Wow, two roller coasters in one night!
Is the recent trend of Bitcoin a bit confusing? Let me clarify for you. It's like playing a 'freeze game,' with prices fluctuating within the range I mentioned yesterday. Although there has been some decline, for BTC to continue soaring, more money needs to enter the market, and good news must keep coming. Keep an eye on the U.S. stock market; if it can't hold up, Bitcoin may also take a tumble.
If you have some spare cash, consider adding positions if BTC drops below 92,000, but remember, if it drops to 80,000, you need to be prepared to average down. The current decline does not mean it won't rebound; it just means the timing isn't right yet, and funds and good news are still on the way. So don’t go completely cash because of fear of a drop; that could cause you to miss out on the opportunity for an increase.
Let’s discuss BNB again. It’s currently fluctuating between 670 and 720. The 63rd airdrop is about to end, and many people may sell their BNB, which is quite normal. If you are a long-term holder, it might be worth selling some while the price is high and buying back after the airdrop ends; this could be a profitable swing.
Finally, let’s talk about ETH. This asset is slowly crawling between 3200 and 3600, showing slightly stronger performance than BTC. Although it is also consolidating, in the short term, it appears to be stronger than BTC.
Now let’s talk about today's BTC technical analysis: From the candlestick chart, the 1-hour level trend is a bit chaotic, fluctuating up and down before declining; the 4-hour level shows a decline, the 12-hour level is also declining, and the daily level isn't looking much better. Today's resistance level is at 95,000, with support around 90,000 dollars.
The AI Agents sector is rising against the trend, strengthening for two consecutive days!
The AI Agents sector is currently extremely hot and completely not following the broader market!
How to achieve better returns? Do you have any concept coins in the AI agents sector?
According to SoSoValue data, the overall cryptocurrency market is experiencing a correction, but the AI Agents sector is on the rise, with an increase of up to 7.46% in the past 24 hours. In this sector, many coins are performing exceptionally well, with some even rising by over 30%. Specifically:
Eliza (ELIZA) increased by 68.93%
ai16zeliza (ELIZA) increased by 50.34%
Degen Spartan AI (DEGENAI) increased by 46.18%
ai16z (AI16Z) increased by 38.89%
Zerebro (ZEREBRO) increased by 36.07%
From August to September, everyone was speculating on inscriptions, and as a result, most who chased after ORDI and SATS ended up stuck at the peak.
October to November is the phase for speculating on meme coins like ACT, PNUT, and BAN, where those chasing the highs continue to be trapped.
From December to January, everyone started speculating on AI directions again, such as AGENT, and those chasing the highs ended up trapped.
By January to March 2025, aixbt predicts that speculation will begin on the Bitcoin ecosystem.
In fact, very few people positioned themselves early; most entered by chasing the highs.
The best strategy is to diversify allocations, including ETH staking, L2, AI directions, and the Bitcoin ecosystem. After all, a bull market cannot rely on just one sector.
Recently, the newly listed coins on BITGET have been quite good, which may also represent the direction of capital allocation; it’s worth paying more attention to.
If you already have positions or need to adjust your positions, you can refer to the following strategies:
If you have a principal of 1 million, how would you allocate it?
Out of 500,000, allocate 250,000 to Ethereum and Solana spot trades, and the other 250,000 to a mix of Ether and Solana, with 2x leverage contracts; the remaining 500,000 should be allocated to leading altcoins, with 250,000 for spot and another 250,000 for 2x USD-based long positions, not using coin-based to minimize risk.
Prioritize the allocation of selected altcoins:
uni, ena, gala, pepe, aave, Bonk, link, Avax, render, crv, cow, usual, puffer
Among them, Cow, usual, and puffer are new coins, for spot trades only, no contracts, while others can be allocated with 2x leverage. Anyway, using half of the spot for defense to prevent black swan events!
What time to enter the market?
Allocate your entire capital with 50% in positions, the other 50%: buy a little on small dips, buy a lot on big dips, and don't buy if it doesn't dip. For mainstream coins, add positions every 3 points; for altcoins, add every 5 points. In the worst-case scenario, fill all your bullets on New Year's Eve!
BGB has completed the destruction of 800 million coins. Should you consider getting in?
BGB has burned 800 million coins, worth approximately 5.2 billion dollars, accounting for about 40% of the total supply (of which 19% are unlocked tokens held by the core team, and 21% are circulating tokens of the core team). Currently, the total and circulating supply of BGB is 1.2 billion coins. Should you consider getting in?
The altcoin season has arrived, and for most retail holders of altcoins, this is a good opportunity for a comeback. Since retail investors typically don't hold Bitcoin positions, the market heat of altcoins has become their main opportunity to accumulate wealth. If this bull market lacks the push from the altcoin season, many retail investors may face difficulties and even have to seek alternative paths.
Which cryptocurrencies does Grayscale favor for 2025?
Yesterday, Grayscale released a list of cryptocurrencies they are optimistic about for the first quarter of 2025, adding tokens for six new projects: HYPE, ENA, VIRTUAL, JUP, JTO, and GRASS. The report provides detailed information about these six projects, indicating that Grayscale is quite optimistic about the performance of these tokens in the next three months.
Several key points in the report:
• In addition to traditional Layer 1 projects, Grayscale is also optimistic about AI, depin (decentralized physical infrastructure networks), and DeFi sectors.
• The three major directions of special interest for Grayscale are:
1. The U.S. election and its potential impact on industry regulation, especially in areas like DeFi and staking.
2. Continuous breakthroughs in decentralized AI technology and the application of AI agents in blockchain.
3. Growth of the Solana ecosystem.
In the report, I listed detailed data for these 20 tokens and compared them to their previous prices to calculate how much these tokens would need to rise from their peak prices to break even.
If you're interested in the performance of coins previously selected by Grayscale, you can refer to the chart released by PANewsCN, which shows the historical win rate of Grayscale's selected coins.
Finally, here are a few recent key messages:
1. According to a report by Bloomberg, BlackRock's iShares division offers over 1,400 ETFs, but none can match the performance of their Bitcoin ETF.
2. According to MicroStrategy’s recently submitted 8-K form, the company purchased approximately 2,138 Bitcoins for about 209 million dollars between December 23 and December 29, 2024, at an average price of about 97,837 dollars each.
3. According to The Business Times, with the 2024 presidential election nearing its end and Trump winning, this has temporarily stalled Bitcoin's upward momentum.
4. According to CME's 'Fed Watch,' there is an 89.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rates unchanged in January next year.
