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The fourth halving in Bitcoin's history has entered the final countdown, but no one can accurately predict the exact time of the halving. The currency circle generally expects it to occur around April 19-20. The current block reward is 6.25 BTC, which will drop to 3.125 after the halving. What is halving When the Bitcoin blockchain generates 210,000 blocks, the miner's block reward will be halved. This halving occurs approximately every four years and will slow the issuance of Bitcoin until the total issuance of Bitcoin reaches 21 million. Currently, more than 19 million Bitcoins have been mined, and nearly 2 million remain to be mined. Encoded into the Bitcoin protocol by Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto, it is a way to limit the total supply of Bitcoin and increase its scarcity in order to avoid the uncontrolled issuance of traditional fiat currencies. The last Bitcoin is expected to be released in 2140, and there will be no more additional Bitcoins after that. By then, Bitcoin may fall into a certain degree of deflation, which will then push up prices. At that time, miners will no longer receive mining rewards for mining new blocks, and can only earn income through transaction fees from users. The reason why halving has received widespread attention is that many halvings in history are also closely related to the bull cycle of the entire digital currency market. Bitcoin's inherent scarcity, coupled with the historical increase in demand after previous halving events, has fostered a sense of digital scarcity, which may lead to potential upward pressure on prices. Does the halving have to happen every four years? Although Bitcoin halvings are generally expected to occur every four years, the actual time interval between halvings can vary due to the self-adjusting mechanism of the protocol. The 10-minute block time target ensures that a new block is added to the blockchain approximately every 10 minutes. However, as the network computing power fluctuates, the time to achieve this goal will also fluctuate. If miners collectively exceed the target, the difficulty will be adjusted upward, causing the next halving to occur later than the expected four years. There have been three halvings in history. The miner reward was reduced from 50 BTC per block to 25 BTC in 2012, and then to 12.5 BTC in 2016. The last halving was on May 11, 2020, when it was reduced to 6.25 BTC. After each halving of Bitcoin, the price rose rapidly and reached a record high.

The fourth halving in Bitcoin's history has entered the final countdown, but no one can accurately predict the exact time of the halving. The currency circle generally expects it to occur around April 19-20. The current block reward is 6.25 BTC, which will drop to 3.125 after the halving.

What is halving

When the Bitcoin blockchain generates 210,000 blocks, the miner's block reward will be halved. This halving occurs approximately every four years and will slow the issuance of Bitcoin until the total issuance of Bitcoin reaches 21 million. Currently, more than 19 million Bitcoins have been mined, and nearly 2 million remain to be mined.

Encoded into the Bitcoin protocol by Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto, it is a way to limit the total supply of Bitcoin and increase its scarcity in order to avoid the uncontrolled issuance of traditional fiat currencies.

The last Bitcoin is expected to be released in 2140, and there will be no more additional Bitcoins after that. By then, Bitcoin may fall into a certain degree of deflation, which will then push up prices. At that time, miners will no longer receive mining rewards for mining new blocks, and can only earn income through transaction fees from users.

The reason why halving has received widespread attention is that many halvings in history are also closely related to the bull cycle of the entire digital currency market. Bitcoin's inherent scarcity, coupled with the historical increase in demand after previous halving events, has fostered a sense of digital scarcity, which may lead to potential upward pressure on prices.

Does the halving have to happen every four years?

Although Bitcoin halvings are generally expected to occur every four years, the actual time interval between halvings can vary due to the self-adjusting mechanism of the protocol. The 10-minute block time target ensures that a new block is added to the blockchain approximately every 10 minutes. However, as the network computing power fluctuates, the time to achieve this goal will also fluctuate. If miners collectively exceed the target, the difficulty will be adjusted upward, causing the next halving to occur later than the expected four years.

There have been three halvings in history. The miner reward was reduced from 50 BTC per block to 25 BTC in 2012, and then to 12.5 BTC in 2016. The last halving was on May 11, 2020, when it was reduced to 6.25 BTC. After each halving of Bitcoin, the price rose rapidly and reached a record high.

Disclaimer: Includes thrid-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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第一次减半:2012年11月28日 发生减半的比特币区块:210,000 区块奖励:50枚BTC到25枚BTC 减半当日的比特币价格:12.3美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格峰值:1,175美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格最大涨幅:9552.85% 第二次减半:2016年7月9日 发生减半的比特币区块:420,000 区块奖励:25枚BTC到12.5枚BTC 减半当日的比特币价格:648.1美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格峰值:19,800美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格最大涨幅:3055.08% 第三次减半:2020年5月 发生减半的比特币区块:630,000 区块奖励:12.5枚BTC到6.25枚BTC 减半当日的比特币价格:8,560.6美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格峰值:67,775.3美元/枚 本轮周期内的价格最大涨幅:791.71% 图片来自网络 比特币减半是否存在风险? 虽然比特币减半通常被视为一个积极事件,但也存在固有的风险,特别是在短期内。减半的预期可能会引发投机市场行为,导致波动性加剧。值得注意的是,如果未达到市场预期,价格也可能会出现暂时调整。 减半事件与比特币价格之间存在历史相关性,比如,2012年、2017年和2020年减半日后大约六个月,比特币价格大幅上涨。尽管存在这种相关性,但重要的是要记住,相关性并不意味着因果关系,历史也不一定会重演,市场情绪、采用趋势和宏观经济条件等各种因素都会影响价格变动。 如果普遍预期比特币的价值将在2024年减半后立即飙升,那么投资者可能会在减半事件发生之前购买比特币,从而推高当前而不是减半后的价格,可能引发买预期卖事实的价格行为。因此,尽管理论上新比特币进入市场的速度下降表明稀缺性加剧,原则上可能会刺激需求并可能抬高价格,但这并不是一个可以可靠预测或引发比特币价值大幅上涨的独立因素。
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