Answer a few questions that everyone is concerned about
First question, is 80,000+ the top? Is there another waterfall?
Answer: 80,000+ is most likely not the top, but if it continues until next week, combined with the positive CPI (high probability), and then fomo for a few days, I think it is very likely that there will be a violent 10,000-point drop to kill leverage after the market is extremely enthusiastic.
Second question, my friend (❌) is now short-selling and has missed the spot, what should I do?
Answer: No leverage, look for low positions and make up for the flight, buy tickets quickly, such as pepe, ens, etc, ssv, sol, etc.
Third question, why are Bitcoin and cottage so fierce, and they came back in a few days?
Answer: You also know how long the horizontal is and how high the vertical is, you know, didn’t you see the shock sideways trading in the previous seven months, didn’t you notice the fundamental reversal of the interest rate cut?
I have said long ago that this round will see the full entry position on the right side of 7.3, which only occurs once in half a year, and countless people will miss it, because they have been deceived and sad from March to now, and the story of the wolf is like this.
In this round, we can learn three knowledge points.
Take note.
First, there is always a trend in the market.
I have said before that Bitcoin's dividends are indeed disappearing rapidly, but that is relative to other markets. There are still a lot of opportunities here, and dividends, to put it bluntly, are trends, especially the one-sided violent trend.
What is a trend? There will be a trend after the shock.
Why shock? Just like the two waves of long and short troops, evenly matched, constantly fighting, constantly fighting, and in the end, there must be a winner.
That moment is the beginning of the trend.
Therefore, always believe that the market has a trend, and get in at any position where the trend may start.
Second, the trend must have a low winning rate.
There are three elements in trading, and it is an impossible triangle, frequency, winning rate, and profit and loss ratio. These are the three you can only have at most two.
You want to catch the big trend and the starting position, to put it bluntly, it means giving up the frequency, winning rate and profit and loss ratio.
Then trend trading must wait.
It's that simple.