The market adjustment in the past couple of days has actually been very healthy. Most cryptocurrencies have increased several times over the past month, and a 30% or 50% pullback is completely normal. The upcoming market trends are as follows:
1. The first phase of the bull market has ended, and after the adjustment, we are about to enter the second phase.
2. Currently, outside capital has not entered the market on a large scale; we are still in the phase where people are self-indulging. The increase of many cryptocurrencies is also driven by leverage within the market, so it is very necessary to clear leverage in the short term.
3. The adjustment period will not be long, and the second phase will begin before Christmas.
4. The leading cryptocurrencies in the second phase will be SOL or ETH. This is my judgment after experiencing several chains. SOL is simple, has a low entry barrier, and has a mass base, while ETH has a need for catch-up.
5. The leverage clearing (spike) in the second phase will be even more intense than in the first phase, but the overall direction of increase will not change, so it is sufficient to accumulate spot assets when the price is low (like now). Frequently increasing leverage in a bull market will only accelerate your downfall; do not treat exchanges as fools.
6. I did not choose to 'sell at the top' in the first phase because I knew this was just the beginning. Many times, once you exit, it is hard to come back or come back at a higher cost. Moreover, I believe the increase in the second phase will leave those who sold at the top in the first round shocked and slapping their thighs. This trust comes from Wall Street / BlackRock / Trump / ETF, and that man.
7. Miners are the group closest to Bitcoin and have their own set of cognitive frameworks. The supply-demand relationship of mining machines and prices often reflects the stage we are currently in. In the peak stages of previous bull markets, not to mention the price of $BTC, even mining machines had to increase several times. So if someone tells me to sell at the top now, I can only say that you are a fool who has not seen the world.