Can't do simple market well? Can't grasp the big market? What's the reason? It's because there is no advance plan, what direction and what point, how to deal with the reverse, this is why others have been accumulating, and you are always accumulating. In the afternoon, the market rebounded and moved up to around 66,500. After falling under pressure, the overall market fell into a narrow range of fluctuations. There are not many bright spots in the market during the day. You can focus on the speech of Lao Bao in the early morning and the recent hot spots. The idea is still to focus on low and long.

Recent hot spots:

PGIM: The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates by about 150 basis points by the end of 2025

PGIM Chief U.S. Economist Bocelli said that due to the slowdown in cyclical hiring in the past few months, the United States' attention has shifted from inflation to the relaxation of the labor market, which enabled the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in September. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a September rate cut at tonight's meeting. There may be another rate cut at the December meeting, and the possibility of a rate cut in November cannot be ignored. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by about 150 basis points by the end of 2025.

CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed staying on hold tonight is 96.9% According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged this week is 96.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 3.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 0%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 87.7%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 12.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.

#美国政府转移BTC #超级央行周 #比特币大会 #美联储何时降息？ #美国以太坊现货ETF开始交易 $BTC $ETH