【Blockchain Brief 0422】

I. Macroeconomic data:

1. US dollar index: closed down 0.08% at 106.12

2. Treasury bond prices: 10-year US Treasury yield closed at 4.623%. The 2-year US Treasury yield, which is most sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 4.997%

3. Gold price: 0.57%, reported at $2,391.77 per ounce

4. WTI crude oil: WTI crude oil finally closed down 3.46% at $82.26 per barrel

5. Stock market: Dow Jones closed up 0.56%, S&P 500 fell 0.88%, and Nasdaq fell 2.05%

6. USDCNY: 7.25

7. Rate hike expectations: According to the Fed's interest rate monitor, the probability of maintaining interest rates at 5.25-5.50 in May is 94.6%, and the probability of cutting interest rates to 5.00-5.25 is 5.4%.

8. Cryptocurrency: The overall market value fell by 0.1% to $2.38T, the 24-hour trading volume fell by 13% to $56.65B, and the stablecoin market value increased by 2.25% to 154.78B

9. ETH staking: The current staking amount is 31.69METH, and the staking rate is 26.36%

II. 9 ETF holdings data:

Updated on April 17:

Updated on April 19:#Grayscaledecreased by 2,195 $BTC (-141.68 million US dollars), and currently holds 306,399 $BTC (19.78 billion US dollars).#Fidelityincreased by 590 $BTC (+38.1 million US dollars), and currently holds 152,465 $BTC (9.84 billion US dollars). 9 ETFs (including #Grayscale) decreased by 472 $BTC (-30.44 million USD).

III. Yesterday's macro news:

1. Israel Defense Forces: From the evening of the 20th to the early morning of the 21st, the Israeli Air Force attacked multiple targets of Hezbollah in Lebanon; Media: The Israeli army attacked the southern city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip, killing many people; two US military bases in Syria were attacked.

2. Air defense alarms sounded several times on the northern border of Israel on the 20th, suspected of being attacked by drones; Iraqi militias claimed to have carried out drone attacks on Eilat, Israel. A source from the Iraqi Ministry of the Interior said on the 20th that two Iraqi military bases were attacked in the early morning of the same day. The US military said that reports of US air strikes in Iraq were untrue.

3. On April 19, there was a sudden explosion in Iran, and the United States said that Israel attacked Iranian facilities. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said Iran would retaliate against Israeli nuclear facilities. The Israeli army confirmed the attack but the Israeli media office refused to acknowledge it. Iranian official media confirmed that Israel had launched the attack and said the "sabotage" operation using drones had failed.Iranian officials said there were no immediate plans for retaliation. Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei: The key issue is how Iran demonstrates its strength to attack Israel.

4. The Wall Street Journal: The Biden administration is considering providing Israel with more than $1 billion in new weapons.

5. US Secretary of State Blinken: We cannot support major military operations in Rafah; US media: Hamas is considering moving its political headquarters out of Qatar, a move that may disrupt negotiations on the release of hostages.

6. Fed's Goolsbee: (asked about potential interest rate hikes) If necessary, nothing is off the table. Barkin: US demand is healthy and the economy is not overheating.

7. Fed Financial Stability Report: Sustained inflation is seen as the most important financial stability risk, and hedge fund leverage has risen to its highest level since at least 2013.

8. Bank of Japan Governor: If inflation continues to rise, the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates.

9. ECB-Governing Council member Wensch: The ECB has clear reasons to cut interest rates twice, and the July meeting will give a signal on the interest rate path; Governing Council member Mueller: Several more rate cuts are expected after June; Governing Council member Nagel: If the outlook remains unchanged, there may be a rate cut in June. Even if rate cuts begin, interest rates must remain restrictive.

10. IMF: OPEC+ is expected to gradually increase oil production from July.

11. An oil pipeline in Homs Province, Syria, caught fire due to suspected oil theft, killing one person. The media said that the fire in the oil pipeline has been extinguished.

12. Bitcoin "halving" has been completed, and the daily reward for miners will be reduced from 900 bitcoins to 450 bitcoins.

13. U.S. tech stocks encountered "Black Friday", and ExxonMobil's market value surpassed Tesla for the first time since January 2023; Nvidia plummeted 10%, its market value fell by 2 trillion US dollars, and more than 200 billion evaporated during the session.

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