The Memoirs of Livermore:
Too many traders have similar experiences, leading to a conclusion: in a market where the volatility is narrowing and there is no clear direction, and prices are fluctuating within a narrow range, predicting whether the next big move will be up or down is meaningless.
At this point, what you need to do is observe the market, study the price action, determine the extent of the directionless fluctuation, and make a decision not to act rashly until the price breaks above or below the boundary.
Speculators must think about how to make money from the market, rather than stubbornly insisting that the market direction aligns with their judgments.
Never argue with the market, and do not let the overall market provide you with reasons or explanations.
"Hindsight analysis" will not make you money.
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