Outlook for the Super Bull Market of 2025
I believe everyone has made a fortune during this period of altcoin trends, with some brothers in the group even expressing, "Living in fear of rising prices every day," which is quite a shocking statement. Today, I will help everyone delve into the prospects of the 2025 bull market from the following dimensions:
1. BTC Bull Market Peak Prediction:
The peak of Bitcoin and the timing of reaching that peak are key indicators that determine whether we can successfully exit at the top. The peak of Bitcoin in the 2025 bull market is likely to be between $180,000 and $240,000. Why? Let’s look for answers in history. In 2012, the halving: the peak increased about 100 times before the halving; in 2016, the halving: the increase shrank to about 30 times; in 2020, the halving: the multiplier further declined to 6 times. Following this decreasing pattern, the bull market led by the 2024 halving may have a multiplier between 3-4 times, with the halving occurring around $60,000. Multiplying this increase, $180,000-$240,000 is a relatively reasonable range. Of course, the specific movements of the market are full of emotions, and heightened emotions may also lead to overvaluation.
2. Key Nodes for Altcoin Explosions
The explosion of altcoins often follows closely after Bitcoin reaches its peak. We can divide this into three stages:
First Stage: Bitcoin Dominates Alone
Expected Time: From the 2024 halving to early 2025. This is a Bitcoin-dominated market, where most funds chase after "digital gold," while altcoins remain in a dormant period.
Second Stage: Awakening of Smart Contracts Led by Ethereum
Expected Time: The first half of 2025. Institutional funds flow into smart contracts and infrastructure assets.
Third Stage: Alternation of Frenzy and Despair
Expected Time: From mid-2025 to the end of the year. Retail investors flood in, "meme coins" bloom everywhere, and funds rotate quickly. At this time, the ability to distinguish between opportunities and traps is especially important.
