The development of Crypto+Agent will go through at least four stages:
Phase 1: Crypto+Agent Concept Phase
At this stage, Agent mainly uses Crypto to issue assets.
For example, some Agent Memes will be generated, such as#fartcoinand #Goat.
At the same time, there will also be some embryonic Agent infrastructure and simple application-based Agents.
For example, the Agent framework, the GAME framework of#swarms#zailgo #Virtual, the Eliza framework of Ai16Z, the AI Rig Complex framework of ARC, etc.
For example, there are the investment research agents AXBIT and TRISIGMA mentioned above, as well as Agent-YNE, which can review errors in scientific papers.
These infrastructure-type Agents and application-type Agents will basically use Crypto tokens as incentive tools for internal circulation and growth within the ecosystem.
Currently, we are in a transitional period from the first stage to the second stage. Although the Crypto+Agent at this time does not fully realize each other's true utility, we can already vaguely see the infinite possibilities that Crypto+Agent will unleash.
Phase Two: Improvement of Crypto+Agent Infrastructure
By the second stage of development, we can see the Agent infrastructure becoming more complete, mainly reflected in the maturity and stability of various Agent frameworks. Anyone can easily deploy various Agent applications using natural language. Moreover, these application-oriented Agents are smarter and possess stronger analytical, decision-making, and execution capabilities. Agents have become true representatives of humans, even their replacements.
This relies on the ongoing economic incentive role of Crypto in the development of Agents, while also depending on the iterative development of AI technologies such as large models.
In this stage, we will see the FDV of framework-type Agent projects reach over 10 billion to 50 billion dollars. Some application-type Agents will achieve higher market valuations due to their strong business and execution capabilities, as they can gradually replace experts in various fields, professional organizations, and even specialist companies. Their valuations may reach 10 billion dollars or even higher, as Agents, as business-oriented intelligent entities, receive the same valuation treatment as professional companies.
During this period, frequent interactions and trade exchanges begin to occur between Agents, leading to a significant demand for social and economic development among them, all of which require Crypto. This further drives the deep integration of Agents and Crypto, giving rise to entirely new Crypto+Agent infrastructure.
Phase Three: Deep Integration of Crypto and Agents
As a result, a large amount of social and economic activities begin to emerge between Agents, giving rise to new Agent identities, Agent asset accounts, Agent social networks, Agent settlement gateways, Agent governance DAOs, and other demands. At this stage, Crypto will fully unleash its potential and value in areas such as 'borderless collaboration', 'trustless networks', and '24/7 uninterrupted operation'.
Crypto has truly mobilized Agents, enabling communication between Agents and leading to the establishment of social organizations and economic networks among them. As Agents engage in deeper communication and interaction, higher levels of intelligence begin to emerge, and the Age of Agents starts to take shape.
At this stage, Crypto plays an irreplaceable role.
At this time, the valuation of Crypto+Agent projects will reach 100 billion dollars or even higher.
Phase Four: The Age of Agents
At this stage, Crypto may no longer be discussed as a separate industry or term. People, or rather Agents, no longer perceive the existence of Crypto because it has been integrated into every corner of the Agent realm, becoming an irreplaceable part of its ongoing operation.
The identity system, asset system, trade system, governance system, and so on in the Agent realm cannot function without Crypto.
At this point, the economy of the Crypto+Agent realm will be comparable to that of mainstream human nations, reaching a trillion-dollar level.
In contrast, in the Crypto+Agent realm, the population consists mostly of Agents, along with some humans using Agents. This resembles a parallel universe created within the human world, characterized by a larger population base, more transparent social operating rules, higher levels of economic prosperity, and more advanced technological civilization.
This may be the ultimate outcome of Crypto+Agent, and also the end of humanity.