As usual, just look at the trading strategies at the end.
Yesterday, the market started to fall after refreshing the recent high, especially after breaking the support level of 98000, it fell all the way to 95100 before it stopped falling and stabilized, closing with a medium-sized Yin line. Yesterday's market decline was within expectations, but the decline was not so large, and after the decline, it did not bottom out and rebound as expected, but maintained a low-level shock until the close. Yesterday, I made a mistake in judging the market, but in fact, the buying point was not bad. At that time, it was recommended to buy at 96000-96500, and stop loss at 94700. Later, the market fell below 95000. I added in the post that I continue to be optimistic about the market and recommend buying below 96000. Those who bought yesterday had enough opportunities to protect their principal or exit with a small profit, and there were more opportunities to exit with a loss. Yesterday, I predicted that the market would bottom out and rebound after the decline, but it did not rise at the end of the trading day, which means that the market is weak, and short-term long orders should be exited. Those who did not exit at the end of last night also have the opportunity to exit this morning. Why should I exit first? It is short-term. If the market trend is not favorable for my position, I should exit first and wait and see. Exiting first does not necessarily negate the previous judgment. I can also wait for a better buying price. My personal method of judging the resistance and support levels is usually to use the EMA moving average of different cycle levels, combined with the platform structure of the previous market and other tools. Therefore, the short-term support and resistance levels will change every day. The important support level of yesterday's market was 95000, so yesterday's stop loss was 94700. It supported for a day, but it broke through and fell to around 94600 this afternoon. If the buy order yesterday did not go through the stop loss and was not adjusted, it would be stopped, and then the market immediately pulled up to 97500. I just want to ask you if you are upset and unfair?
To summarize, it is still the same saying that you need to be flexible in your transactions; try to complete short-term orders on the same day; when the market conditions are inconsistent with your predictions, you must exit the market in time and wait and see; in the short term, daily support and resistance levels will change, and overnight orders or new orders must be adjusted accordingly. You cannot make judgments based on yesterday's or earlier resistance and support levels. Of course, this is referring to the short-term level, such as the four-hour or eight-hour level.
There is actually no change in my view on the market today. I still expect the market to rebound after consolidation. Yesterday, the Nasdaq closed with a consolidation cross star. In fact, after experiencing the bottom and rising continuously for several days, it is reasonable and necessary for the Nasdaq to make a shock consolidation before the historical high. It may continue to fluctuate and digest for a day tonight, and it may rise after the shock. In general, the Nasdaq will break a new high and go through a round of accelerated rising market in the future. Therefore, for the BTC market, I still maintain the view of continuing to rebound and be bullish.
Therefore, today's suggestion is still to buy on dips. Buy without thinking below 95000. 95000-95500 is a suitable buying range. The aggressive buying point is around 96100. You can buy in batches. You need to strictly control the overall position. The target is 97500-98000 and near the recent high point. The stop loss is 94000. There are a lot of things to do recently, so I post late. It would be better if I post in the morning or at noon. Try to adjust. #2025加密趋势预测 $BTC
