Cryptocurrency Market Cycle Analysis Points
Bull Market Phase Positioning: Currently in the mid to late stage of the fourth round of the crypto bull market, combined with the 4-year cycle pattern, the following is inferred:
Each cycle includes 3 years of bear market and 1 year of bull market.
The early stage of the bull market (first 8 months) typically shows slow fluctuations and consolidation; the mid to late stage (last 4 months) is characterized by rapid increases and the formation of a peak.
Current Time Point Analysis:
In October 2023, the bull market officially started, currently in the middle phase of the bull market.
It is expected that the real explosive period will be between February and May 2024, with the bull market possibly ending in July 2025.
Historical Pattern Reference:
Market cycles are usually brief and efficient, with a 4-year waiting period yielding a 3-4 month surge; missing the explosive period may result in significantly reduced returns or even losses.
Sharp fluctuations are a characteristic of the market, helping to eliminate poor quality projects and speculative behaviors, thereby optimizing market efficiency.
Investment Strategy:
During the bear market, it is recommended to only hold BTC and ETH, as they are the main assets that traverse the entire cycle.
Adjusting Positions: If assets are already allocated, maintain confidence and make slight adjustments; major operations should be undertaken with caution.
Patiently await the full outbreak of the bull market, and avoid excessive operations due to short-term fluctuations.
Viewpoint Reminder: The above analysis is based on historical data for reference only, and future trends still carry uncertainties.
