November 1, 2024

Ethereum, oh Ethereum, I really don't know what to say. It just went above 2,700 yesterday, and before it could even touch the 2,800 resistance, it just collapsed. Today it dropped directly to 2,500 for you to see, and the exchange rate even broke below 0.36. One small operation that I regret is that I originally planned to sell a 2,800 call option, after all, it was a resistance. I thought it would rise a bit more before selling, but my expectations were too high!

However, despite the criticism, this wave of Ethereum was indeed brought down by Bitcoin. I mentioned yesterday that although Bitcoin has risen above 70,000, there is a resistance at the historical high. If this position is not directly conquered, it is likely to first pull back or create a false breakout. Currently, Bitcoin's support is around 67,000 to 68,000, and it is expected to further test the strength of the support. After confirmation, it will attempt new highs again. Ethereum and various altcoins will likely wait until Bitcoin reaches a new high to catch up. In short, this pullback is within reasonable expectations, and there is no need to worry.

There are a few days left until the election, and it is expected that the next few days will not see a new high unless one situation occurs: that is, Trump is clearly in the lead. The current situation is that the two-party competition is still quite intense, especially the key votes in swing states, which will only be known at the last moment. There is also no authoritative data showing who is clearly ahead. Therefore, whether Bitcoin can make a new high in the short term will coincide with the election results. If Trump is elected, it will likely reach a new high; otherwise, there may be a significant drop.

Of course, we can observe the specific trend for a few more days. If Bitcoin fluctuates with low volatility between 67,000 and 72,000, it basically means we are waiting for the election results. We don't necessarily need to place bets, but we can keep some funds to prevent a significant drop. However, the cycle has already entered the bottoming phase, and any major drop would be a good opportunity to increase positions.

Thank you for your attention and likes.