"The Mao Mao Party uses false data to commit massive fraud. Witches are the most effective and just blow to them!"
This kind of opinion may sound reasonable, but if you think about it carefully, it is a kind of misleading. Who is spreading this idea? At least, it is unlikely to be retail investors.
But in fact, the abnormal behavior of today's "witches" has hinted at the details of the next stage of the market. Why is it said that this is capital's favor for the Bitcoin ecosystem and MEME track?
Let us first use a short story as an example to express the information:
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- The story of the farmer and the golden eggs
There are 100,000 permanent residents in the small town of Waibosan, one of whom is a farm owner who raises chickens. But the eggs from the farm have not been selling well recently, so he thought of a solution.
One day, the farm owner found 50 people and said, "Recently, I selected the best chicken and fed it with the best feed. In a year, it will lay 1,000 eggs. These eggs are golden eggs. Eating them can prolong your life!"
If you can promote it for me and let more people know about it, I will give you some golden eggs as rewards when they lay eggs.
With the publicity of these 50 people, more and more people began to discuss this matter, but it was not yet known to everyone.
As the news spread, a newspaper owner started to pay attention to the matter. Seeing so many people discussing it, he thought it was a very promising thing. He also knew that the golden eggs would be able to sell for a good price in the future.
I hurriedly found the farm owner to discuss cooperation: If you can give me 200 golden eggs in a year, I can use my resources and media influence to help you expand your publicity.
The farm owner thought about it and said, "Okay, but we have to have an agreement for the 200 golden eggs. I'll give you 50 first, and then 10 every month." Of course, this is just an agreement.
So the two sides hit it off.
Under the operation of the newspaper owner, a large number of technical experts were found to help the boss with publicity. Through the authority of the technical experts, they praised the feeds as really good and the golden eggs would definitely prolong life.
At this time, the newspaper owner introduced a more important person to the farm: the supermarket owner
In order for the golden eggs to flow into the market better a year later, the supermarket owner plays a crucial role.
Finally, after the three parties negotiated, the farm owner gave the supermarket owner 100 golden eggs as a reward after one year. Similarly, the supermarket owner would promote the golden eggs in all his offline stores and put them in the most eye-catching places for sale.
But in order to make things reasonable, there is still an explicit agreement: 100 golden eggs, 20 will be given in the first batch, and the remaining 10 will be unlocked every month. Of course, this is just an agreement.
"one year later"
The farm owner will then begin distributing the 1,000 "golden eggs" that he has prepared according to the pre-planned quantity.
First, they gave one to each of the 50 people who helped with the promotion. Then they sent the people arranged by the newspaper owner and the supermarket owner.
But there is a detail in this process: the farm owner gave the extra batch of eggs and the newspaper owner's eggs to the supermarket owner.
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As the countdown began, people in the town flocked to the supermarkets to buy the golden egg that could prolong their lives.
Theoretically, the number of golden eggs in circulation at this time is 770.
50 (newspaper) + 20 (supermarket) + 50 (the person who started the promotion) + 650 (farm)
As everyone rushed to buy them, the price of these golden eggs soon rose from the initial price of 100 yuan to 1,000 yuan or even higher.
But there are clearly 770 eggs in circulation, and not many of them can be bought in supermarkets.
Outside the supermarket, there were many scalpers selling golden eggs for 999 yuan.
A few days later, the owners of the farms, newspapers, and supermarkets calculated their accounts after deducting some costs and expenses. Hey, they made more money than they did last year.
Since then, "Golden Ice Cream" and "Golden Coffee" have become popular in the town.
At this point in the story, the logic of how a golden egg can create wealth has been basically revealed. Theoretically, this logic can be replicated many times.
But there are exceptions to everything. One day, the "Gold" series of products began to be less popular in the market.
As sales decline, bosses will find that they are spending more than they earn when calculating costs.
Therefore, in order to ensure that the last order does not result in a loss, they had to start controlling the circulation of more "golden eggs".
How can we reduce the number of people? We can only reduce the number of people from the original 50.
At this time, various accusations such as "inadequate publicity, inappropriate wording, unfriendly attitude" emerged out of thin air.
Even if some people are angry, there will still be people who will work harder and more carefully for a golden egg.
This set of "golden eggs" gameplay is not a permanent business and will still fade away with the passage of time.
There are two main ones:
1. The sales of the Golden Eggs declined; 2. The requirement for 50 people became increasingly strict (increasing control over the circulation of the Golden Eggs)
Finally, when the gold series products were completely sold out, it was time to kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. At this point, there was no point in talking about fair market transactions. In order to maximize profits, the farm owner even encouraged 50 people to report each other. If anyone violated the rules, the reporter would be rewarded handsomely.
Is the purpose really to ensure the quality of the promotion of the golden eggs? More importantly, they want to reduce the circulation of the golden eggs and ensure their own expenditure balance.
Let’s go back to the present. With the frequent occurrence of the witch series of killing the goose that lays the golden eggs, it can be seen that the model of the VC era has become commonplace.
As the most useful "black slaves", the Maodang has been working hard to provide a large amount of "impressive" data to some new projects in the early stages.
These new projects used these data to win favor from newspapers and supermarkets. But when they closed the door and calculated the accounts, they could not achieve the ideal returns. They had to increase revenue and reduce expenditure.
The poor money-grabbing party has become the one who pays the bill in the market. This kind of thing happening in the decentralized world of web3 is ridiculous in itself.
Using so-called "centralized fairness" to impose sanctions in decentralized games.
The witches' methods are upgraded time and time again, and the phenomenon of uneven distribution of spoils is increasingly evident.
But newspaper and supermarket owners do not need to rely on farms for survival. They do not make a living from eggs, but from the market.
The current market is determined by users. Only where everyone's consumption power is concentrated will there be the biggest hot trend.
The emergence of MEME and the Bitcoin ecosystem increasingly ironizes the drawbacks of the “golden egg” model.
Apart from its completely decentralized nature, it also provides users with a reasonable scenario to vent their emotions.
Therefore, the upgrade of the Witch series, from the perspective of profit, is a harm to the studio and the fur party. But from the perspective of industry development, it is also a promotion of new things and new tracks.
The old model will fade, but it does not mean that it will be eliminated. New hot spots will give birth to more new products and new ways of playing as everyone likes.
The current Bitcoin and MEME ecosystems are in the early stages of transition from the old to the new, and the gameplay is still being iterated and explored. I believe that as time goes by, more projects will be born. Where there is traffic is the best market.
Today, $PEPE and $RATS are the best reflection of market sentiment. These projects have the first-mover advantage and will become a model for more projects in the future.
Finally, I hope the above content can help you better judge the industry trend. Everything has two sides. Although the "left hand" action is big enough and attractive enough in many cases, it does not mean that we should ignore the details of the "right hand".
Although the current market sentiment is being deliberately guided, we must still maintain independent judgment amidst the great emotional outburst.
It is better to teach a man how to fish than to teach him how to fish. No shouting, but "real open source".
2024, let’s get rich together.