggish employment, and financial crises. Therefore, interest rate cuts also imply expectations of economic recession, which will cause the valuation of risk markets to be impacted in a short period of time.
The market currently expects that the probability of the Fed starting to cut interest rates in March is 46.7%, and the probability of starting to cut interest rates in May is 50.7%.
Therefore, under the dual effects of the banking crisis and the initial correction of interest rate cuts, May will be a watershed, and there may have been relatively large corrections before.
Maybe the Bitcoin halving in April will follow the same trend as ETFs, and the good news will be a correction. But don’t worry, crises are also opportunities. If you control your positions and leverage, crises are cheap chips, because in the long run, all this will force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates and release water. A huge pump is about to be completed, and the big bulls will be determined in 24 and 25 years. It will arrive as expected.
In line with the technical analysis of the market, the current rebound height is around 43500-44000, and there is a high probability that there will be a big C wave decline after that, which is the callback we expect. Regarding the specific price, Xiaohei believes that Bitcoin will form a support between 30,000 and 35,000, and he also bought a $35,000 put option.
My point of view is similar. The specific bottom price is currently difficult to predict, but all cheap chips are below 40,000. The lower the price, the more excited we should be.
Also, for friends who do not have professional experience in option operations, I do not recommend that you learn to buy options or open short hedging. You can just buy the bottom of the previously reserved positions in batches.
1. The cake rises first, and Ethereum rises. $magic belongs to the second layer, Ethereum system, the boss rises, and the younger brother will definitely rise
2. $magic will be online next week, which is a great benefit. It will definitely炒作in the past two days
3. $MAGIC The trend is a standard 4h upward trend magic $MAGIC $BTC
Many people don't understand manta, it doesn't matter, time will teach you to grow. $MANTA $BTC $BNB
加密大承哥
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[Must-see] If you like the ETH ecosystem, how do you make a fortune?
Main configuration: ETH, the exchange rate against Bitcoin will rise sharply this year, the altcoin will lead the way!
2. New coin duo: XAI 0.72, MANTA 2.53 (entered the market before 2.2), market hot concepts combined, very promising
3. Social: MEME 0.023, rich project background resources, waiting for the social track to explode!
4. Game: bigtime 0.33. The game is convenient for large-scale production. It is more refined in big time. It was recommended around 0.19. Currently, I hope that the economic downturn will be over soon, and the new version and Binance can be launched soon.
5. Hong Kong Concept: CFX 0.178 is quite resilient this time around, and there should be a lot of moves in the future, so continue to hold on.
6. Low market value series: DUSK 0.198, ZK concept, low market capitalization, perfect monthly line, in the early stage of an explosion. vanry0.058, L1, VR, metaverse concepts, the project team has made a lot of moves after the currency exchange, and there should be speculation in this bull market.
7. Ultra-low market value, ultra-poor liquidity series XPET, AVIVE, LBR, ZKF, by the way, xpet can really cx... 8. AI track: AI coins, WLD $ETH $MANTA $XAI
Why did Grayscale continue to sell out after the ETF was approved? Here is a brief description. If there are any questions, please correct/add:
1. Before the ETF was passed, Grayscale was a GBTC trust, which was a closed model. It once had a negative premium of 50%. With the passage of the ETF, it can be traded freely. Now it has basically returned to value, so it was bought at a low or high negative premium. Users, after converting to ETF, can cash out and make profits at will.
2. Comparing the fee rates of various ETFs, Grayscale 1.5% ranks first. Do you want to swap positions to other ETFs that are approximately equal to 0? Of course, these users may just change positions. $BTC $ETH $BNB
[Must-see] If you like the ETH ecosystem, how do you make a fortune?
Main configuration: ETH, the exchange rate against Bitcoin will rise sharply this year, the altcoin will lead the way!
2. New coin duo: XAI 0.72, MANTA 2.53 (entered the market before 2.2), market hot concepts combined, very promising
3. Social: MEME 0.023, rich project background resources, waiting for the social track to explode!
4. Game: bigtime 0.33. The game is convenient for large-scale production. It is more refined in big time. It was recommended around 0.19. Currently, I hope that the economic downturn will be over soon, and the new version and Binance can be launched soon.
5. Hong Kong Concept: CFX 0.178 is quite resilient this time around, and there should be a lot of moves in the future, so continue to hold on.
6. Low market value series: DUSK 0.198, ZK concept, low market capitalization, perfect monthly line, in the early stage of an explosion. vanry0.058, L1, VR, metaverse concepts, the project team has made a lot of moves after the currency exchange, and there should be speculation in this bull market.
7. Ultra-low market value, ultra-poor liquidity series XPET, AVIVE, LBR, ZKF, by the way, xpet can really cx... 8. AI track: AI coins, WLD $ETH $MANTA $XAI