Harris has 45% probability of winning the president in November, whereas Trump has 55%
The Polymarket prediction software shows former President Donald Trump beating Vice President Kamala Harris by 10 points in the 2024 presidential campaign.
Harris was ahead in September betting odds before this change.
The newest Polymarket poll gives Trump 55% likelihood of winning November, compared to Harris' 45%.
Arizona and Georgia, GOP battlegrounds, had the biggest Trump margins.
Trump's poll increase comes amid election concern.
Harris was predicted to win the 2024 campaign by financial expert Jim Cramer despite his momentum.
âI donât see how Donald Trump wins,â Cramer said Oct. 11.
Social media users, especially bitcoin traders who believe in the âinverse Cramer effectâ, discussed his statements.
Trump supports the cryptocurrency business and is becoming more popular on Polymarket.
Trump's use of Bitcoin to buy burgers at a New York campaign rally in September seemed to target crypto supporters.
His campaign also created World Liberty Financial, a native token decentralized finance (DeFi) concept.
Trump's crypto embrace has mixed reviews.
Some analysts, like 10T Holdings founder Dan Tapiero, minimize the election's influence on bitcoin prices.
Tapiero claimed Bitcoin might hit $100,000 regardless of the 2024 election.
Over 87% of Polymarket Crypto Wallets Lost Money.
The decentralized prediction market Polymarket has failed most consumers.
Among 171,113 crypto wallets on the network, 149,383, or 87.3%, lost money. Only 21,730 wallets (12.7%) made a profit.
Approximately 2,138 wallets gained over $1,000, while most gained less than $100.
Another 7,400 wallets claimed $100â$1,000 earnings, showing that the site seldom yields large returns.
Polymarket, a Polygon-based blockchain prediction market, is a popular real-time election chances tracker.
The platform uses transparent on-chain data and smart contracts to execute and reward bets on a variety of event outcomes.
