CoinVoice has recently learned that, according to CoinDesk, two major Canadian newspapers (Toronto Star) and (Globe and Mail) have successively disclosed that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is about to resign. (Toronto Star) expects the resignation announcement to be made as early as Monday, while (Globe and Mail) predicts it will be announced before Wednesday. However, users on the betting platform Polymarket have differing opinions on whether Trudeau will resign early.
According to Polymarket's prediction market, the likelihood of resignation on Monday is only 24%, the likelihood of resigning before Wednesday is 72%, and the likelihood of resigning before Friday is as high as 80%. The contract with the highest betting volume predicts Trudeau will resign before this Friday, attracting over six figures in funding. Additionally, Reuters reported that Trudeau has not yet made a final decision regarding his resignation. According to polling agency Angus Reid, Trudeau's approval rating is only 22%, and if an election were held immediately, his Liberal Party is expected to win only 46 seats, while the Conservative Party could seize 225 seats, easily winning a parliamentary majority. [Original link]