The following are some analyses and suggestions regarding the above content:
Market Consolidation Analysis
• Market consolidation refers to a period during which stock prices fluctuate within a small range, showing no obvious upward or downward trend. The reasons for this can be multifaceted; it may be due to a relative balance of power between bulls and bears in the market, where buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium within a certain price range; it may also be that the market is awaiting significant news or events, leading investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach, resulting in reduced trading activity; additionally, uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment or industry policies can also contribute to this.
• The types of consolidation can be categorized based on their formation background, such as those formed during a downtrend, those forming a converging triangle, and those formed during an uptrend. Different types of consolidation have varying probabilities for subsequent breakout directions.
The Necessity of Being Vigilant
• Although there are currently no significant negative news or black swan events, historical experience shows that declines are often closely associated with negative news. Beneath the calm surface of market consolidation, various uncertainties may be hidden; once negative news emerges, the market may react swiftly, leading to a drop in stock prices.
• The end of the year is usually a period when market liquidity is relatively tight; some investors may choose to sell stocks due to reasons such as capital recovery, thereby exerting some pressure on stock prices.
Two-Pronged Strategy and Reflective Suggestions
• Two-Pronged Strategy: When trading, one should prepare a two-pronged strategy to respond to different market changes. For example, when the market shows an upward trend, one can appropriately increase positions to seize investment opportunities; whereas when the market ...