1. Macroeconomic data:
1. US dollar index: closed down 0.56% at 104.67
2. Treasury bond prices: The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.3230%. The 2-year Treasury yield, which is most sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, finally closed at 4.7600%.
3. Gold price: closed up 0.27% at $2,322.50 per ounce
4. WTI crude oil: WTI crude oil finally closed up 0.16% at $78.24 per barrel
5. Stock market: Dow Jones closed down 0.09%, S&P 500 rose 0.85%, and Nasdaq rose 1.53%
6. USDCNY：7.2644
7. Interest rate hike expectations: According to the Federal Reserve's interest rate monitor, the probability of maintaining the interest rate at 5.25-5.50 in August is 91.7%, and the probability of lowering the interest rate to 5.00-5.25 is 8.3%.
8. Cryptocurrency: Overall market value rose 2.08% to $2.49T, 24-hour trading volume fell 4.79% to $89.6B, and stablecoin market value fell 0.0% to $155.09B
9. ETH pledge status: The current pledge amount is 32.67METH, and the pledge rate is 27.16%
2. 9 ETF holdings data:
Update June 12:
9 ETFs lost 2,199 $BTC (-$153.4 million).
#ARK21Shares lost 840 $BTC (-58.6M USD) and now holds 48,199 $BTC (3.36B USD).
#Grayscale reduced $BTC by 580 ($-40.5m), now holds 283,966 $BTC ($19.81b).
3. Yesterday’s macro news:
1. The annual rate of unadjusted CPI in the United States in May was 3.3%, lower than the market expectation of 3.4%, falling to a three-month low. The annual rate of unadjusted core CPI in the United States in May was 3.4%, lower than the expected 3.5%, the lowest level since April 2021.
2. The Fed kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% for the seventh consecutive time, and the dot plot cut its rate cut expectations from three times this year to one time, and raised them to four times next year. Officials raised their PCE and core PCE expectations for this year and next, believing that inflation has made further modest progress in recent months. The Fed maintained its GDP growth forecast for 2024-2026 and slightly raised its unemployment forecast for next year. Powell said inflation has eased significantly, but it is still too high. So far this year, there has been no greater confidence in inflation to cut interest rates.
3. "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": CPI is slowing down, but the Fed is cautious about cutting interest rates.
4. U.S. inflation unexpectedly slowed in May, and traders re-priced the probability of a Fed rate cut in November to 100%, and expected two 25 basis point rate cuts this year, but this was reduced to 44 basis points after the Fed's decision was announced.
5. According to Nikkei, the Bank of Japan will consider gradually reducing its holdings of Japanese government bonds at its policy meeting, which is not only a step towards interest rate normalization, but also a step towards the normalization of quantitative measures.
6. IEA Monthly Report: As demand peaks, a large surplus of oil supply is expected this decade.
7. Lebanon's Hezbollah claimed to have attacked multiple targets in northern Israel.
8. The Moscow Exchange stopped trading in US dollars and euros after being sanctioned by the United States.
9. Apple's market value surpassed Microsoft at the beginning of trading, and it regained the top spot in the U.S. stock market.
#BTCUSD#Bitcoin#BitcoinETF #ETHUSDT #CryptoHarmony
