Analysis of market trends after Bitcoin halving
Bitcoin halving events in history show a certain pattern:
After the halving on July 9, 2016*, the market experienced a 164-day period of shock, and then began to truly rise. The bull market peaked 518 days after the halving.
After the halving on May 11, 2020, the market experienced a 161-day shock period and then began to rise significantly. The bull market peaked 549 days after the halving.
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After the halving on April 20, 2024, it has experienced a 145-day period of shock, and the day of change is coming, and October is usually the best month for market performance.
If we refer to past models, the peak of the bull market may be reached approximately 533 days after the halving in 2024.
It is expected that this bull market high may occur in the third quarter of 2025, coinciding with the previous ending range.