As early as Christmas, we mentioned that liquidity would likely start to recover around January 6, and we emphasized over the weekend that the factors influencing price movements could only be referenced from the weekend situation, which might be completely different after Monday. It has been proven that with the recovery of liquidity, both the US stock market and Bitcoin have shown a good upward trend. This is certainly related to the new tariff policy introduced by Trump, as even the dollar index has dropped by one percentage point.
In a bull market, holding on and switching between altcoins and Bitcoin to capture exchange rates remains a valuable strategy that is continually increasing in value.
The following two possibilities exist for Bitcoin's next movements:
1. Last night's rebound has already broken the 0.618 drop since 108353, with the two red circles as starting points:
1. Follow a guiding wedge
2. There is an unclear push from the second red circle, currently in a new upward movement, which needs to break the new high to confirm;
2. From the highest point down to 92233 is wave A, from 92233 to now is wave B rebound, and there will be wave C afterward; or it could be WXY, performing a large three-part adjustment;
However, due to the strong rebound, even if there are adjustments moving forward, the intensity shouldn't be particularly strong and should not fall below the previous low.
From a higher perspective, it looks like this chart, and personally, I tend to prefer the first type of movement emotionally, but currently, there is indeed no particularly strong push from this rebound.
$100,000 is a new starting point. Some ask, can we still invest at $100,000?
In fact, this is a misconception! Let's discuss the mindset of different investors.
Some people chose to exit when the price of Bitcoin reached $100,000, possibly because they had achieved their investment goals or believed that the price was already high. Simply put, they think that $100,000 for Bitcoin is 'expensive' beyond their expectations.
However, there are other investors who, after Bitcoin reached $100,000, not only did not sell but continued to invest more. This could be because they have ample funds and have more ambitious investment goals, even feeling that this price is still not 'affordable'; in their view, Bitcoin at $100,000 still holds investment value.
Therefore, investment decisions cannot be generalized; they depend on individual strength, investment goals, and current holding conditions. Just as Bitcoin has different meanings for different investors at different price stages: 0.1 BTC corresponds to $10,000, 0.01 BTC corresponds to $1,000, and even 0.001 BTC corresponds to $0.001; everyone’s investment 'new starting point' varies.
In short, finding an investment strategy that fits oneself is key; different investment goals and financial situations will lead everyone to have different judgments about the price.
Market confidence is increasingly strong. Whether mainstream coins or altcoins, the market is quietly rising. Have you seized the opportunity?
The concept of AI remains a favorite among market speculators, and the Meme series is poised for a breakout, with the market prospects for Memes in 2025 still looking very attractive. Both AI and Memes are showing a trend of climbing from the bottom.
Even ordi sats have achieved a weekly-level rise. When the market arrives, everyone will have the opportunity to profit. However, to ensure that the coins you buy rise first and have a large increase, it is necessary to rely on technology for early predictions and to make good layouts.
I believe that in the current market, all sectors are steadily moving upward, but there hasn't been a rotation yet:
80% of the position is allocated in relatively stable sectors: mainly holding large coins like ETH and SOL. In my view, during the upcoming market, these are likely to be BETA assets that can outperform Bitcoin. Including Bitcoin, I will not easily change the spot positions of these coins.
Another 20% of the position is used for short-term operations: the reason for arranging this 20% position for short-term strikes is to cope with the uncertainty of the bull market's rotation timing. Currently, some low-market-cap coins are seeing 30% to 50% increases daily. I have set a stop-loss mechanism to prevent risks from market downturns, and I have also set a profit target, hoping to gain 50% in the short term; this risk-reward ratio is quite attractive.
